Chances of republicans winning the house
Party Divergence in the House and Senate as
Using the first dimension of DW nominate scores for the U.S. House and Senate over the period 1956-2004, we analyze how the degree of ideological polarization between the parties varies as a ...
[DOC File]“It’s the Electability, stupid”—or Not
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Democrats will feel positively about most Democratic candidates, but information that increases the Democrats’ chances of winning the White House should affect partisans more than negative information because the negative was already incorporated into the assessment. This is, in fact, the case.
[DOC File]The Gilded age
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Democrats stand their best chance of winning in 1884 - why? ... f. post 1873 economic recovery dooms their chances. ... a. in mid-term elections Republicans had regained control of the House 244-105. b. convention was held in Chicago - silverites gain the majority but are leaderless.
[DOCX File]AssetMark
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Because we don’t think Republicans’ winning a majority in the House of Representative is realistic this year (although a lot can change between now and mid-term elections), we think Republicans would need to compromise quite a bit to get the House to support further tax cuts and reductions in spending on the social safety-net.
[DOC File]CHALLENGERS CAN DRAW HOPE FROM TUESDAY'S …
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Few things in life are more predictable than the chances of an incumbent member of the U.S. House of Representatives winning re-election. A senator's re-election is almost as predictable.
[DOC File]*Know Who Will
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They are certainly just as much fun as betting on the Redskins-Giants game. Right now, things are looking grim for Republicans on the betting lines, but conservatives have some reasons to cheer. The latest odds of Hillary Clinton winning the White House in 2008 have tumbled to 22%.
[DOC File]“Legislative Liaison, White House Roll-Call Predictions ...
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The most conservative Republicans were 4.8 percent less likely to convert when forecast to vote against the White House—either because the White House could count on their support and they fell into the base category for the analysis or they opposed the bill on personal or ideological grounds.
[DOC File]The Fifth Column Tactic: Predatory Investigations and the ...
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The Republicans achieved a stunning triumph, winning control of both chambers by comfortable margins: the House by 246-188, the Senate by 51-42. Even sub-national results indicated a shift toward a collapse of the New Deal coalition and exposed the vulnerability of the moderate to liberal wing of the Democratic Party (see Table One).
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