Are we due a recession

    • [PDF File]Income Inequality and the Great Recession

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      INCOME INEQUALITY AND THE GREAT RECESSION SEPTEMBER 2010 2 | Page Prepared by the Majority Staff of the Joint Economic Committee INCOME INEQUALITY AND THE GREAT RECESSION Income inequality has worsened in the U.S. Over the past three decades, income …

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    • [PDF File]Understanding the Great Recession

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      Understanding the Great Recession! Lawrence J. Christiano y Martin S. Eichenbaum z Mathias Trabandt x April 2, 2014 Abstract We argue that the vast bulk of movements in aggregate real economic activity during the Great Recession were due to Önancial frictions interacting with the zero lower bound.

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    • [PDF File]The Great Recession and Public Education

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      recession levels, school districts are still losing employees. Second, the drop in employment is primarily due to the fact that schools that were heavily dependent on funds from state governments were particularly vulnerable to the effects of the Great Recession. As we

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    • [PDF File]Housing and the Great Recession October 2012

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      sources of the Great Recession may have been, the housing sector is still deeply trou-bled and is a key contributor to our ongoing economic duress. This recession brief lays out the main features of the downturn in the housing sector. We begin by taking on two simple but impor - tant questions of fact. We first ask whether

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    • [PDF File]The Recession of 2007–2009

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      138 million in January 2008 (the month after the start of the recession). During the recession, the number of job openings decreased 44 percent while employment declined 5 percent over that same period. A month after the official end of the most recent recession, in July 2009, the number of job openings declined to a series low of 2.1 million.

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    • [PDF File]Forecasting the Next Recession - Advisor Perspectives

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      Nov 30, 2017 · · Based on the dashboard and our proprietary Recession Probability Model, which shows 24-, 12-, and six-month ahead recession probabilities, we believe the next recession will begin in late 2019 to mid-2020. · Risk assets tend to perform well two years out from a recession, but investors should become increasingly defensive in

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    • [PDF File]The impact of economic recession on business strategy ...

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      4 | The impact of economic recession on business strategy planning in UK companies • Investment strategies - this might involve expenditure on innovation and market diversification. Recession is regarded as an opportunity to implement strategic change that would otherwise not have occurred.

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    • [PDF File]How the Great Recession Was Brought to an End

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      HOW THE GREAT RECESSION WAS BROUGHT TO AN END 4 While we would not defend every aspect of the stimulus, we believe this criticism is largely misplaced, for these reasons: The unusually large size of the fiscal stimulus (equal to about 7% of GDP) is con-sistent with the extraordinarily severe down-turn and the limited ability to use monetary

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    • [PDF File]Recession Indicators Update: Credit Spreads Signal Confidence

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      despite the substantial rise in 10-year Treasury yields. This is one reason why we believe the current sell-off will not metastasize into a full-blown bear market as defined by a 20% or more decline in equities. Credit spreads are one indicator we evaluate in the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard due …

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    • [PDF File]U.S. labor market in 2008: economy in recession

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      U.S. labor market in 2008: economy in recession CPS data show that the labor market weakness that began during the second half of 2007 worsened during 2008 as the U.S. economy entered a recession; unemployment rose sharply, both employment and the employment-population …

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