Us economic indicators forecast
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Economic policy uncertainty. Inflation forecast (one year ahead) Real GDP growth forecast (one year ahead) Oil prices (international) ... Generally real indicators are available at the quarterly frequency while financial and monetary policy indicators are available at higher sampling frequencies.
[DOCX File]RESEARCH DEPARTMENT STAFF FORECAST – SAMPLE
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Given the weak growth in leading economic indicators, the forecasts point to a cautious prediction of an Obama victory. Leading Economic Indicators and the Vote. The crucial variable in our forecasting exercise is the cumulative quarterly growth in leading economic indicators over the …
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Forecast of the development of macroeconomic indicators. Data from the previous forecast of April 2009 are in italics. Data in the tables covering the years 2011 and 2012 present an extrapolative scenario indicating the direction of possible development and as such is not commented on in the following text.
[DOCX File]Joint Economic Forecasting Group Report - December 2011
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The economic forecasts underpin the Government's fiscal outlook presented in the Budget and Budget Update. The key economic indicators are forecast growth in real gross state product (GSP) and the level of nominal GSP; growth in employment; the unemployment rate; growth in wages (the WPI); growth in consumer prices (the CPI) and population growth.
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forecasts indicate continued weakness in global activity, with considerable uncertainty regarding the real global economic situation. Specifically, the forecasts for the rate of growth in imports by OECD countries in 2017 were reduced to 4.2 percent (compared with 4.7 percent in the previous forecast, in December), and the forecast for 2016 remained unchanged (3.8 percent), so that relative to ...
US Economic Outlook: For 2016 and Beyond
The key economic indicators are forecast growth in real gross state product (GSP) and the level of nominal GSP, growth in employment, the unemployment rate, growth in wages (as measured by the Wage Price Index, or WPI), growth in consumer prices (as measured by the Melbourne Consumer Price Index, or CPI) and population growth.
[DOC File]Macroeconomic Forecast - July 2009
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The economic forecasts underpin the Government's fiscal outlook presented in the Budget and Budget Update. The key economic indicators are forecast growth in real gross state product (GSP) and the level of nominal GSP, growth in employment, the unemployment rate, growth in wages (the WPI), growth in consumer prices (the CPI) and population growth.
[DOCX File]Approach - Department of Treasury and Finance
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Macroeconomic Forecasting, Economic Policy Group, Department of Treasury and Finance . April 2016 . The Department of Treasury and Finance (DTF) monitors economic conditions in the Victorian economy and prepares forecasts of the main economic indicators of those conditions twice yearly for the budget year and threeensuing years (the outyears).
[DOC File]AFTER THE 1996 ELECTION
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In another study, Diebold et al. (1991) examine the ability of the composite index of leading economic indicators to predict future movements in aggregate economic activity. They perform real-time analysis i.e. partially revised data for the leading index along with recursive out-of-sample forecasts.
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Economic indicators have improved recently in the US, although the prospect of substantial near-term fiscal tightening remains a threat to the strength of the US recovery. Growth in emerging Asia remains robust, although weak external demand and deleveraging by European financial institutions are starting to weigh on industrial activity and ...
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