ࡱ> xz[ bjbj 4ΐΐ7 " " ee8!|Q7(___ ~t!,!xzzzzzzu<z!  !!zee__?(***!e__x*!x**0mh_MnX#Pdg<h<S&S\Sd!!*!!!!!zz(!!!!!!!S!!!!!!!!!" +: Assigned Homework Problems For ORMS3310 HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format  HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls" http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls 1-8: The Gallup organization conducted a telephone survey with a randomly selected national sample of 1005 adults, 18 years and older. The survey asked the respondents, How would you describe your own physical health at this time? (http://www.gallup.com). Response categories were Excellent, Good, Only Fair, Poor, and No opinion. a. What was the sample size for this survey? b. Are the data qualitative or quantitative? c. Would it make more sense to use averages or percentages as a summary of the data for this question? d. Of the respondents, 29% said their personal health was excellent. How many individuals provided this response? 1-10: The Wall Street Journal (October 13, 2003) subscriber survey asked 46 questions about subscriber characteristics and interests. State whether each of the following questions provided qualitative or quantitative data and indicate the measurement scale that is appropriate for each. a. What is your age? b. Are you male or female? c. When did you first start reading WSJ? High school, college, early career, mid-career, late career, or retirement? d. How long have you been in your present job or position? e. What type of vehicle are you considering for your next purchase? Nine response categories include sedan, sports car, SUV, minivan, and so on. 1-11: State whether each of the following variables is qualitative or quantitative and indicate its measurement scale. a. Annual sales b. Soft drink size (small, medium, large) c. Employee classification (GS1 through GS18) d. Earnings per share e. Method of payment (cash, check, credit card) ========================================================================= 2-2: A partial relative frequency distribution is given. Class Relative Frequency A .22 B .18 C .40 D a. What is the relative frequency of class D? b. The total sample size is 200. What is the frequency of class D? c. Show the frequency distribution. 2-4: The top four primetime television shows were Law & Order, CSI, Without a Trace, and Desperate Housewives (Nielson Media Research, January 1, 2007). Data indicating the preferred shows for a sample of 50 viewers follow. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format DHCSIDHCSIL&OTraceCSIL&OTraceCSICSIDHTraceCSIDHL&OL&OL&OCSIDHCSIDHDHL&OCSIDHTraceCSITraceDHDHCSICSIL&OCSIL&OCSITraceTraceDHL&OCSICSICSIDHCSIDHTraceTraceL&Oa. Are these data qualitative or quantitative? b. Provide frequency and percent frequency distributions. d. On the basis of the sample, which television show has the largest viewing audience? Which one is second? 2-12: Consider the following frequency distribution. Class Frequency 10-19 10 20-29 14 30-39 17 40-49 7 50-59 2 Construct a cumulative frequency distribution and a cumulative relative frequency distribution. 2-15: A doctors office staff has studied the waiting times for patients who arrive at the office with a request for emergency service. The following data with waiting times in minutes were collected over a one-month period. 2, 5, 10, 12, 4, 4, 5, 17, 11, 8, 9, 8, 12, 21, 6, 8, 7, 13, 18, 3 Use classes of 0-4, 5-9, and so on in the following: a. Show the frequency distribution. b. Show a relative frequency distribution. c. Show a cumulative frequency distribution. d. Show a cumulative relative frequency distribution. e. What proportion of patients needing emergency service wait 9 minutes or less? 2-19 Sorting through unsolicited e-mail and spam affects the productivity of office workers. An InsightExpess survey monitored office workers to determine the unproductive time per day devotes to unsolicited e-mail and spam (USA Today, November 13,200.) The following data show a sample of time in minutes devoted to this task. 2 4 8 4 8 1 2 32 12 1 5 7 5 5 3 4 24 19 4 14 Summarize the data by constructing the following: A frequency distribution (classes 1-5, 6-10, 11-15, 16-20, and so on) A relative frequency distribution A cumulative frequency distribution A cumulative relative frequency distribution An ogive What percentage of office workers spend 5 minutes or less on unsolicited e-mail and spam? What percentage of office workers spend more than 10 minutes a day on this task? 2-21: The Nielson Home Technology Report provides information about home technology and its usage. The following data are the hours of personal computer usage during one week for a sample of 50 persons. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format 4.1 1.5 10.4 5.9 3.4 5.7 1.6 6.1 3.0 3.7 3.1 4.8 2.0 14.8 5.4 4.2 3.9 4.1 11.1 3.5 4.1 4.4 8.8 5.6 4.3 3.3 7.1 10.3 6.2 7.6 10.8 2.8 9.5 12.9 12.1 0.7 4.0 9.2 4.4 5.7 7.2 6.1 5.7 5.9 4.7 3.9 3.7 3.1 6.1 3.1 Summarize the data by constructing the following: A frequency distribution (use a class width of three hours) A relative frequency distribution A histogram An ogive Comment on what the data indicate about personal computer usage at home. ========================================================================= 3-4: Consider a sample with the data values of 53, 55, 70, 58, 64, 57, 53, 69, 57, 68, and 53. Compute the mean, median, mode. 3-6: The national Association of College and Employers compiled information about annual starting salaries for college graduates by major. The mean starting salary for business administration graduates was $39,850 (CNNMoney.com, February 15, 2006). Samples with annual starting data for marketing majors and accounting majors follow (data are in thousands) HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format Marketing Majors 34.2 45.0 39.5 28.4 37.7 35.8 30.6 35.2 34.2 42.4 Accounting majors 33.5 57.1 49.7 40.2 44.2 45.2 47.8 38.0 53.9 41.1 41.7 40.8 55.5 43.5 49.1 49.9 Compute the mean, median, and mode of the annual starting salary for both majors. Compute the first and third quartiles for both majors. Business administration students with accounting majors generally obtain the highest annual salary after graduation. What do the sample data indicate about the difference between the annual starting salaries for marketing and accounting majors? 3-8: The cost of consumer such as housing, gasoline, Internet service, tax preparation, and hospitalization were provides in The Wall Street Journal, January 2, 2007. Sample data typical of the cost of tax-return preparation by services such as H&R Block are shown here. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format 120 230 110 115 160 130 150 105 195 155 105 360 120 120 140 100 115 180 235 255 Compute the mean, median, and mode. Compute the first and thirds quartiles. Compute and interpret the 90th percentile. 3-12: Walt Disney Company bought Animation Studios Inc., in a deal worth $7.4 billion (CNNMoney.com, January 24, 2006). A list of the animated movies produced by Disney and Pixar during the previous 10 years follows. The box office revenues are in millions of dollars. Compute the total revenue, the mean, the median, and the quartiles to compare the box office success of the movies produced by both companies. Do the statistics suggest at least one of the reasons Disney was interested in buying Pixar? Discuss HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format Disney MoviesRevenue ($millions)Pixar MoviesRevenue ($millions)Pocahontas346Toy Story362Hunchback of Notre Dame325A Bugs life363 Hercules253Toy story 2 485Mulan304Monsters, Inc.525Tarzan448Finding Nemo865Dinosaur354The incredible631The Emperors New Groove169Lilo & Stitch273Treasure Planet 110The jungle Book 2136Brother Bear250Home on the Range104Chicken little249 3-13: Consider a sample with data values of 10, 20, 12, 17, and 16. Compute the range and inter-quartile range. 3-14: Consider a sample with data values of 10, 20, 12, 17, and 16. Compute the variance and standard deviation. 3-16: A bowlers scores for six games were 182, 168, 184, 190, 170, and174. Using these data as a sample, compute the following descriptive statistics. a. Range b. Variance c. Standard deviation d. Coefficient of variation 3-18: Car rental rates per day for a sample of seven Eastern U.S. cities are as follows (The Wall Street Journal, January 16, 2004). City Daily Rates Boston $43 Atlanta 35 Miami 34 New York 58 Orlando 30 Pittsburgh 30 Washington, D.C. 36 a. Compute the mean, variance, and standard deviation for the car rental rates. b. A similar sample of seven Western U.S. cities showed a sample mean car rental rate of $38 per day. The variance and standard deviation were 12.3 and 3.5, respectively. Discuss any difference between the car rental rates in Eastern and Western U.S. cities. 3-20: The following data were used to construct the histograms of the number of days required to fill orders for Dawson Supply, Inc., and J.C. Clark Distributors (see figure 3.2). Dawson Supply Days for Delivery: 11 10 9 10 11 11 10 11 10 10 Clark Distributors Days for Delivery: 8 10 13 7 10 11 10 7 15 12 Use the range and standard deviation to support the previous observation that Dawson Supply provides the more consistent and reliable delivery times. 3-30: The Energy Information Administration reported that the mean retail price per gallon of regular grade gasoline was $2.30. Suppose that the standard deviation was $.10 and that the retail price per gallon has a bell-shaped distribution. a. What percentage of regular grade gasoline sold between $2.20 and $2.40 per gallon? b. What percentage of regular grade gasoline sold between $2.20 and $2.50 per gallon? c. What percentage of regular grade gasoline sold for more than $2.50 per gallon? 3-32: The high costs in the California real estate market have caused families who cannot afford to buy bigger homes to consider backyard sheds as an alternative form of housing expansion. Many are using the backyard structures for home offices, art studios, and hobby areas as well as for additional storage. The mean price of a customized wooden, shingled backyard structure is $3100 (Newsweek, September 29, 2003). Assume that the standard deviation is $1200. a. What is the z-score for a backyard structure costing $2300? b. What is the z-score for a backyard structure costing $4900? c. Interpret the z-scores in parts (a) and (b). Comment on whether either should be considered an outlier. d. The Newsweek article described a backyard shed-office combination built in Albany, California, for $13,000. Should this structure be considered an outlier? Explain. 3-45: Five observations taken for two variables follow. Xi 4 6 11 3 16 Yi 50 50 40 60 30 Develop a scatter diagram with x on the horizontal axis What does the scatter diagram developed in part (a) indicate about the relationship between the two variables? Compute and interpret the sample covariance. Compute and interpret the sample correlation coefficient. 3-47: Nielsen Media Research provides two measures of the television viewing audience: a television program rating, which is the percentage of households with televisions watching a program, and a television program share, which is the percentage of households witching a program among those with televisions in use. The following data show the Nielsen television rating and share data for the Major League Baseball World Series over a nine-year period (Associated Press, October 27, 2003). Rating 19 17 17 14 16 12 15 12 13 Share 32 28 29 274 26 20 24 20 22 Develop a scatter diagram with rating on the horizontal axis. What is the relationship between rating and share? Explain. Compute and interpret the sample covariance. Compute the sample correlation coefficient. What does this value tell us about the relationship between rating and share? 3-48: A department of transportations study on driving speed and mileage for midsize automobiles resulted in the following data. Driving Speed 30 50 40 55 30 25 60 25 50 55 Mileage 28 25 25 23 30 32 21 35 26 25 Compute and interpret the sample correlation coefficient. 3-49: PC World provided ratings for 15 notebook PCs (PC World, February 2000). The performance score is a measure of how fast a PC can run a mix of common business applications as compared to a baseline machine. For example, a PC with a performance score of 200 is twice as fast as the baseline machine. A 100-point scale was used to provide an overall rating for each notebook tested in the study. A score in the 90s is exceptional, while one in the 70s is good. Table below shows the performance score and the overall rating for the 15 notebooks. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format Table 3.10: Performance Scores and Overall Ratings For 15 Notebook Pcs  EMBED Excel.Sheet.12  Compute the sample correlation coefficient. What does the sample correlation tell about the relationship between the performance score and overall rating? 3-50: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Standard & Poors 500 Index (S&P 500) are both used to measure the performance of the stock market. The DJIA is based on the price of stocks for 30 large companies; the S&P 500 is based on the price of stocks for 500 companies. If both the DJIA and S&P 500 measure the performance of the stock market, how are they correlated? The following data show the daily percent increase or daily percent decrease in the DJIA and S&P 500 for a sample of nine days over a three-month period (The Wall Street Journal, January 15 to March 10, 2006). HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format DJIA .20 .82 -.99 .04 -.24 1.01 .30 .55 -.25 S&P 500 .24 .19 -.91 .08 -.33 .87 .36 .83 -.16 Show a scatter diagram. Compute the sample correlation coefficient for these data.\ Discuss the association between the DJIA and S&P 500. Do you need to check both before having a general idea about the daily stock market performance 3-51: The daily high and low temperatures for 12 U.S. cities are as follows (Weather Channel, January 25, 2004) (Data could also be found in CDfileTemperature or attached excel spread sheet) City High Low City High Low Albany 9 -8 Los Angeles 62 47 Boise 32 26 New Orleans 71 55 Cleveland 21 19 Portland 43 36 Denver 37 10 Providence 18 8 Des Moines 24 16 Raleigh 28 24 Detroit 20 17 Tulsa 55 38 What is the sample mean daily high temperature? What is the sample mean daily low temperature? What is the correlation between the high and low temperatures? 4-8: In the city of Milford, applications for zoning changes go through a two-step process: a review by the planning commission and a final decision by the city council. At step 1 the planning commission reviews the zoning change request and makes a positive or negative recommendation concerning the change. At step 2 the city council reviews the planning commissions recommendation and then voted to approve or to disapprove the zoning change. Suppose the developer of an apartment complex submits an application for a zoning change. Consider the application process as an experiment. a. How many sample points are there for this experiment? List the sample points. 4-9: Simple random sampling uses a sample of size n from a population of size N to obtain data that can be used to make inferences about the characteristics of a population. Suppose that, from a population of 50 bank accounts, we want to take a random sample of four accounts in order to learn about the population. How many different random samples of four accounts are possible? 4-12: [No. diff from 4ed] The Powerball lottery is played twice each week in 28 states, the Virgin Islands, and the District of Colombia. To play Powerball a participant must purchase a ticket and then select five numbers from the digits 1 through 55 and a Powerball number from the digits 1 through 42. To determine the winning numbers for each game, lottery officials draw five white balls out of a drum with 55 white balls, and one red ball out of a drum with 42 red balls. To win the jackpot, a participants numbers must match the numbers on the five white balls in any order and number on the red Powerball. Eight coworkers at the ConAgra Foods plants in Lincoln, Nebraska, claimed the record $365 million jackpot on February 18, 2006, by matching the numbers 15-17-43-44-49 and the Powerball number 29. A variety of other cash prizes are awarded each time the game is played. For instance, a prize of $200,000 is paid if the participants five numbers match the numbers on the five while balls ( HYPERLINK "http://www.powerball.com" http://www.powerball.com, March 19, 2006). a. Compute the number of ways the first five numbers can be selected. b. What is the probability of winning a prize of $200,000 by matching the numbers on the five white balls? c. What is the probability of winning the Powerball jackpot? 4-14: An experiment has 4 equally likely outcomes: E1, E2, E3, and E4 a. What is the probability that E2 occurs? b. What is the probability that any two of the outcomes occur (e.g., E1 or E3)? c. What is the probability that any three of the outcomes occur (e.g., E1 or E2 or E4)? 4-20: [No. diff from 4ed] Fortune magazine publishes an annual list of the 500 largest companies in the United States. The following data show the five states with the largest number of Fortune 500 companies (The New York Times Almanac, 2006) State Number of companies NY 54 CA 52 TX 48 ILL 33 Ohio 30 Suppose a Fortune 500 company is chosen for a follow-up questionnaire. What are the probabilities of the following events? a. Let N be the event the company is headquartered in NY. Find P (N) b. Let T be the event the company is headquartered in TX. Find P (T) c. Let B be the event the company is headquartered in one of these 5 states. Find P (B) 4-21: The U.S. population by age is as follows (The World Almanac 2004). The data are in millions of people. Age Number 19 and under 80.5 20 to 24 19.0 25 to 34 39.9 35 to 44 45.2 45 to 54 37.7 55 to 64 24.3 65 and over 35.0 Assume that a person will be randomly chosen from this population. a. What is the probability the person is 20 to 24 years old? b. What is the probability the person is 20 to 34 years old? c. What is the probability the person is 45 years or older? 4-23: Suppose that we have a sample space S = {E1, E2, E3, E4, E5, E6, E7}, where E1, E2,, E7 denote the sample points. The following probability assignments apply: P(E1)=.05, P(E2)=.20, P(E3)=.20, P(E4)=.25, P(E5)=.15, P(E6)=.10, and P(E7)=.05. Let A= {E1, E4, E6} B= {E2, E4, E7} C= {E2, E3, E5, E7} a. Find P(A), P (B), P (C) b. Find A U B and P(A U B). c. Find A )" B and P(A )" B). d. Are events A and C mutually exclusive? e. Find Bc and P (Bc). 4-24: Clarkson University surveyed alumni to learn more about what they thought about Clarkson. One part of the survey asked respondents to indicate whether their overall experience at Clarkson fell short of expectations, met expectations, or surpassed expectations. The results showed that 4% of the respondents did not provide a response, 26% said that their experience fell short of expectations, 65% of respondents said that their experience met expectations. a. If we chose an alumnus at random, what is the probability that they would say their experience surpassed expectations? b. If we chose an alumnus at random, what is the probability that he or she would say their experience met or surpassed expectations? 4-26: Data on the 30 largest stock and balanced funds provided one-year and five-year percentage returns for the period ending March 31, 2000. Suppose we consider a one-year return in excess of 50% to be high and a five-year return in excess of 300% to be high. Nine of the funds had one year returns in excess of 50%, 7 of the funds had 5 year returns in excess of 300% and five of the funds had both one year returns in excess of 50% and five year returns in excess of 300%. a. What is the probability of a high one-year return and what is the probability of a high five-year return? b. What is the probability of both a high one-year return and a high five-year return? c. What is the probability of neither a high one-year return nor a high five-year return? 4-28: A survey of magazine subscribers showed that 45.8% rented a car during the past 12 months for business reasons, 54% rented a car during the past 12 months for personal reasons, and 30% rented a car during past 12 months for both business and personal reasons. a. What is the probability that a subscriber rented a car during the past 12 months for business or personal reasons? b. What is the probability that a subscriber did not rent a car during the past 12 months for either personal or business reasons? 4-30: Suppose that we have two events, A and B, P(A) =.50, P(B) =.60, and P(A )" B) =.40 a. find P(A|B) b. Find P(B|A) c. Are A and B independent? Why or why not? 4-33: In a survey of MBA students, the following data were obtained on  students first reason for applying to the school in which they were matriculated. School School Cost or Quality convenience Other Totals Full time 421 393 76 890 Part time 400 593 46 1039 Totals 821 986 122 1929 c. If a student goes full time, what is the probability that school quality was the first reason for choosing a school? d. If a student goes part time, what is the probability that school quality is the first reason for choosing a school? e. Let A denote the event that a student is full time and let B denote the event that the student lists school quality as the first reason for applying. Are events A and B independent? Justify your answer. 4-36: Reggie Miller of the Indiana Pacers is the National Basketball Associations best career free throw shooter, making 89% of his shots. Assume that late in a basketball game, Reggie Miller is fouled and is awarded two shots. a. What is the probability that he will make both shots? b. What is the probability that he will make at least one shot? ========================================================================= 5-2: Consider the experiment of a worker assembling a product. a. Define a random variable that represents the time in minutes required to assemble the product. b. What values may the random variable assume? c. Is the random variable discrete or continuous? 5-4: [Prob diff from 4ed] In November the U.S. unemployment rate was 4.5%. The Census Bureau includes nine states in the Northeast region. Assume that the random variable of interest is the number of Northeast states with an unemployment rate in November that was less than 4.5%. What values may this random variable assume? 5-7: The probability distribution of the random variable x is shown as follows. X f(x) 20 .20 25 .15 30 .25 35 .40 a. Is this probability distribution valid? Explain. b. What is the probability that x=30? c. What is the probability that x is less than or equal to 25? d. What is the probability that x is greater than 30? 5-8: The following data were collected by counting the number of operating rooms in use at Tampa General Hospital over a 20-day period; On 3 of the days only one operating room was used, on 5 of the days two were used, on 8 of the days three were used, and on 4 days all four of the hospitals operating rooms were used. a. Use the relative frequency approach to construct a probability distribution for the number of operating rooms in use on any given day. c. Show that your probability distribution satisfies the required conditions for a valid discrete probability distribution. 5-10: Table 5.4 shows the percent frequency distribution of job satisfaction scores for a sample of information systems (IS) senior executives and IS middle managers. The scores range from a low of 1 (very dissatisfied) to a high of 5 (very satisfied) Table 5.4 Percent Frequency Distribution of Job Satisfaction Scores for Information Systems Executives and Middle Managers Job Satisfaction Score IS Senior Executives (%) IS Middle Managers (%) 1 5 4 2 9 10 3 3 12 4 42 46 5 41 28 a. Develop a probability distribution for the job satisfaction score of a senior executive. b. Develop a probability distribution for the job satisfaction score of a middle manager. c. What is the probability a senior executive will report a job satisfaction score of 4 or 5? d. What is the probability a middle manager is very satisfied? e. Compare the overall job satisfaction of senior executives and middle managers. 5-16: The following table provides a probability distribution for the random variable y. y f(y) 2 .20 4 .30 7 .40 8 .10 a. Compute E(y). b. Compute Var(y) and . 5-18: The American Housing Survey reported the following data on the number of bedrooms in owner-occupied and renter-occupied houses in central cities. Number of Houses (1000s) Bedrooms Renter-Occupied Owner-Occupied 0 547 23 1 5012 541 2 6100 3832 3 2644 8690 4 or more 557 3783 a. Define a random variable x = number of bedrooms in renter-occupied houses and develop a probability distribution for the random variable. (Let x = 4 represent 4 or more bedrooms) b. Compute the expected value and variance for the number of bedrooms in renter-occupied houses. c. Define a random variable y = number of bedrooms in owner-occupied houses and develop a probability distribution for the random variable. (Let y = 4 represent 4 or more bedrooms) d. Compute the expected value and variance for the number of bedrooms in owner-occupied houses. e. What observations can you make from a comparison of the number of bedrooms in renter-occupied versus owner-occupied homes? 5-24: The J.R. Ryland Computer Company is considering a plant expansion that will enable the company to produce a new computer product. The companys president must decide whether to make the expansion a medium-or large-scale project. Demand for the new product is uncertain, which for planning purposes may be low demand, medium demand, or high demand. The probability estimates for demand are .20, .50, and .30 respectively. Letting x and y indicate the annual profit in thousands of dollars, the firms planners developed the following profit forecasts for the medium- and large-scale expansion projects. Medium-Scale Large-Scale Expansion Profit Expansion Profit X f (x) y f(y) Demand Low 50 .20 0 .20 Medium 150 .50 100 .50 High 200 .30 300 .30 a. Compute the expected value for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of maximizing the expected profit? b. Compute the variance for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Which decision is preferred for the objective of minimizing the risk or uncertainty? 5-58: Many companies use a quality control technique called acceptance sampling to monitor incoming shipments of parts, raw materials, and so on. In the electronics industry, components can be viewed as the n trials of a binomial experiment. The outcome for each components tested (trial) will be that the component is classified as good or defective. Reynolds Electronics accepts a lot from a particular supplier if the defective components in the lot do not exceed 1%. Suppose a random sample of five items from a recent shipment is tested. Assume that 1% of the shipment is defective. Compute the probability that no items in the sample are defective. Assume that 1% of the shipment is defective. Compute the probability that exactly one items in the sample are defective What is the probability of observing one or more defective items in the sample if 1% of the shipment is defective? Would you feel comfortable accepting the shipment if one item was found to be defective Why or why not? 5-59: The unemployment rate is 4.1%. Assume that 100 employable people are selected randomly. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format What is the expected number of people who are unemployed? What are the variance and standard deviation of the number of people who are unemployed? 5-60: A poll conducted by Zogby International showed that of those Americans who said music plays a very important role in their lives, 30% said their local radio stations always play kind of music they like ( HYPERLINK "http://www.zogby.com" http://www.zogby.com, January 12, 2004). Suppose a sample of 800 people who say music plays an important role in their lives is taken. How many would you expect to say that their local radio stations always play the kind of music they like? What is the standard deviation of the number of respondents who think their local radio stations always play the kind of music they like? What is the standard deviation of the number of respondents who do not think their local radio stations always play the kind of music they like? =============================================================================== 6-12: Given that z is a standard normal random variable, compute the following probabilities. a. P (0 d" z d" .83) b. P (-1.57 d" z d" 0) c. P (z > .44) d. P (z e" -.23) e. P (z < 1.20) f. P (z d" -.71) 6-14: [Numbers are diff from 4ed] Given that z is a standard normal random variable, find z for each situation. The area to the left of z is .9750. The area between 0 and z is .4750. The area to the left of z is .7291. The area to the right of z is .1314. The area to the left of z is .6700. The area to the right of z is .3300. 6-18: The average stock price for companies making up the S&P 500 is $30, and the standard deviation is $8.20. Assume the stock prices are normally distributed. a. What is the probability a company will have a stock price of at least $40? b. What is the probability a company will have a stock price no higher than $20? c. How high does a stock price have to be to put a company in the top 10%? 6-20: In January 2003, the American worker spent an average of 77 hours logged on to the Internet while at work. Assume the population mean is 77 hours, the times are normally distributed and that the standard deviation is 20 hours. a. What is the probability a randomly selected worker spent fewer than 50 hours logged on to the Internet? b. What percentage of the workers spent more than 100 hours logged on to the Internet? c. A person is classified as a heavy user if he or she is in the upper 20% in terms of hours of usage. How many hours must a worker have logged on to the Internet to be classified as a heavy user? 6-23: The time needed to complete a final examination in a particular college course is normally distributed with a mean of 80 minutes and standard deviation of 10 minutes. Answer the following questions. What us the probability of completing the exam in one hour or less? What is the probability that a student will complete the exam in more than 60 minutes but less than 75 minutes? Assume that the class has 60 students and that the examination period is 90 minutes in length. How many students do you expect will be unable to complete the exam in the allotted time? ========================================================================= 7-10: [content is diff from 4ed] Indicate which of the following situations involve sampling from a finite population and which involve sampling from a process. In cases where the samples population is finite, describe how you would construct a frame. Obtain a sample of licensed drivers in the state of New York. Obtain a sample of boxes of cereal produced by the Breakfast Choice Company. Obtain a sample of cars crossing the Golden Gate Bridge on a typical weekday. Obtain a sample of students in a statistic course at Indiana University. Obtain a sample of the orders that could be processed by a mail-order firm. 7-11: The following data are from a simple random sample. 5 8 10 7 10 14 a. What is the point estimate of the population mean? b. What is the point estimate of the population standard deviation? 7-12: A survey question for a sample of 150 individuals yielded 75 Yes responses, 55 No, and 20 No opinions. a. What is the point estimate of the proportion in the population who responded Yes? b. What is the point estimate of the proportion in the population who responded NO? 7-15: [prob is diff from 4ed]Many drugs used to treat cancer are expensive. Business Week reported on the cost per treatment of Herceptin, a drug used to treat breast cancer. Typical treatment costs (in dollars) for Herceptin are provided by a simple random sample of 10 patients. 4376 5578 2717 4920 4495 4798 6446 4119 4237 3814 a. Develop a point estimate of the mean cost per treatment with Herceptin. b. Develop a point estimate of the standard deviation of the cost per treatment with Herceptin. 7-18: A population has a mean of 200 and a standard deviation of 50. A simple random sample of size 100 will be taken and the sample mean x-bar will be used to estimate the population mean. a. What is the expected value of x-bar? b. What is the standard deviation of x-bar? c. Show the sampling distribution of x-bar. d. What does the sampling distribution of x-bar show? 7-20. Assume the population standard deviation is  = 25. Compute the standard error of the mean,  EMBED Equation.3 , for the sample sizes of 50, 100, 150, and 200. What can you say about the size of the standard error of the mean as the sample size is increased? 7-26: [Prob is diff from 4ed] The mean annual cost of automobile insurance is $939. Assume the standard deviation  = $245. What is the probability that a simple random sample of automobile insurance policies will have a sample mean within $25 of the population mean for each of the following sample sizes: 30, 50, 100, and 400? What is the advantage of a larger sample size when attempting to estimate the population mean? 7-28: [Prob is diff from 4ed] The average score for male golfers is 95 and the average score for female golfers is 106. Use these values as the population means for men and women and assume that the population standard deviation is  = 14 strokes for both. A simple random sample of 30 male golfers and another simple random sample of 45 female golfers will be taken. Show the sampling distribution of  EMBED Equation.3  for male golfers. What is the probability that the sample mean is within 3 strokes of the population mean for the sample of male golfers? What is the probability that the sample mean is within 3 strokes of the population mean for the sample of female golfers? In which case, part (b) or part (c), is the probability of obtaining a sample mean within 3 strokes of the population mean higher? Why? 7-35: The president of Doerman Distributors, Inc. believes that 30% of the firms orders come from first-time customers. A simple random sample of 100 orders will be used to estimate the proportion of first-time customers. a. Assume that the president is correct and p = .30. What is the sampling distribution of  EMBED Equation.3  for this study? b. What is the probability that the sample proportion  EMBED Equation.3  will be between .20 and .40? c. What is the probability that the sample proportion will be between .25 and .35? 7-37: Time/CNN voter polls monitored public opinion for the presidential candidates during the 2000 presidential election campaign. One Time/CNN poll conducted by Yankelovich Partners, Inc., used a sample of 589 likely voters. Assume the population proportion for a presidential candidate is p = .50. Let  EMBED Equation.3  be the sample proportion of likely voters favoring the presidential candidate. a. Show the sampling distribution of  EMBED Equation.3 . b. What is the probability the Time/CNN poll will provide a sample proportion within .04 of the population proportion? c. What is the probability the Time/CNN poll will provide a sample proportion within .03 of the population proportion? d. What is the probability the Time/CNN poll will provide a sample proportion within .02 of the population proportion? 7-38: Roper ASW conducted a survey to learn about American adults attitudes toward money and happiness. 56% of the respondents said they balance their checkbook at least once a month. a. Suppose a sample of 400 American adults were taken. Show the sampling distribution of the proportion of adults who balance their checkbook at least once a month . b. What is the probability that the sample proportion will be within .02 of the population proportion? c. What is the probability that the sample proportion will be within .04 of the population proportion? 7-40: The Grocery Manufacturers of America reported that 76% of consumers read the ingredients listed on a products label. Assume the population proportion is p = .76 and a sample of 400 consumers is selected from the population. a. Show the sampling distribution of  EMBED Equation.3  where  EMBED Equation.3 is the proportion of the sampled consumers who read the ingredients listed on a products label. b. What is the probability that the sample proportion will be within .03 of the population proportion? c. Answer part (b) for a sample of 750 consumers. 8-2: A simple random sample of 50 items from a population with  = 6 resulted in a sample mean of 32. a. Provide a 90% confidence interval for the population mean. b. Provide a 95% confidence interval for the population mean. c. Provide a 99% confidence interval for the population mean. 8-5: In an effort to estimate the mean amount spent per customer for dinner at a major Atlanta restaurant, data were collected for a sample of 49 customers. Assume a population standard deviation of $5. a. At 95% confidence, what is the margin of error? b. If the sample mean is $24.80, what is the 95% confidence interval for the population mean? 8-7: A survey of small businesses with Web sites found that the average amount spent on a site was $11,500 per year (Fortune, March 5, 2001). Given a sample of 60 businesses and a population standard deviation of  = $4000, what is the margin of error? Use 95% confidence. What would you recommend if the study required a margin of error of $500? 8-14: A simple random sample with n = 54 provided a sample mean of 22.5 and a sample standard deviation of 4.4. a. Develop a 90% confidence interval for the population mean. b. Develop a 95% confidence interval for the population mean. c. Develop a 99% confidence interval for the population mean. d. What happens to the margin of error and the confidence interval as the confidence level is increased? 8-20: Is your favorite TV program often interrupted by advertising? CNBC presented statistics on the average number of programming minutes in a half-hour sitcom (CNBC, February 23, 2006). The following data (in minutes) are representative of their findings. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format 21.06 22.24 20.62 21.66 21.23 23.86 23.82 20.30 21.52 21.52 21.91 23.14 20.02 22.20 21.20 22.37 22.19 22.34 23.36 23.44 Assume the population is approximately normal. Provide a point estimate and a 95% confidence interval for the mean number of programming minutes during a half-hour television sitcom. 8-21: Consumption of alcoholic beverages by young women of drinking age has been increasing in the United Kingdom, the United States, and Europe. Data (annual consumption in liters) consistent with the finding reported in The Wall Street Journal article are shown for a sample of 20 European young women. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format 266 82 199 174 97 170 222 115 130 169 164 102 113 171 0 93 0 93 110 130 Assuming the population is roughly symmetric; construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean annual consumption of alcoholic beverages by European young women. 8-27: Annual starting salaries for college graduates with degrees in business administration are generally expected to be between $30,000 and $45,000. Assume that a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population mean annual starting salary is desired. What is the planning value for the population standard deviation? How large a sample should be taken if the desired margin of error is a. $500? b. $200? c. $100? d. Would you recommend trying to obtain the $100 margin of error? Explain. 8-28: An online survey by ShareBuilder, a retirement plan provider, and Harris Interactive reported that 60% of female business owners are not confident they are saving enough for retirement(SmallBiz, Winter 2006). Suppose we would like to do a follow-up study to determine how much female business owners are saving each year toward retirement and want to use $100 as the desired margin of error for an interval estimate of the population mean. Use $1100 as a planning value for the standard deviation and recommend a sample size for each of the following situations. a. A 90% confidence interval is desired for the mean amount saved. b. A 95% confidence interval is desired for the mean amount saved. c. A 99% confidence interval is desired for the mean amount saved. d. When the desired margin of error is set, what happens to the sample size as the confidence level is increased? Would you recommend a 99% confidence level be used by Smith Travel Research? Discuss. 9-2: The manager of an automobile dealership is considering a new bonus plan designed to increase sales volume. Currently, the mean sales volume is 14 automobiles per month. The manager wants to conduct a research study to see whether the new bonus plan increases sales volume. To collect data on the plan, a sample of sales personnel will be allowed to sell under the new bonus plan for a one-month period. a. Develop the null and alternative hypotheses most appropriate for this research situation b. Comment on the conclusion when Ho cannot be rejected c. Comment on the conclusion when Ho can be rejected. 9-3: A production line operation is designed to fill cartons with laundry detergent to a mean weight of 32 ounces. A sample of cartons is periodically selected and weighed to determine whether underfilling or overfilling is occurring. If the sample data lead to a conclusion of underfilling or overfilling, the production line will be shut down and adjusted to obtain proper filling. a. Formulate the null and alternative hypotheses that will help in deciding whether to shut down and adjust the production line. b. Comment on the conclusion and the decision when Ho cannot be rejected. c. Comment on the conclusion and the decision when Ho can be rejected. 9-10: Consider the following hypothesis test. Ho:  d" 25 Ha:  > 25 A sample of 40 provided a sample mean of 26.4. The population standard deviation is 6. a. Compute the value of the test statistic. b. What is the p-value? c. At  = .01, what is your conclusion? d. What is the rejection rule using the critical value? What is your conclusion? 9-14: Consider the following hypothesis test: Ho:  = 22 Ha:  `" 22 A sample of 75 is used and the population standard deviation is 10. Compute the p-value and state your conclusion for each of the following sample results. Use  = .01. a. x-bar = 23 b. x-bar = 25.1 c. x-bar = 20 9-16: Reis Inc., a New York real estate research firm, tracks the cost of apartment rentals in the United States. In mid-2002, the nationwide mean apartment rental rate was $895 per month. Assume that, based on the historical quarterly surveys, a population standard deviation of  = $225 is reasonable. In a current study of apartment rentals rates, a sample of 180 apartments nationwide provided the apartment rental rates shown in data in Excel file Format HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format. Do the sample data enable Reis to conclude that the population mean apartment rental rate now exceeds the level reported in 2002? a. State the null and alternative hypotheses. b. What is the p-value? c. At  = .01, what is your conclusion? d. What would you recommend Reis consider doing at this time? 9-17: Wall Street securities firms paid out record year-end bonuses of $125,500 per employee for 2005. Suppose we would like to take a sample of employees at the Jones & Ryan securities firm to see whether the mean year-end bonus us different from the reported mean of $125,500 for the population. State the null and alternative hypotheses you would use to test whether the year-end bonuses paid by Jones & Ryan were different from the population mean. Suppose a sample of 40 Jones & Ryan employees showed a sample mean year-end bonus of $118,000. Assume a population standard deviation of  = $30,000 and compute the p-value. With  = .05 as the level of significance, what is your conclusion? Repeat the preceding hypothesis test using the critical value approach. 9-19: In 2001, the U.S. Department of Labor reported the average hourly earnings for U.S. production workers to be $14.32 per hour. A sample of 75 production workers during 2003 showed a sample mean of $14.68 per hour. Assuming the population standard deviation  = $1.45, can we conclude that an increase occurred in the mean hourly earnings since 2001? Use  = .05. 9-23: Consider the following hypothesis test. Ho:  d" 12 Ha:  > 12 A sample of 25 provided a sample mean x-bar = 14 and sample standard deviation s = 4.32. a. Compute the value of the test statistic. b. What does the t distribution table (Table 2 in Appendix B) to compute a range for the p-value? c. At  = .05, what is your conclusion? d. What is the rejection rule using the critical value? What is your conclusion? 9-26: Consider the following hypothesis test. Ho:  = 100 Ha:  `" 100 A sample of 65 is used. Identify the p-value and state your conclusion for each of the following sample results. Use  = .05. a. x-bar = 103 and s = 11.5 b. x-bar = 96.5 and s = 11.0 c. x-bar = 102 and s = 10.5 9-28: A shareholders group, in lodging a pretest, claimed that the mean tenure for a chief executive office (CEO) was at least nine years. A survey of companies reported in The Wall Street Journal found a sample mean tenure of x bar = 7.27 years for CEOs with a standard deviation of s =6.38 years. Formulate hypotheses that can be used to test the validity of the claim made by the shareholders group. Assume 85 companies were included in the sample. What is the p-value for your hypothesis test? At  = .01, what is your conclusion? 9-31: Raftelis Financial Consulting reported that the mean quarterly water bill in the United States is $47.50. Some water systems are operated by public utilities, whereas other water systems are operated by private companies. An economist pointed out that privatization does not equal competition and that monopoly powers provided to public utilities are now being transferred to private companies. The concern is that consumers end up paying higher-than-average rates for water provided by private companies. The water system for Atlanta, Georgia, is provided by a private company. A sample of 64 Atlanta consumers showed a mean quarterly water bill of $51 with a sample standard deviation of $12. At  = .05, does the Atlanta sample support the conclusion that above-average rates exist for this private water system? What is your conclusion? ========================================================================= 12-7: Would you expect more reliable cars to cost more? Consumer Reports rated 15 upscale sedans. Reliability was rated on a 5-point scale: poor (1), fair (2), good (3), very good (4), and excellent (5). The price and reliability rating for each of the 15 cars are shown. 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Develop a scatter diagram for these data with temperature rating (F) as the independent variable. b. What does the scatter diagram develop in part (a) indicate about the relationship between temperature rating (F) and price? c. Use the least squares method to develop the estimated regression equation. d. Predict the price for a sleeping bag with a temperature rating (F) of 20. 12-20: Consumer Reports provided extensive testing and ratings for more than 100 HDTVs. An overall score, based primary on picture quality, was developed for each model. In general, a higher overall score indicates better performance. The following data show the price and overall score for the ten 42-inch plasma televisions. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format  EMBED Excel.Sheet.12  Use these data to develop an estimated regression equation that could be used to estimate the overall score for a 42-inch plasma television given the price. Compute r. Did the estimated regression equation provide a good fit? Estimate the overall score for a 42-inch plasma Television with the price of $3200. 12-22: PC World provided ratings for the top five small-office laser printers and five corporate laser printers. The highest-rated small-office printer was the Minolta-QMS PagePro 1250W, with an overall rating of 91. The highest-rated corporate laser printer, the Xerox Phaser 4400/N, had an overall rating of 83. The following data show the speed for plain text printing in pages per minute (ppm) and the price for each printer. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format  EMBED Excel.Sheet.12  a. Develop the estimated regression equation with speed as the independent variable. b. Compute r. What percentage of the variation in cost can be explained by the printing speed? c. What is the sample correlation coefficient between speed and price? Does it reflect a strong or weak relationship between printing speed and cost? 13-8: The following table gives the annual return, the safety rating (0 = riskiest, 10 = safest), and the annual expense ratio for 20 foreign funds. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format  EMBED Excel.Sheet.12  a. Develop an estimated regression equation relating the annual return to the safety rating and the annual expense ratio. b. Estimate the annual return for a firm that has a safety rating of 7.5 and annual expense ratio of 2. 13-9: Waterskiing and wakeboarding are two popular water-sports. Finding a model that best suits your intended needs, whether it is waterskiing, wakeboarding, or general boating, can be a difficult task. WaterSki magazine did extensive testing for 88 boats and provided a wide variety of information to help consumers select the best boat. A portion of the data they reported for 20 boats with a length of between 20 and 22 feet follows. Beam is the maximum width of the boat in inches, HP is the horsepower of the boats engine, and TopSpeed is the top speed in miles per hour (mph). HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format  EMBED Excel.Sheet.12  Using these data, develop an estimated regression equation relating the top speed with the boats beam and horsepower rating. The Svfara SV609 has a beam of 85 inches and an engine with a 330 horsepower rating. Use the estimated regression equation developed in part (a) to estimate the top speed for the Svfara SV609. 13-17: In exercise 9, an estimated regression equation was developed relating the top speed for a boat to the boats beam and horsepower rating. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format a. Compute and interpret R and Ra. b. Does the estimated regression equation provide a good fit to the data? Explain. 13-38: A 10-year study conducted by the American Heart Association provided data on how age, blood pressure, and smoking relate to the risk of strokes. Assume that the following data are from a portion of this study. Risk is interpreted as the probability (times 100) that the patient will have a stroke over the next 10-year period. For the smoking variable, define a dummy variable with 1 indicating a smoker and 0 indicating a nonsmoker. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format  EMBED Excel.Sheet.12  a. Develop an estimated regression equation that relates risk of a stroke to the person s age, blood pressure, and whether the person is a smoker. b. Is smoking a significant factor in the risk of a stroke? Explain. Use  = .05. c. What is the probability of a stroke over the next 10 years for Art Speen, a 68-year-old smoker who has blood pressure of 175? What action might the physician recommend for this patient? 13-Case Problem 1: Consumer Research, Inc. is an independent agency that conducts research on consumer attitudes and behaviors for a variety of firms. In one study, a client asked for an investigation of consumer characteristics that can be used to predict the amount charged by credit card users. Data were collected on annual income, household size, and annual credit card charges for a sample of 50 consumers. HYPERLINK "http://faculty.tamucc.edu/jmollick/Orms/DataSP10.xls"Click here for Data in Excel File Format  EMBED Excel.Sheet.12  MANAGERIAL REPORT Use methods of descriptive statistics to summarize the data. Comment on the findings. Develop estimated regression equations, first using annual income as the independent variable and then using household size as the independent variable. Which variable is the better predictor of annual credit card charges? Discuss your findings. Develop an estimated regression equation with an annual income and household size as the independent variables. Discuss your findings. What is the predicted annual credit card charge for a three-person household with an annual income of $40,000? Discuss the need for other independent variables that could be added to the model. What additional variables might be helpful?     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