Northeast extended forecast 2020
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
ECMWF is calling for slightly below-normal zonal vertical wind shear and near-average SSTs across the central tropical Atlantic and Caribbean for August-September. Figure 9 displays cross-validated hindcasts for ECMWF forecasts of ACE from 1981-2021, while Table 6 presents the forecast from ECMWF for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
ABSTRACT. Information obtained through July indicates that the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season will have activity above the 1991–2020 average. We estimate that 2023 will have a total of 18 named storms (average is 14.4), 90 named storm days (average is 69.4), 9 hurricanes (average is 7.2), 35 hurricane days (average is 27.0), 4 major (Category ...
[PDF File] Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity …
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Climate Physics, UCL (University College London), UKForecast SummaryTSR predicts that North Atlantic hurricane activity in 2022 will be near to the 1991-2020 30-year norm level in. eeping with the recent years that followed two. ar La Niña events. However, this outlook has large uncertainties. The TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) extended range ...
[PDF File] Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-for-north-atlantic-hurricane-activity.pdf
am Lea and Nick Wood EutoTempest Ltd, London, UKForecast SummaryTSR predicts that North Atlantic hurricane activity in 2024 will be very active with activity about 30% above the 199. -2020 30-year norm and around 50% abo. the long-term 1950-2023 norm. This outlook has large uncertainties. The TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) extended range forecast ...
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
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EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2022. We anticipate that the 2022 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. Current weak La Niña conditions look fairly likely to transition to neutral ENSO by this summer/fall, but the odds of a significant …
[PDF File] Seasonal Climate Forecast: July-September 2024
http://5y1.org/file/19636/seasonal-climate-forecast-july-september-2024.pdf
As the jet stream weakens & migrates northward for the summer, it. should maintain a “split-flow” pattern along the Pacific NW Coast. n. Enhanced westerly flow aloft (relative to average) tends to inhibit long. stretches of extreme heat and increases chances for showers/t-storms. July – September 2024 Forecast. Temperatures.
[PDF File] North East Scotland Pension Fund
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Actuarial Valuation as at 31 March 2020 North East Scotland Pension Fund 4 2 Key results of the funding assessment Solvency funding position The table below compares the assets and liabilities of the Fund at 31 March 2020. Figures are also shown for the last valuation as at 31 March 2017 for comparison. 3,000 1,436 1,772 654 757 1,486 1,725 ...
[PDF File] Global Economic Prospects, June 2020 - World Bank
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io in 2020 and 2021. B. Denotes IEA forecasts for global oil demand. X-axis denotes the forecasted quarter. Legend denotes month-year in which forecast is published. C. H1 and H2 denote monthly period averages of the first and second half of 2019. D. Crude oil production. GCC includes 6 economies. E. Policy rate refers to overnight deposit rate.
[PDF File] Extended Range Forecast for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-for-north-atlantic-hurricane-activity.pdf
am Lea and Nick Wood EutoTempest Ltd, London, UKForecast SummaryTSR predicts that North Atlantic hurricane activity in 2024 will be very active with activity about 30% above the 199. -2020 30-year norm and around 50% abo. the long-term 1950-2023 norm. This outlook has large uncertainties. The TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) extended range forecast ...
[PDF File] Record‐Breaking Meiyu Rainfall Around the Yangtze River in …
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River in 2020 Regulated by the Subseasonal Phase Transition of the North Atlantic Oscillation Boqi Liu 1, ... it failed to forecast the Meiyu rainband in the cold‐front period, suggesting a great ... (black line, gpm) and Northeast Asia [30–50°N, 110–130°E] (pink line, gpm) and the normalized daily NAOI (bars). The horizontal dashed line in
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
Three of the four predictors call for increased Atlantic hurricane activity in 2021. Figure 1: Observed versus early July cross-validated hindcast values of ACE for the statistical model for 1982-2020. Figure 2: Location of predictors for our early July extended-range statistical prediction for the 2021 hurricane season.
[PDF File] Extended Range Forecast for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2020
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The July-September 2020 forecast trade wind speed at 925mb height over the Caribbean Sea and tropical North Atlantic region (7.5°N – 17.5°N, 100°W – 30°W) is forecast to be 0.07±0.88 ms-1 weaker than normal (1980-2019 climatology). The July-September 2020 trade wind prediction incorporates the current expectations for neutral ENSO
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
Information obtained through May 2022 indicates that the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season will have activity well above the 1991–2020 average. We have increased our forecast from early April and now estimate that 2022 will have 10 hurricanes (average is 7.2), 20 named storms (average is 14.4), 95 named storm days (average is 69.4), 40 hurricane ...
[PDF File] DEMOGRAPHIC STATISTICS BULLETIN - National Bureau of …
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Northwest had 29.7 percent in 2018 and Northeast had 29.1 percent in 2019 as the highest. South-South Zone had the least proportion of Registered Live Births with 4.07% in 2017, 2.7% in 2018, and ... SOURCE: NAPTIP, 2020 3.e Distribution of Trafficked Persons by Type The incidence of trafficked persons under the period of review shows that the ...
[PDF File] Government of India Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES) INDIA …
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Rainfall is most likely to be Normal over Northeast India (96-106% of LPA) and Northwest India (92-108% of LPA). ... The LPA of rainfall over the country during June based on data of1971-2020 is about 165.4 mm. The spatial distribution of probabilistic forecasts for tercile ... Extended Range Forecast and short to medium range forecasting …
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
Gives overall indication of Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane activity. The 1991-2020 average value of this parameter is 135. Saffir/Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale – A measurement scale ranging from 1 to 5 of hurricane wind intensity. One is a weak hurricane; whereas, five is the most intense hurricane.
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 135 percent of the long-period average. We expect Atlantic basin Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and Net Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2020 to be approximately 150 percent of …
[PDF File] Demographic Trends and Population Projections for Texas …
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Demographic Trends and Population Projections for Texas and the North Texas Region. Presented to. January 15, 2021. Texas is experiencing significant and substantial growth. Texas makes up 8.9% of the total U.S. population but 32.4% of the total growth between 2019 and 2020. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2020 Vintage population estimates Note ...
[PDF File] Winter 2020-2021 Natural Gas Market Outlook
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forecast to be 1,243 BCF, well below the five-year average level. Production is projected to drop further for 2020-21 winter, tightening the gas market, particularly if the weather is colder than normal— • Among the demand sectors, stronger domestic heating, Mexico exports, and LNG export demand will drive natural gas consumption growth. On
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
The Atlantic has already had 9 named storms and 2 hurricanes through August 4. We estimate that 2020 will have an additional 10 hurricanes (post-31 July average is 5.9), 15 named storms (average is 10.2), 76.25 named storm days (average is 53.2), 42 hurricane days (average is 22.9), 5 major (Category 3-4-.
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
Three of the four predictors call for increased Atlantic hurricane activity in 2021. Figure 1: Observed versus early June cross-validated hindcast values of ACE for the statistical model for 1982-2020. Figure 2: Location of predictors for our early June extended-range statistical prediction for the 2021 hurricane season.
[PDF File] ENERGY TRANSFORMATION MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/energy-transformation-middle-east-and-north.pdf
2017. Current status: 2050 outlook: Only a tiny share (2%) comes from energy intensive industries of the region (mainly from the. chemical and petrochemical sector). Need for alternative clean energy technological solutions and emission-capture measures. IRENA analysis based on 2017 values (IEA, 2019).
[PDF File] Extended Range Forecast for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2020
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-for-atlantic-hurricane-activity-in-2020.pdf
The TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) extended range forecast for North Atlantic hurricane activity in 2020 anticipates a season with activity close to the long-term norm. The forecast spans the period from 1st June to 30th November 2020 and employs data through to the end of November 2019. Current and projected climate signals show an absence, at ...
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
We predict Atlantic basin Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and Net Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2024 to be ~170% of their 1991–2020 average. We have maintained the same forecast numbers that we issued with our initial early April prediction.
[PDF File] EXTENDED-RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC HURRICANE …
http://5y1.org/file/19636/extended-range-forecast-of-atlantic-hurricane.pdf
The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 135 percent of the long-period average. We expect Atlantic basin Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and Net Tropical Cyclone (NTC) activity in 2020 to be approximately 150 percent of …
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