ࡱ> "$ ! 3bjbjWW ==4{v((@6@66664666h,786g::F ; ; ;k<k<k<fffffff$lSogQ6=I<"k<==g@6@6 ; ;?ag U U U=@68 ;6 ;f U=f U Uc|x6Bd ;05:?cfwg0gcYpCYp$BdYp6Bdk<><, U<$<k<k<k<ggLtk<k<k<g====Ypk<k<k<k<k<k<k<k<k<( 5: CHAPTER 19 capital investment discussion QUESTIONS 1. Independent projects are such that the acceptance of one does not preclude the acceptance of another. With mutually exclusive projects, however, acceptance of one precludes the acceptance of others. 2. The timing and quantity of cash flows determine the present value of a project. The present value is critical for assessing whether or not a project is acceptable. 3. By ignoring the time value of money, good projects can be rejected and bad projects accepted. 4. The payback period is the time required to recover the initial investment. It is used for three reasons: (a) A measure of risk. Roughly, projects with shorter paybacks are less risky. (b) Obsolescence. If the risk of obsolescence is high, firms will want to recover funds quickly. (c) Self-interest. Managers want quick paybacks so that short-run performance measures are affected positively, enhancing chances for bonuses and promotion. 5. The accounting rate of return is the average income divided by investment. 6. The cost of capital is the cost of investment funds and is usually viewed as the weighted average of the costs of funds from all sources. In capital budgeting, the cost of capital is the rate used to discount future cash flows. 7. Disagree. Only if the funds received each period from the investment are reinvested to earn the IRR will the IRR be the actual rate of return. 8. If NPV 0, then the investment is acceptable. If NPV < 0, then the investment should be rejected. 9. NPV signals which investment maximizes firm value; IRR may provide misleading signals. IRR may be popular because it provides the correct signal most of the time, and managers are accustomed to working with rates of return. 10. NPV analysis is only as good as the accuracy of the cash flows. If cash flows are not accurate, then incorrect investment decisions can be made. 11. Gains and losses on the sale of existing assets should be considered. 12. MACRS provides higher depreciation (a non-cash expense) in earlier years than straight-line does. Depreciation expense provides a cash inflow from the tax savings it produces. As a consequence, the present value of the shielding benefit is greater for MACRS. 13. Intangible and indirect benefits are important factorsmore important in the advanced manufacturing and P2 environments. Greater quality, more reliability, reduced lead times, improved delivery, and the ability to maintain or increase market share are examples of intangible benefits. Reductions in support labor in such areas as scheduling and stores are indirect benefits. 14. A postaudit is a follow-up analysis of an investment decision. It compares the projected costs and benefits with the actual costs and benefits. It is especially valuable for advanced technology investments since it reveals intangible and indirect benefits that can be considered in similar investments in the future. 15. Sensitivity analysis involves changing assumptions to see how the changes affect the original outcome. In capital investment decisions, sensitivity analysis can be used to help assess the risk of a project. Uncertainty in forecasted cash flows can be dealt with by altering projections to see how sensitive the decision is to errors in estimates. CORNERSTONE Exercises Cornerstone Exercise 19.1 1. Even cash flows: Payback period = Original investment/Annual cash flow = $360,000/$120,000 = 3.0 years 2. Uneven cash flows: Unrecovered Investment Annual Time Needed Year (beginning of year) Cash Flow for Payback 1 $360,000 $112,500 1.0 year 2 247,500 142,500 1.0 year 3 105,000 60,000 1.0 year 4 45,000 120,000 0.375 year* *At the beginning of the year, an additional $45,000 is needed to recover the investment. Since a net cash flow of $120,000 is expected, only 0.375 year ($45,000/$120,000) is needed to recover the remaining $45,000, assuming a uniform cash flow throughout the year. The storage facility has a shorter payback period and thus seems less risky and would have less impact on liquidity. 3. The payback for the laundry facility is 2.4 years ($360,000/150,000). The laundry facility has the better payback and also has more cash flow over its life and thus would have a more favorable impact on liquidity. Cornerstone Exercise 19.2 1. Yearly depreciation expense: ($170,000 $0)/5 = $34,000 Year 1 net income = $68,000 $34,000 = $34,000 Year 2 net income = $68,000 $34,000 = $34,000 Year 3 net income = $85,000 $34,000 = $51,000 Year 4 net income = $85,000 $34,000 = $51,000 Year 5 net income = $102,000 $34,000 = $68,000 2. Total net income (five years) = $238,000 Average net income = $238,000/5 = $47,600 Accounting rate of return = $47,600/$170,000 = 0.28 Cornerstone Exercise 19.2 (Concluded) 3. Average net income = $221,000/5 = $44,200. Thus, ARR = $44,200/$170,000 = 0.26, which is less than the ARR of the echocardiogram. The second project has a lower accounting rate of return; thus, the metric would say to invest in the echocardiogram. However, in reality, the second project would be preferred even though it provides a lower ARR and less total cash because it returns larger amounts of cash sooner than the first project. It is possible that the time value of money may shift the choice to the second project. Cornerstone Exercise 193 1. Year Item Cash Flow 0 Equipment $(800,000) Working capital (100,000) Total $(900,000) 14 Revenues $ 750,000 Operating expenses (450,000) Total $ 300,000 5 Revenues $ 750,000 Operating expenses (450,000) Salvage 100,000 Recovery of working capital 100,000 Total $ 500,000 2. Year Cash Flow Discount Factor* Present Value 0 $(900,000) 1.000 $(900,000) 14 300,000 3.312 993,600 5 500,000 0.681 340,500 Net present value $ 434,100 *Years 14 from Exhibit 19B-2; Year 5 from Exhibit 19B-1. 3. Correcting for the overestimation error of $150,000 would cause the product to be rejected. Year Cash Flow Discount Factor** Present Value 0 $(900,000) 1.000 $(900,000) 14 150,000 3.312 496,800 5 350,000 0.681 238,350 Net present value $ (164,850) **Years 14 from Exhibit 19B-2; Year 5 from Exhibit 19B-1. Cornerstone Exercise 19.4 1. df = $900,000/$300,000 = 3.000. Since the life of the investment is four years, we must find the fourth row in Exhibit 19B-2 and move across this row until we encounter 3.000. The interest rate corresponding to 3.000 is between 12 and 14 percent, which is the IRR. Since IRR > 0.08, the investment is acceptable. 2. To find the IRR, we must find i by trial and error such that $775,000 = $400,000/(1 + i) + $500,000/(1 + i)2. Using i = 0.12 as the first guess, Exhibit 19B-1 yields discount factors of 0.893 and 0.797 and thus the following present value for the two cash inflows: P = (0.893 $400,000) + (0.797 $500,000) = $755,700 Since P < $775,000, a lower interest rate is needed. Letting i = 10 percent, we obtain: P = (0.909 $400,000) + (0.826 $500,000) = $776,600 Since $775,000 is between $755,700 and $776,600, we can say that IRR is between 10 percent and 12 percent. Since IRR > 0.08, the investment is acceptable. 3. df = $900,000/$250,000 = 3.600. Using Exhibit 19B-2, this discount factor now corresponds to an IRR of about 4 percent, which is less than the cost of capital (unacceptable investment). Cornerstone Exercise 19.5 1. Clearlook System: NPV Analysis Year Cash Flow Discount Factor* Present Value 0 $(900,000) 1.000 $ (900,000) 15 275,000 3.993 1,098,075 Net present value $ 198,075 *From Exhibit 19B-2 Cornerstone Exercise 19.5 (Concluded) 2. Goodview System: NPV Analysis Year Cash Flow Discount Factor* Present Value 0 $(800,000) 1.000 $(800,000) 15 245,000 3.993 978,285 Net present value $ 178,285 *From Exhibit 19B-2. The Clearlook System has the higher NPV and would be chosen. 3. IRR Analysis: Clearlook: Discount factor = Initial investment/Annual cash flow = $900,000/$275,000 = 3.273* Goodview: Discount factor = Initial investment/Annual cash flow = $800,000/$245,000 = 3.265** *From Exhibit 19B-2, df = 3.273 implies that IRR H" 16 percent **From Exhibit 19B-2, df = 3.265 implies that IRR is slightly greater than 16percent. IRR is a relative measure of profits and when comparing two competing projects it will not reveal the absolute dollar contributions of the projects and thus will not necessarily lead to choosing the project that maximizes wealth. The IRR is slightly better for the Goodview MRI System yet the Clearview MRI System is clearly superior as it increases the value of the firm more than the other system. Cornerstone Exercise 19.6 1. CF = NI + NC = $54,000 + $120,000 = $174,000 2. (1 t) Revenue = (1 0.40) $360,000 = $216,000 (1 t) Cash expenses = (1 0.40) $(150,000) = (90,000) t Depreciation = 0.40 $120,000 = 48,000 Operating cash flow $174,000 3. Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc CF 1 $216,000 $(90,000) $48,000 $174,000 2 216,000 (90,000) 48,000 174,000 3 216,000 (90,000) 48,000 174,000 4 216,000 (90,000) 48,000 174,000 aR = Revenue. bC = Cash operating expenses. cNC = Noncash operating expenses. EXERCISES Exercise 19.7 1. Payback period = $93,750/$31,250 = 3.00 years 2. ARR = ($108,000 $36,000)/$360,000 = 0.20 3. Payback period: Cash Flow Unrecovered Investment Year 1 $42,000 $294,000 Year 2 58,800 235,200 Year 3 84,000 151,200 Year 4 84,000 67,200 Year 5 84,000* *Only $67,200 is needed to finish recovery; thus, payback is 4.8 years. Average cash flows = $772,800/10 = $77,280 [Total cash flows = $42,000 + $58,800 + (8 $84,000) = $772,800] Annual depreciation = $336,000/10 = $33,600 ARR = ($77,280 $33,600)/$336,000 = 0.13 Exercise 19.8 1. F = $5,000(1.03)2 = $5,304.50 2. 4%: P = $80,000 0.790 = $63,200 6%: P = $80,000 0.705 = $56,400 8%: P = $80,000 0.636= $50,880 3. CF(df) = $500,000 (where CF = Annual cash flow; df = Discount factor) CF(4.623) = $500,000 CF = $500,000/4.623 = $108,155 Exercise 19.9 1. NPV = P I = (5.335 $800,000) $4,000,000 = $268,000 The system should be purchased. 2. df = Investment/Annual cash flow = $270,000/$43,470 = 6.211 IRR = 0.06 The decision is good. The outcome covers the cost of capital. Exercise 19.10 1. Payback period = Original investment/Annual cash inflow = $2,293,200/($2,981,160 $2,293,200) = $2,293,200/$687,960 = 3.33 years 2. Yearly depreciation expense: ($2,293,200 $0)/5 = $458,640 Accounting rate of return = Average income/Investment = ($687,960 $458,640)/$2,293,200 = 10% 3. Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(2,293,200) 1.000 $(2,293,200) 15 687,960 3.791 2,608,056 NPV $ 314,856 4. P = CF(df) = I for the IRR, thus, df = Investment/Annual cash flow = $2,293,200/$687,960 = 3.333 For five years and a df of 3.333, the IRR is between 14 percent and 16 percent (approximately 15.3 percent). Exercise 19.11 MRI equipment: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(425,000) 1.000 $ (425,000) 1 200,000 0.893 178,600 2 100,000 0.797 79,700 3 150,000 0.712 106,800 4 100,000 0.636 63,600 5 50,000 0.567 28,350 NPV $ 32,050 Biopsy equipment: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(425,000) 1.000 $ (425,000) 1 50,000 0.893 44,650 2 50,000 0.797 39,850 3 100,000 0.712 71,200 4 200,000 0.636 127,200 5 237,500 0.567 134,663 NPV $ (7,437) Exercise 19.12 1. MRI equipment: Payback period = $200,000 1.00 year 100,000 1.00 125,000 0.83 ($125,000/$150,000) $425,000 2.83 years Biopsy equipment: Payback period = $50,000 1.00 year 50,000 1.00 100,000 1.00 200,000 1.00 25,000 0.11 ($25,000/$237,500) $425,000 4.11 years This might be a reasonable strategy because payback is a rough measure of risk. The assumption is that the longer it takes a project to pay for itself, the riskier the project is. Other reasons might be that the firm could have liquidity problems, the cash flows might be risky, or there might be a high risk of obsolescence. Exercise 19.12 (Concluded) 2. MRI equipment: Average cash flow = ($200,000 + $100,000 + $150,000 + $100,000 + $50,000)/5 = $120,000 Average depreciation = $425,000/5 = $85,000 Average income = $120,000 $85,000 = $35,000 Accounting rate of return = $35,000/$425,000 = 0.0824 = 8.24% Biopsy equipment: Average cash flow = ($50,000 + $50,000 + $100,000 + $200,000 + $237,500)/5 = $127,500 Accounting rate of return = ($127,500 $85,000*)/$425,000 = 0.10 = 10.00% *Average depreciation. Exercise 19.13 1. a. Return of the original investment $600,000 b. Cost of capital ($600,000 0.10) 60,000 c. Profit earned on the investment ($810,000 $660,000) 150,000 2. Present value of profit: P = Future profit Discount factor = $150,000 0.909 = $136,350 3. Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(600,000) 1.000 $(600,000) 1 810,000 0.909 736,290 NPV $ 136,290 Net present value gives the present value of future profits. (The slight difference is due to rounding in the discount factor.) Exercise 19.14 1. P = I = df CF 2.914* CF = $120,000 CF = $41,181 (rounded) *From Exhibit 19B-2, 14 percent for four years. 2. For IRR: (Discount factors from Exhibit 19B-2) I = df CF I = 2.402 CF (1) For NPV: NPV = df CF I = 2.577 CF I (2) Substituting equation (1) into equation (2): NPV = (2.577 CF) (2.402 CF) $1,750 = 0.175 CF CF = $1,750/0.175 = $10,000 in savings each year Substituting CF = $10,000 into equation (1): I = 2.402 $10,000 = $24,020 original investment 3. For IRR: I = df CF $60,096 = df $12,000 df = $60,096/$12,000 = 5.008 From Exhibit 19B-2, 18 percent column, the year corresponding to df = 5.008 is 14. Thus, the lathe must last for 14 years. Exercise 19.14 (Concluded) 4. X = Cash flow in Year 4 Investment = 3X Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 (3X) 1.000 $ (3X) 1 15,000 0.909 13,635 2 20,000 0.826 16,520 3 30,000 0.751 22,530 4 X 0.683 0.683X NPV $ 6,075 3X + $13,635 + $16,520 + $22,530 + 0.683X = $6,075 2.317X + $52,685 = $6,075 2.317X = $(46,610) X = $(46,610)/2.317 X = $20,117 Cash flow in Year 4 = X = $20,117 Cost of project = 3X = $60,351 Exercise 19.15 1. Payback period = Investment/Annual cash flow = $9,000,000/$1,500,000 = 6.00 years The system would not be acquired. 2. NPV = P I = (5.650 $1,500,000) $9,000,000 = $(525,000) df = $9,000,000/$1,500,000 = 6.00 IRR is between 10 percent and 12 percent (IRR = 10.6 percent). NPV and IRR also signal rejection of the project. Exercise 19.15 (Concluded) 3. Payback period = $9,000,000/$1,800,000 = 5.00 years NPV: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(9,000,000) 1.000 $ (9,000,000) 110 1,800,000 5.650 10,170,000 10 1,000,000 0.322 322,000 NPV $ 1,492,000 IRR: df = $9,000,000/$1,800,000 = 5.000 IRR (without salvage value) is now between 14 percent and 16 percent (approximately 15.13 percent). Payback, NPV, and IRR all now signal acceptance. The decrease in salvage value does not change the decision for any of the three measures. NPV decreases by $161,000 (0.322 $500,000). For this company, including salvage value is not critical. The increased cash inflow for the expanded market share drives the change in decision. The presence of salvage value, however, increases the attractiveness of the investment and reduces the uncertainty about the outcome. Exercise 19.16 1. NPV System I: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(120,000) 1.000 $(120,000) 1 2 162,708 0.826 134,397 NPV $ 14,397 NPV System II: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(120,000) 1.000 $(120,000) 12 76,628 1.736 133,026 NPV $ 13,026 System I should be chosen using NPV. Exercise 19.16 (Concluded) IRR System I: I = df CF $120,000 = $162,708/(1 + i)2 (1 + i)2 = $162,708/$120,000 = 1.3559 1 + i = 1.1644 IRR = 0.164 IRR System II: df = I/CF = $120,000/$76,628 = 1.566 From Exhibit 19B-2, IRR = 18 percent. System II should be chosen using IRR. 2. Modified comparison: Year System I System II 0 $(120,000) $(120,000) 1 2 162,708 160,919* *($76,628 1.10) + $76,628 = $160,919 Notice that the future value of System I is greater than that of System II and thus maximizes the value of the firm. NPV signals the correct choice, where-as IRR would have chosen System II. Exercise 19.17 Project I: CF = NI + Noncash expenses = $54,000 + $45,000 = $99,000 Project II: CF = [(1 t) (Cash expenses)] + (t Noncash expenses) = (0.6 $90,000) + (0.4 $90,000) = $(54,000) + $36,000 = $(18,000) Exercise 19.18 1. Year Depreciation tNC df Present Value 1 $3,000 $1,200 0.893 $1,072 2 6,000 2,400 0.797 1,913 3 6,000 2,400 0.712 1,709 4 3,000 1,200 0.636 763 $5,457 2. Year Depreciation* tNC df Present Value 1 $5,999 $2,400 0.893 $2,143 2 8,001 3,200 0.797 2,550 3 2,666 1,066 0.712 759 4 1,334 534 0.636 340 $5,792 * Cost Depreciation Rate 18,000 33.33% 18,000 44.45% 18,000 14.81% 18,000 7.41% 3. MACRS increases the present value of tax shielding by increasing the amount of depreciation in the earlier years. CPA-TYPE EXERCISES Exercises19.19 c. NPV = ($25,000 x 4.355) + (0.564 x $20,000) - $100,000 = $20,155 Exercise 19.20 a. This is simply the definition of the internal rate of return. Exercise 19.21 c. The weighted-average cost of capital is frequently used as the hurdle rate within capital budgeting techniques. Investments that provide a return that exceeds the weighted-average cost of capital should continuously add to the value of the firm. Exercise 19.22 c. Net present value is computed as the difference between project inflows and outflows, discounted to present value as follows. Inflows: Years 1 through 5: $420,000 x 3.79 = $1,591,800 Year 6: $100,000 x .56 = $ 56,000 Present value of all inflows $1,647,800 Outflow (today, discount factor of 1.0) ($1,800,000) Net Present Value ($ 152,200) Exercise 19.23 c. The formula for calculating the payback period is: Net Initial Investment / Increase in annual net after-tax cash flow The payback method computes the years needed to recoup an investment. The net cash inflows are generally assumed to be constant for each period during the life of the project. It is often used for risky investments, since it shows how quickly the initial investment will be recouped. problems Problem 19.24 1. Year 0 $ (630,000) Year 1: Operating costs (0.60 $52,500) $ (31,500) Savings (0.60 $364,500) 218,700 Depreciation shield [0.40 ($630,000/7) 0.5] 18,000 Total $ 205,200 Years 27: Operating costs (0.60 $52,500) $ (31,500) Savings (0.60 $364,500) 218,700 Depreciation shield (0.40 $90,000) 36,000 Total $ 223,200 Year 8: Operating costs (0.60 $52,500) $ (31,500) Savings (0.60 $364,500) 218,700 Depreciation shield (0.40 $45,000) 18,000 Total $ 205,200 Years 910: Operating costs (0.60 $52,500) $ (31,500) Savings (0.60 $364,500) 218,700 Total $ 187,200 2. Payback period: $205,200 1.00 year 223,200 1.00 201,600 0.90 ($201,600/$223,200) $630,000 2.90 years 3. Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(630,000) 1.000 $(630,000) 1 205,200 0.862 176,882 27 223,200 3.176 708,883 8 205,200 0.305 62,586 9 187,200 0.263 49,234 10 187,200 0.227 42,494 NPV $ 410,079 The NPV is positive and signals the acceptance of the project. Problem 19.24 (Concluded) 4. Most of the factors mentioned can be quantified. Furthermore, they should be included in the analysis. All direct and indirect costs as well as costs of intangible factors should be included; otherwise, it is possible to miss out on a very profitable investment. The exclusion of the environmental fine is especially puzzlingit is easily quantified, and certainly its avoidance is an important savings. The effect on sales may also be estimatedthere is already some indication that the company is assessing this outcome. Similarly, it should not be especially hard to get some handle on the potential litigation costs. There should be ample cases. Annual cash flows increase by $135,000 (fines and sales effect) [e.g., cash inflows increase to $340,200 in Year 1 ($205,200 + $135,000) and $358,200 for Years 27 ($223,200 + $135,000)]. Payback: $340,200 1.00 year 289,800 0.81 ($289,800/$358,200) $630,000 1.81 years The payback is reduced by 1.09 years. NPV is increased by the following amount: Fines and sales effect ($135,000 4.833) $652,455 Lawsuit avoidance ($300,000 0.641) 192,300 Total increase in NPV $844,755 The effect of the omitted factors is greater than the included factors. While this may not be the normal state, it emphasizes the importance of including all related factors in the analysis. As mentioned, their exclusion may cause a company to pass up a profitable investment opportunity. Problem 19.25 1. Traditional equipment (18% rate): Year Cash Flow df Present Value 0 $(1,000,000) 1.000 $(1,000,000) 1 600,000 0.847 508,200 2 400,000 0.718 287,200 310 200,000 2.928 585,600 NPV $ 381,000 Problem 19.25 (Continued) Contemporary technology: Year Cash Flow df Present Value 0 $(4,000,000) 1.000 $(4,000,000) 1 200,000 0.847 169,400 2 400,000 0.718 287,200 3 600,000 0.609 365,400 46 800,000 1.323 1,058,400 7 1,000,000 0.314 314,000 810 2,000,000 0.682 1,364,000 NPV $ (441,600) 2. Traditional equipment (14% rate): Year Cash Flow df Present Value 0 $(1,000,000) 1.000 $(1,000,000) 1 600,000 0.877 526,200 2 400,000 0.769 307,600 310 200,000 3.571 714,200 NPV $ 548,000 Contemporary technology: Year Cash Flow df Present Value 0 $(4,000,000) 1.000 $(4,000,000) 1 200,000 0.877 175,400 2 400,000 0.769 307,600 3 600,000 0.675 405,000 46 800,000 1.567 1,253,600 7 1,000,000 0.400 400,000 810 2,000,000 0.929 1,858,000 NPV $ 399,600 3. The cost of capital is the rate that should be usedit usually reflects the opportunity cost of the funds needed to make the investment. A higher rate will bias against the acceptance of contemporary technologywhich usually has large initial outlays and larger returns later in the life of the project. Notice how the use of the 14 percent rate moved the NPV of the contemporary technology alternative from a negative to a positive value. Its enough of a movement that qualitative factors could now lead to the contemporary technology alternative being selected even though the other alternative still has a larger NPV. Problem 19.25 (Concluded) 4. Traditional equipment: Year Cash Flow df Present Value 0 $(1,000,000) 1.000 $(1,000,000) 1 600,000 0.877 526,200 2 400,000 0.769 307,600 310 100,000 3.571 357,100 NPV $ 190,900 The decision reverses; the contemporary technology system is now preferred. To remain competitive, managers must make good decisions, and this exercise emphasizes how indirect benefits can affect decisions. Intangibles such as customer satisfaction and on-time deliveries are important and can be translated into quantitative effects. Problem 19.26 1. Scrubbers and treatment facility (expressed in thousands): Present Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc CF df Value 0 $(50,000) 1.000 $(50,000) 1 $6,000 $(14,400) $4,000 (4,400) 0.909 (4,000) 2 6,000 (14,400) 6,400 (2,000) 0.826 (1,652) 3 6,000 (14,400) 3,840 (4,560) 0.751 (3,425) 4 6,000 (14,400) 2,304 (6,096) 0.683 (4,164) 5 6,000 (14,400) 2,304 (6,096) 0.621 (3,786) 6 7,200d (14,400) 1,152 (6,048) 0.564 (3,411) NPV $(70,438) a0.6 $10,000,000 = $6,000,000 b0.6 $24,000,000 = $14,400,000 cYear 1: 0.4 (0.2 $50,000,000) Year 2: 0.4 (0.32 $50,000,000) Year 3: 0.4 (0.192 $50,000,000) Years 4 and 5: 0.4 (0.1152 $50,000,000) Year 6: 0.4 (0.0576 $50,000,000) dIncludes salvage value (0.6 $2,000,000) Problem 19.26 (Concluded) Process redesign (expressed in thousands): Present Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc CF df Value 0 $(100,000) 1.000 $(100,000) 1 $18,000 $(6,000) $ 8,000 20,000 0.909 18,180 2 18,000 (6,000) 12,800 24,800 0.826 20,485 3 18,000 (6,000) 7,680 19,680 0.751 14,780 4 18,000 (6,000) 4,608 16,608 0.683 11,343 5 18,000 (6,000) 4,608 16,608 0.621 10,314 6 19,800d (6,000) 2,304 16,104 0.564 9,083 NPV $ (15,815) a0.6 $30,000,000 = $18,000,000 b0.6 $10,000,000 = $6,000,000 cYear 1: 0.4 (0.2 $100,000,000) Year 2: 0.4 (0.32 $100,000,000) Year 3: 0.4 (0.192 $100,000,000) Years 4 and 5: 0.4 (0.1152 $100,000,000) Year 6: 0.4 (0.0576 $100,000,000) dIncludes salvage value (0.6 $3,000,000) The process redesign option is less costly and should be implemented. 2. The modification will add to the cost of the scrubbers and treatment facility (present value is 0.751 $8,000,000 = $6.008 million). Cleaning up the lake can be viewed as a cost of the first alternative or a benefit of the second. The present value of the cleanup cost gives an additional cost (benefit) between $30.04 and $45.06 million to the first (second) alternative (0.751 $40,000,000) and (0.751 $60,000,000). Adding in the benefit of avoiding the cleanup cost makes the process redesign alternative profitable (yielding a positive NPV). Ecoefficiency basically argues that productive efficiency increases as environmental performance increases and that it is cheaper to prevent environmental contamination than it is to clean it up once created. The first alternative is a cleanup approach, while the second is a prevention approach. Problem 19.27 1. Proposal A: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(250,000) 1.000 $(250,000) 1 150,000 0.909 136,350 2 125,000 0.826 103,250 3 75,000 0.751 56,325 4 37,500 0.683 25,613 5 25,000 0.621 15,525 6 12,500 0.564 7,050 NPV $ 94,113 Proposal B: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(312,500) 1.000 $(312,500) 1 (37,500) 0.909 (34,088) 2 (25,000) 0.826 (20,650) 3 (12,500) 0.751 (9,388) 4 212,500 0.683 145,138 5 275,000 0.621 170,775 6 337,500 0.564 190,350 NPV $ 129,637 2. Proposal A payback period: First year 1.00 year $150,000 Second year ($100,000/$125,000) 0.80 100,000 1.80 years $ 250,000 Proposal B payback period: First year 1.00 year $ (37,500) Second year 1.00 (25,000) Third year 1.00 (12,500) Fourth year 1.00 212,500 Fifth year ($175,000/$275,000) 0.64 175,000 4.64 years $312,500 3. Based on the NPV analysis, both proposals could be accepted as they have positive NPVs. Proposal B, in fact, has the higher NPV. Problem 19.27 (Concluded) 4. Kent Tessman may have accepted only Proposal A because of the fact that his performance is going to be closely monitored over the next three years. Proposal B had negative cash flows projected for the first three years. This would hurt his divisional profits during that time, and he may feel that this would hurt his chances for promotion to higher management. It is also possible that he was concerned about the effect the proposal would have on his bonus payments. Kent might have rejected Proposal B because of the longer payback period. He may have felt that this increased the risk associated with the project to an unacceptable level. It might also be possible that the firm has liquidity problems and needs projects with quick paybacks. The latter, however, is not likely given the fact that his division has had high performance ratings over the past three years. If Kents reasons for rejecting the proposal were based on his concerns about his promotion and bonuses rather than legitimate economic reasons, then his behavior is unethical. To consciously subvert the legitimate objectives of an organization for the pursuit of personal goals is not right. It might also be noted that perhaps the organization needs to reduce its emphasis on short-term profit performance. Problem 19.28 1. df = Investment/Annual cash flow = $2,250,000/$450,000 = 5.0 The IRR is between 14 percent and 16 percent (approximately 15.13 percent). The company should acquire the new IT system since the cost of capital is only 12 percent. 2. Since I = P for the IRR, the minimum cash flow is: I = df CF $2,250,000 = 5.650* CF 5.650 CF = $2,250,000 CF = $2,250,000/5.650 CF = $398,230 *From Exhibit 19B-2, discount factor at 12 percent (cost of capital) for 10 years. The safety margin is $51,770 ($450,000 $398,230). This seems to suggest that there is not much room for erroras the savings are all tied to labor. Problem 19.28 (Concluded) 3. For a life of eight years: df = I/CF = $2,250,000/$450,000 = 5.0 The IRR is between 10 percent and 12 percent (approximately 11.83 percent). The system is about at the break-even point (point of indifference). Minimum cash flow at 12 percent for eight years: I = df CF $2,250,000 = 4.968 CF 4.968 CF = $2,250,000 CF = $2,250,000/4.968 CF = $452,899 The less sensitive the decision is to changes in estimates, the safer the decision. In this case, a two-year difference in project life moves the investment into a marginal zone. Thus, the company may wish to examine carefully its assumptions concerning project life. Problem 19.29 Keep old MRI equipment: Present Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc CF df Value 1 $(600,000) $320,000 $(280,000) 0.893 $ (250,040) 2 (600,000) 320,000 (280,000) 0.797 (223,160) 3 (600,000) 160,000 (440,000) 0.712 (313,280) 4 (600,000) (600,000) 0.636 (381,600) 5 $60,000 (600,000) (540,000) 0.567 (306,180) NPV $(1,474,260) a0.60 $100,000 b0.60 $1,000,000 cYears 1 and 2: 0.40 $800,000; Year 3: 0.40 $400,000. The class life has two years remaining; thus, there are three years of depreciation to claim, with the last year being only half. Let X = Annual depreciation. Then X + X + X/2 = $2,000,000 and X = $800,000. Problem 19.29 (Concluded) Buy new MRI equipment: Present Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc Otherd CF df Value 0 $600,000 $(4,500,000) $(3,900,000) 1.000 $(3,900,000) 1 $(300,000) 400,000 100,000 0.893 89,300 2 (300,000) 640,000 340,000 0.797 270,980 3 (300,000) 384,000 84,000 0.712 59,808 4 (300,000) 230,400 (69,600) 0.636 (44,266) 5 $427,200 (300,000) 230,400 288,000 645,600 0.567 366,055 NPV $(3,158,123) a0.60 ($1,000,000 Book value), where Book value = $5,000,000 $4,712,000. b0.60 $500,000. cYear 0: Tax savings from loss on sale of asset: 0.40 $1,500,000 [(The loss on the sale of the old computer is $1,500,000 ($2,000,000 $500,000.)] Years 15: Tax savings from MACRS depreciation: ($5,000,000 0.20) 0.40; ($5,000,000 0.32) 0.40; ($5,000,000 0.192) 0.40; ($5,000,000 0.1152) 0.40; ($5,000,000 0.1152) 0.40. Note: The asset is disposed of at the end of the fifth yearthe end of its class lifeso the asset is held for its entire class life, and the full amount of depreciation can be claimed in Year 5. dPurchase cost ($5,000,000) less proceeds from the sale of the old computer ($500,000); recovery of capital from the sale of the machine at the end of Year 5 is simply the book value of $288,000 (original cost less accumulated depreciation). The old MRI equipment should be kept since it has a lower cost. Problem 19.30 1. Old system (dollars in thousands): Present Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc Cash Flow df Value 0 $ 0 1.000 $ 0 19 $18,000 $(13,440) $240 4,800 4.031 19,349 10 18,000 (13,440) 4,560 0.162 739 NPV $20,088 a100,000 $300 = $30,000,000 0.6 = $18,000,000 b($80 + $90 + $20 + $34) 100,000 = $22,400,000 0.6 = $13,440 c$6,000,000/10 = $600,000 0.4 = $240,000 Problem 19.30 (Continued) New system (dollars in thousands): Present Year (1 t)R (1 t)Ca tNCb Otherc Cash Flow df Value 0 $ 960 $(51,000) $(50,040) 1.000 $(50,040) 110 $18,000 $(7,740) 2,160 12,420 4.192 52,065 NPV $ 2,025 aDirect materials (0.75 $80) $ 60 Direct labor (0.4 $90) 36 Volume-related overhead ($20 $4) 16 Direct fixed overhead ($34 $17) 17 Unit cost $129 Total cash expenses = $129 100,000 = $12,900,000 After-tax cash expenses = 0.6 $12,900,000 = $7,740,000 bYear 0: Tax savings on loss from the sale of the old machine = $6,000,000 $600,000 = $5,400,000 $3,000,000 = $2,400,000 0.4 = $960,000 Years 110: Depreciation = 0.4 ($54,000,000/10) = $2,160,000 cNet outlay = $54,000,000 $3,000,000 = $51,000,000 The old system should be chosen because it has the higher NPV. 2. Old system (dollars in thousands): Present Year (1 t)R (1 t)C tNC CF df Value 0 $ 0 1.000 $ 0 19 $18,000 $(13,440) $240 4,800 5.328 25,574 10 18,000 (13,440) 4,560 0.322 1,468 NPV $27,042 New system (dollars in thousands): Present Year (1 t)R (1 t)C tNC Other CF df Value 0 $ 960 $(51,000) $(50,040) 1.000 $(50,040) 110 $18,000 $(7,740) 2,160 12,420 5.650 70,173 NPV $ 20,133 Notice how much more attractive the automated system becomes when the cost of capital is used as the discount rate. Problem 19.30 (Concluded) 3. Old system with declining sales (dollars in thousands): Present Year (1 t)R (1 t)C* tNC CF df Value 0 $ 0 1.000 $ 0 1 $18,000 $(13,440) $240 4,800 0.893 4,286 2 16,200 (12,300) 240 4,140 0.797 3,300 3 14,400 (11,160) 240 3,480 0.712 2,478 4 12,600 (10,020) 240 2,820 0.636 1,794 5 10,800 (8,880) 240 2,160 0.567 1,225 6 9,000 (7,740) 240 1,500 0.507 761 7 7,200 (6,600) 240 840 0.452 380 8 5,400 (5,460) 240 180 0.404 73 9 3,600 (4,320) 240 (480) 0.361 (173) 10 1,800 (3,180) (1,380) 0.322 (444) NPV $13,680 *Cash expenses = Fixed + Variable = [$3,400,000 (Direct fixed) + $190X] 0.6 X = Units sold 4. For the new system, salvage value would increase after-tax cash flows in Year 10 by $2,400,000 (0.6 $4,000,000). Using the discount factor of 0.322, the NPV of the new system will increase from $20,133,000 to $20,905,800 (an increase of 0.322 $2,400,000), making the new investment more attractive. The NPV analysis for the old system remains unchanged. 5. Requirement 2 illustrates the importance of using the correct discount rate. The rate of 20 percent made the automated alternative look totally unappealing. By using the correct rate, the alternative showed a large net present value, although it was still less than the NPV of the old system. The old systems projections of future revenues, however, were overly optimistic. The old system was not able to produce as fast or at the same level of quality as the new system, factors that could reduce the competitive position of the firm and cause sales to decline. When this effect was considered (with the correct discount rate), the new system dominated the old. Inclusion of salvage value simply increased this dominance. Problem 19.31 1. Schedule of cash flows: Year Item CF 2014 Equipment $(945,000) Discount 18,900 Freight (11,000) Installation (22,900) Salvageold (0.6 $1,500) 900 Working capital reduction 2,500 Total $(956,600) 2015 Operating expenses* $(627,000) Depreciation tax shield** 127,987 Total $(499,013) 2016 Operating expenses* $(627,000) Depreciation tax shield** 170,688 Total $(456,312) 2017 Operating expenses* $(651,000) Depreciation tax shield** 56,870 Total $(594,130) 2018 Operating expenses* $(687,000) Depreciation tax shield** 28,454 Total $(658,546) 2019 Operating expenses* $(687,000) Salvagenew (0.6 $12,000) 7,200 Total $(679,800) *Unit cost: DM $10 0.75 $ 7.50 DL 8 1.00 8.00 VOH 6 0.75 4.50 Total $20.00 Year 2015 Variable costs: $20 50,000 = $1,000,000 0.6 = $600,000 Fixed costs: $45,000 0.6 = $ 27,000 $627,000 2016 Variable costs: $20 50,000 = $1,000,000 0.6 = $600,000 Fixed costs: $45,000 0.6 = $ 27,000 $627,000 2017 Variable costs: $20 52,000 = $1,040,000 0.6 = $624,000 Fixed costs: $45,000 0.6 = $ 27,000 $651,000 2018 Variable costs: $20 55,000 = $1,100,000 0.6 = $660,000 Fixed costs: $45,000 0.6 = $ 27,000 $687,000 Problem 19.31 (Continued) 2019 Variable costs: $20 55,000 = $1,100,000 0.6 = $660,000 Fixed costs: $45,000 0.6 = $ 27,000 $687,000 **Depreciation tax shield: Year Value*** Rate Allowance Tax Rate Shield 2015 $960,000 0.3333 $319,968 0.40 $127,987 2016 960,000 0.4445 426,720 0.40 170,688 2017 960,000 0.1481 142,176 0.40 56,870 2018 960,000 0.0741 71,136 0.40 28,454 ***$945,000 $18,900 + $11,000 + $22,900 = $960,000 NPV: Year CF df Present Value 2014 $(956,600) 1.000 $ (956,600) 2015 (499,013) 0.893 (445,619) 2016 (456,312) 0.797 (363,681) 2017 (594,130) 0.712 (423,021) 2018 (658,546) 0.636 (418,835) 2019 (679,800) 0.567 (385,447) NPV $(2,993,203) 2. Schedule of cash flows: Year Item CF 2014 Salvageold (0.6 $1,500) = $ 900 2015 Purchase cost: $27 (50,000 0.6) = (810,000) 2016 Purchase cost: $27 (50,000 0.6) = (810,000) 2017 Purchase cost: $27 (52,000 0.6) = (842,400) 2018 Purchase cost: $27 (55,000 0.6) = (891,000) 2019 Purchase cost: $27 (55,000 0.6) = (891,000) NPV: Year CF df Present Value 2014 $ 900 1.000 $ 900 2015 (810,000) 0.893 (723,330) 2016 (810,000) 0.797 (645,570) 2017 (842,400) 0.712 (599,789) 2018 (891,000) 0.636 (566,676) 2019 (891,000) 0.567 (505,197) NPV $(3,039,662) Problem 19.31 (Concluded) 3. The analysis favors internal production because it has a lower cost than purchasing. Qualitative factors: reliability of supplier, quality of the product, stability of purchasing price, labor relations, community relations, etc. Problem 19.32 1. After-tax cash flows: Manual system: Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc Cash Flows 110 $240,000 $(180,000) $8,000 $68,000 a0.60 $400,000 (sales) b(0.60 $228,000) + [0.60 ($92,000 $20,000)] c0.40 $20,000 Robotic system: Year (1 t)Ra (1 t)Cb tNCc Otherd Cash Flows 0 $64,000 $(480,000) $(416,000) 1 $240,000 $(124,320) 29,723 145,403 2 270,000 (132,960) 50,939 187,979 3 300,000 (141,600) 36,379 194,779 4 360,000 (158,880) 25,979 227,099 5 360,000 (158,880) 18,574 219,694 6 360,000 (158,880) 18,554 219,674 7 360,000 (158,880) 18,574 219,694 8 360,000 (158,880) 9,277 210,397 9 360,000 (158,880) 201,120 10 372,000 (158,880) 213,120 aYear 1: 0.60 $400,000; Year 2: 0.60 $450,000; Year 3: 0.60 $500,000; Years 49: 0.60 $600,000; Year 10: 0.60 $620,000 (includes salvage value as a gain). bAfter-tax cash expenses: Fixed: Direct labor $20,000 0.60 = $12,000 (one operator) Other $72,000 0.60 = 43,200 (from income statement) $55,200 Problem 19.32 (Continued) Variable: Direct materials (0.16 Sales) 0.75 0.60 = 0.0720 Sales Variable overhead (0.09 Sales) 0.6667 0.60 = 0.0360 Sales Variable selling (0.12 Sales) 0.90 0.60 = 0.0648 Sales Total = 0.1728 Sales Total after-tax cash expenses = $55,200 + (0.1728 Sales) cYear 0: Tax savings on loss: [($200,000 $40,000) 0.40] Years 18: MACRS: 0.1429 ($520,000 0.40) 0.2449 ($520,000 0.40) etc. dNet investment: Purchase costs $520,000 Recovery of capital (40,000) $480,000 2. Manual system: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $ 0 1.000 $ 0 110 68,000 5.650 384,200 NPV $384,200 Robotic system: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(416,000) 1.000 $(416,000) 1 145,403 0.893 129,845 2 187,979 0.797 149,819 3 194,779 0.712 138,683 4 227,099 0.636 144,435 5 219,694 0.567 124,567 6 219,674 0.507 111,375 7 219,694 0.452 99,302 8 210,397 0.404 85,000 9 201,120 0.361 72,604 10 213,120 0.322 68,625 NPV $ 708,255 The company should invest in the robotic system. Problem 19.32 (Concluded) 3. Managers may use a higher discount rate as a way to deal with the uncertainty in future cash flows. The higher rate protects the manager from unpleasant surprises. Since a higher rate favors investments that provide returns quickly, managers may be motivated by personal short-run considerations (e.g., bonuses and promotion opportunities). Using a discount rate of 12%: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(340,000) 1.000 $(340,000) 110 80,000 5.650 452,000 NPV $ 112,000 Using a discount rate of 20%: Year Cash Flow Discount Factor Present Value 0 $(340,000) 1.000 $(340,000) 110 80,000 4.192 335,360 NPV $ (4,640) If the 20 percent discount rate is used, the company would not acquire the robotic system. Using an excessive discount rate could seriously impair the ability of the firm to stay competitive. An excessive discount rate may lead a firm to reject new technology that would increase quality and productivity. As other firms invest in the new technology, their products will be priced lower and be of higher quality, features which would likely cause severe difficulty for the more conservative firm. cyber research case 19.33 Answers will vary.  The following problems can be assigned within CengageNOW and are auto-graded. See the last page of each chapter for descriptions of these new assignments. 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May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.  PAGE 720 19- PAGE 32 2015 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part. 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