ࡱ>      JK |M i u M  3bjbj== g WWbl8tTTT$x      xL'**:+&+^V_$%_ZL\L\L\L\L\L\L$O QtLT9_V^9_9_LO+&++LOOO9_+T&+ZLO9_ZLOOj+T&+' +Ex s:2TL0LL'RvV 'ROxx EDUCATION, POVERTY AND DEVELOPMENT IN THE PHILIPPINES: FROM QUANTITY TO QUALITY AND BEYOND Background paper for the Philippines Poverty Assessment 2004 Jose Garcia Montalvo Abbreviations and Acronyms ADB Asian Development Bank APIS Annual Poverty Incidence Survey CHED Commission of Higher Education, Gov. of Philippines. DepEd Department of Education, Gov. of Philippines. LSF Labor Force Survey PCER Presidential Commission on Education Reform. HELM Higher Education and Labor Market Study. HEI Higher Education Institution. FIES Family Income and Expenditure Survey TESDA Technical Education and Skills Development Authority NEDA National Economic and Development Authority PIDS Philippines Institute for Development Studies TVET Technical and Vocational Education and Training PESS Philippines Education Sector Study PPA Previous Philippines Poverty Assessment (2001) SUC State University/College LUC Local University/College CSI CHED Supervised Institution VAR Vector Autorregression PhP Philippines pesos TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction Inputs, outputs and the quality of education International comparisons: education and productivity Basic indicators of education in Philippines: efficiency and effectiveness Primary and secondary education Higher education Inputs, outputs and efficiency: the regional dimension Education and labor market outcomes Regional shocks and workers education Persistence of geographical differences in unemployment rates by skill level. How do workers with different skill levels adjust to shocks? Equity in the access to education Basic expenditure indicators Educational attainment and enrolment Equity in the access to higher education Education expenditure and access Reasons for not being enrolled in education Benefit incidence analysis of public expenditure in education The return to education in Philippines Previous studies on the return to education in Philippines The return to education in Philippines using the APIS 2002. Conclusions References Technical note I.  1. INTRODUCTION Education is a basic factor in economic development. At the microeconomic level education has an important role in social mobility, equity, public health, better opportunities for employment (lower unemployment and higher wages), etc. In the case of the Philippines the previous Poverty Assessment (World Bank 2001) showed clearly that the educational attainment of the head of the household was the single most important contributor to the observed variation in household welfare. However it is also well known that the workers of Philippines have one of the highest levels of education of Asia, specially when considering its level of development. Probably Philippines is the most typical case of what is called the education puzzle. Therefore the level of poverty of the Philippines is difficult to be explained by the level of education of their workers. We could summarize the characteristics of the education system in Philippines as follows: High quantity, in terms of average level of education of the population. Low quality of education and small contribution of the quality of education to the growth of TFP. High degree of mismatch and overqualification in the labor market. Lack of equity in the access to higher education. The objective of this report is to analyze and propose recommendations for the situation of the educational system of Philippines, specially with respect to the sector of tertiary education, digging into the contribution of education to economic growth in the Philippines as well as the factors that can explain why education is not translated into development. Our methodological approach is to deal analytically with all the issues, trying to find the most recent evidence on the diagnostic and trends. The objective is to obtain the relevant information to complement the last Philippines Poverty Assessment and cover the period of time since it was written . The organization of the report is guided by the relevant issues and not by the level of education. Therefore, instead of dividing the sections in primary, secondary and higher education we segment the report by issues and deal with the relevance of them for each level of education inside each section. The plan of the report is the following. Section 1 contains this introduction. Section 2 presents an analysis of the efficiency and effectiveness of education in terms of inputs, outputs and quality. Section 3 considers the efficiency of education in terms of outcomes. Section 4 discusses the likelihood of a preventive effect of education against negative shocks. Section 5 analyzes the equity of the education system. Section 6 presents an analysis of the rate of return of education in Philippines and its recent evolution. Finally section 7 summarizes the basic diagnostic and recommendations offered by the report. 2. INPUTS, OUTPUTS AND THE QUALITY OF EDUCATION In this section we review the basic indicators of inputs, outputs and quality of the education system of Philippines. First of all we present some international comparison of inputs, outputs and quality of education for countries in South East and the Pacific area of Asia. Secondly, we discuss inputs, outputs and quality of education in Philippines by level of education. Thirdly we present a preliminary discussion of the regional dimension of education in Philippines. International comparisons. The level of education of population of the Philippines is much higher than the one that corresponds to its level of development. Not only that but would score high even in comparison with many developed countries. Table 2.1 shows has very high gross enrolment rates in secondary and tertiary education. It is interesting to notice that the enrolment rate in tertiary education is very high in Philippines. Table 2.1. Gross enrolment rates (2001) PrimarySecondaryTertiaryCambodia123.422.22.5Korea100.194.282.0China113.968.212.7Indonesia110.957.915.1Lao114.840.64.3Malaysia95.269.626.0Mongolia98.776.134.7Myanmar89.639.311.5Philippines112.181.930.4Thailand97.782.836.8Vietnam103.469.710.0Source: EdStats, Worldbank (2003). Figure 2.1 shows that the enrolment in secondary education in Philippines is clearly over the regression line of enrolment on GNI per capita. This implies that Philippines scores much higher than countries in its geographical area with a similar level of development. Figure 2.1. Enrolment in secondary education and GNI per capita.  Source: Authors calculations with Worldbank data. The same is true for the gross enrolment in tertiary education as shown in figure 2.2. Figure 2.2. Enrolment in tertiary education and GNI per capita.  Source: Authors calculations with Worldbank data. Obviously the good educational indicators of Philippines are supported, are least partially, by an important effort in public expenditure in education. Table 2.2 shows that Philippines is the third country of the region in terms of public expenditure in education over GDP reaching a 4.2% in 1999. Only Malaysia and Thailand have a higher proportion of public expenditure on education over GDP. Table 2.2: Public expenditure on education (1998-2000). Pub. Educ/GDPPub. Educ/pub. Exp.Malaysia6.226.7Thailand5.431.0Philippines4.220.6Korea3.817.4LAO2.38.8China2.1-Cambodia1.910.1Indonesia1.37.0Source: UNESCO (latest figure for period 1998-2000). Except Indonesia (ADB). The proportion of public expenditure on education over total public expenditure is also high reaching 20.6% in 1999. This said the recent evolution of the proportion of public expenditure in education over GDP shows signs of stagnation and, even worse, a decreasing pattern. Since the data of UNESCO do not cover the most recent period we use the data of the ADB. Notice that the public expenditure in education in the ADB includes only the central government and, therefore, it is not totally comparable to the UNESCO data. Figure 1.3 shows the decreasing pattern of central government expenditure in education over GDP in the case of Philippines, Thailand and Indonesia. By contrast Malaysia is increasing the public effort in financing education. Figure 2.3. Recent evolution of public expenditure on education over GDP.  EMBED Excel.Chart.8 \s Source: ADB (2004). Therefore in recent years the differences have been reduced by the improvement of other countries in the region and by a certain stagnation in the educational sector of Philippines. The latest data compile by the Asian Development Bank shows several important trends: Countries like Malaysia and Thailand are catching up very quickly in terms of higher education enrolment. In fact in 1996 only Korea had a higher gross enrolment in tertiary education. By 2001 Mongolia, and specially, Thailand, have overtaken Philippines in gross enrolment in tertiary education. See also table 2 at the end of the document. Higher education in the Philippines stopped the convergence process towards developed economies by the middle of the 90s. Another important issue in the international comparisons of public expenditure on education is its distribution across educational levels. We will see later that the inputs involved in each level of education are very different in Philippines. Table 2.3 compares the three countries with the highest level of public education expenditure over GDP in the area. It is interesting to notice that despite the high level of enrolment in tertiary education in Philippines the public expenditure is low compare with the other two countries. Table 2.3 Public education expenditure by level of education PrimarySecondary TertiaryOthersMalaysia36.027.124.112.8Thailand34.419.931.913.8Philippines57.920.915.45.8Source: ADB (latest figures available 1998-2000). Other includes vocational and other expenditure not assigned by level. At first it seems difficult to make compatible the high level of educational achievement of Philippines workers with their low level of income per capita and productivity. Table 1.2 shows the productivity of several countries of Asia calculated as gross domestic product divided by number of employed persons. The table shows that after the crises some countries like Singapore or Korea have returned slowly back to the level of productivity previous to the crisis. However in the case of Philippines there is at most a very slow recovery path. In addition the comparison of the levels shows Philippines lacking behind other Asian countries. Table 2.4. Productivity comparison across different countries. COUNTRY 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Ave. SINGAPORE (1990 prices) 44215 38409 39806 38720 37813 44,537 39,857 MALAYSIA (1987 prices) 8160 5400 5756 5910 5801 no data 5,717 THAILAND (1988 prices) 2956 2064 2357 2255 2056 2190 2184 INDONESIA (1993 prices) 1026 535 603 526 441 500 521 PHILIPPINES (1985 prices) 1087 768 810 778 645 670 734 KOREA (1995 prices) 21068 14087 18155 19990 17877 18918 17,805 Source: Asian Development Bank. In US dollars. Obviously the previous table is a crude and simplistic approach to productivity but it give us a preliminary indication. Cororaton (2002) finds that the contribution of labor quality to total factor productivity in the period 1967-72 was 2.11%, while in the period 1991-93 was only 0.16% rising to 0.52% in 1998-2000 (see figure 2.4). Figure 2.4. Contribution of labor quality to TFP growth.  EMBED Excel.Chart.8 \s Source: Cororaton (2002). The reason for the decline in the contribution of labor quality to total factor productivity are diverse and complex. However there are at least two sources of problems: Low and deteriorating quality of education. Migration of highly qualified workers. Therefore there are several reason why the high educational achievement of Philippines laborers has not been translated into high productivity and a large impact on total factor productivity being the quality of the educational system in general and, in particular, the university sector, one of the most prominent. Table 2.5 present several indicators of the quality of the educational services in the Philippines. Table 2.5 shows that the Philippines have the second highest ratio of pupils by teacher in primary education (only below Cambodia) and the highest ratio of pupils by teacher in secondary among the Asian countries considered in table 4. More important that this fact we will see in next section that both ratios are increasing in Philippines while in other countries like Korea, Indonesia, China, Malaysia and Vietnam these ratios are decreasing. In addition the proportion of students of science and technology is low and the percentage of university students who graduate is also low compared with other countries. Table 2.5. Quality indicators I. Pupils per teacher (2001)Tertiary education (1996)PrimarySecondaryS&T students% graduatesChina19.618.9na35Korea32.121.032.138Mongolia31.821.924naIndonesia20.913.639.227Malaysia19.617.9na32Philippines35.438.313.728Thailand19.122.31818Viet Nam26.326.9nanaCambodia56.321.613.2naLAO29.924.1nanaMyarmar32.631.255.730Source: UNESCO (several years). Another indicator of the quality of education is the performance of students in international comparison tests. Although Philippines ranks number 1 in terms of data availability in support of the Millenium Development Goals among the 11 countries of South-East Asia the participation of the country in different international studies to measure the performance of students is disappointing. The Philippines students did not participate in the Reading Literacy Study 2001 not in the Second Information Technology in Education Study (1999-2002). One of the few standards for international comparison of the students of Philippines is the Trends and International Mathematics and Science Study. Since the third wave (2003) is not still available we can look at the first two waves (1995 and 1999). Unfortunately, although Philippines participate in the 1995 wave the results are not comparable to other countries because of problems with the sampling design. In particular: Regions 8, 12 and the autonomous region of Muslim Mindanao were removed from the sample coverage. Some school divisions sample based on the advice of the Department of Education instead of randomly. Sampling weights could not be computed since the selection probabilities were unknown. For all these reason we can only rely on the second wave. The results in table 2.6 show that the level of science and mathematics of the 8th degree students of Philippines is disappointing. Not only they are below the international average but the Philippines stands at the last position in the ranking of countries of Asia. In fact Philippines is ranked in the position previous to the last among all the countries that participated in this international survey (38). Only Morocco and South Africa were below, although only the second country had a score significantly smaller than the one of the students of Philippines. This is obviously a bad sign of the quality of the educational system. Table 2.7. Quality indicators II. MathScienceSingapore604568Korea587549China585569Hong Kong582530Malaysia519492International average487488Thailand466482Indonesia403435Philippines345345Source: TIMSS 1999. There are some other surprising results that locate Philippines in an extreme with respect to the performance of the students. Table 2.8 shows that in general boy outperform girls, less in mathematics than in sciences. However in the case of the Philippines girls outperform boys by a huge difference. Notice that if the average advantage of girls respect to boys in maths is 1.25 in Philippines this differential score reaches 15 points. In the case of science the difference is even more evident. The average of the countries included in table 6 is 11.1 in favor of boys. However Philippines is the only country were girls outperform boys in science and the difference is again huge. Table 2.8: Difference between Girls and boys in scores. MathScienceChina -4-17Hong Kong2-14Korea-5-21Indonesia-5-17Malaysia5-9Philippines1512Thailand4-3Singapore-2-20Source: TIMSS 1999. Some other indicators also point towards problems with the quality of higher education in Philippines: The academic background of the faculty (2001). The majority of the faculty (58%) has only a baccalaureate degree. Only 8% of the professor have a Ph.D. It seems that the low qualification of the faculty may be related with the upgrade of low level institutions to the university sector. The average passing rate of the professional boar examination (PBE) has been over many years, around the 40%. This implies that 60% of the graduates will not be able to practice the profession for which they have been preparing for. Basic indicators of education in Philippines: efficiency and effectiveness. In this section we review the recent evolution of the basic indicator of inputs, outputs and the quality of education in Philippines separating basic education from higher education. Primary and secondary education. The number of indicators on the efficiency of the different levels of education in the Philippines is overwhelming. The participation of Philippines in the project EFA (Education For All) has have a very important influence in the number of indicator of efficiency for the education sector. Table 2.9 contains some of the most important indices. The main characteristics are the following: In the elementary level public schools are the overwhelming majority of institutions of the sector. Private schools represent only the 10.9% of the total number of schools. However private elementary schools are increasing at a much faster rate than public elementary schools. Opposite to what happen in the elementary grade, the proportion of secondary private school is high, reaching 41.3% of the total secondary schools in the course 2002-03.   In recent year the growth of private high schools has been similar to the growth of the number of public high schools However as a consequence of the Asian crisis many student switched from private high schools to secondary high schools. For this reason enrolment in public high schools is increasing fast while enrolment in private high schools is decreasing. Table 2.9. Schools, enrolment and teachers: elementary and secondary education. ElementarySecondary1997-982002-03Crec.1997-982002-03Crec.SCHOOLS38,39541,2887.536,6907,89017.94Public35,27236,7594.223,9564,62917.01Private3,1234,52945.022,7343,26119.28ENROLMENT12,225,03812,979,6286.175,022,8306,077,85121.00Public11,295,98212,050,4506.683,616,6124,793,51132.54Private929,056929,1780.011,406,2181,284,340-8.67TEACHERS354,063337,082-4.80144,662119,235-17.58Public324,039337,0824.03105,240119,23513.30Private30,024-39,422-Source: Department of Education of Philippines. Table 2.10 presents the evolution over time of several performance indicator of the Philippines elementary and secondary system. The cohort survival rate is the proportion of enrolees at the beginning grade or year level who reach the final grade or year level at the end of the required number of years of study. We can see in table 2.10 that around two thirds of students complete elementary school in the expected time period. The cohort survival is even higher in secondary education. The completion rate captures a similar indicator. It is the percentage of first year entrants in a level of education who complete the level in accordance with the required number of years of study. The proportions are similar to the cohort survival rates. The drop-out rate is the proportion of students who leave school during the year as well as those who do not return to school the following year to the total number of students enrolled during the previous school year. The trend of the drop-out rate is increasing over these years which is worrisome. Table 2.10. Evolution of the basic performance indicator for elementary and secondary education. 1997-981998-991999-002000-012001-022002-03Cohort survival rate (EFA formula) Elementary64.96%64.09%69.48%67.21%67.13%- Secondary-70.31%69.50%---Completion rate Elementary67.67%68.99%68.38%66.13%66.33%- Secondary (based on First year)69.09%69.98%69.89%70.62%71.01%-Drop out rate Elementary7.39%7.57%7.72%9.03%-- Secondary9.93%9.09%9.55%10.63%--Achievement rate Elementary: NEAT50.78%50.08%49.19%51.73%-40* Secondary: NSAT48.66%46.12%54.34%53.39%-28.5*Pupil-teacher ratio Elementary343535363636 Secondary343535363940No schools Barangays without public elementary school4,2314,8194,7104,569 Municipalities without a high school26135366Source: Authors compilation from the DepEd. *NEAT and NSAT were not administrated in 2001-02. In 2002-03 there were two diagnostic tests: in grade IV for elementary and in 1st year for secondary. The achievement rate measures the performance of student in regular tests. The NEAT (National Elementary Assessment Test) is the national examination which aims to measure learning outcomes in the elementary level in response to the need tof enhancing quality of education as recommended by the Congressional Commission in Education. It is designed to assess abilitites and skill of grade VI students in all public and private schools. The NSAT (National Secondary Assessment Test) is a national examination to assess the skills of fourth year high school students. There are no clear trends in terms of the performance of the students in this tests. Finally, as we mentioned before, the ratio of students to teacher is worsening over time, specially in secondary education. Without pretending to be exhaustive table 2.11 presents a selection of performance indicator for elementary and secondary education for the course 2002-2003. Table 2.11. Basic performance indicators: elementary / secondary education (02-03). INDICATORSELEMENTARYSECONDARYTotal (MF) Male (M) Female (F)Total (MF) Male (M) Female (F)GER in ECCD9.86%9.60%10.14%% of Gr.1 w/ ECD Exp.51.95%51.31%52.68%App. Intake Rate (AIR)125.52%131.26%119.50%Net Intake Rate (NIR)43.59%41.90%45.38%Gross Enro Ratio (GER)100.41%101.17%99.61%65.66%62.96%68.41%Net Enro Ratio (NER)83.30%82.58%84.04%45.56%41.76%49.44%CSR (Grade VI / Year IV)69.47%65.49%73.90%63.88%56.71%71.22%Completion Rate66.94%62.77%71.56%58.62%51.11%66.38%Coefficient of Efficiency81.03%77.75%84.47%70.69%64.12%77.04%Years Input Per Graduate 7.41  7.72  7.10  5.66  6.24  5.19 Graduation Rate95.89%95.17%96.58%90.62%88.41%92.58%Ave. Promotion Rate93.42%92.32%94.58%83.82%78.49%88.97%Ave. Repetition Rate2.25%2.91%1.56%2.81%4.35%1.32%Ave. School Leaver Rate7.45%8.60%6.21%13.91%17.14%10.70%Transition Rate97.58%96.71%98.48%92.95%96.80%89.30%Ave. Failure Rate5.24%5.99%4.44%9.60%12.59%6.72%Retention Rate93.82%92.46%95.27%88.18%84.39%91.91%Ave. Dropout Rate1.34%1.69%0.98%6.58%8.92%4.31%Source: BEIS (2004). The most interesting fact from this table is the consistent better situation of women with respect to men. We already observed before how the performance of women in the TIMSS was much better than the performance of men of the same age. In table 2.11 we can see that women have a higher net enrolment rate, graduation rate, promotion rate, completion rate and retention rate than men. In addition women have a smaller repetition rate, years input per graduate, school leaver ratio, failure rate and dropout rate. This is true for elementary and secondary education. With respect to the quality of public and private school there are not very many indicator since most of the EFA indicator distinguish between men and women but not by the ownership of the schools. Indicator 11 presents the calculation of the student/teacher ratio separating public and private schools. In elementary schools the ratio of public schools is 35.7 while in private schools is 30.1. In high schools the ratio is 35.9 for public schools and 33.6 for private schools. Therefore it seems that in terms of the student/teacher ratio private schools are better equipped to produce high quality education than public schools. Another piece of information that may be important in rating public versus private schools is the level of satisfaction of the users. In a recent report the World Bank asked Filipino families for their level of satisfaction with public and private schools. Overall the level of satisfaction with public and private schools was very similar even thought rating were higher for private schools in the quality items and for public schools in the costs items. The present rating of public schools was 1.49 (past rating 1.50) while for private schools it was 1.51 (past rating 1.71). The highest satisfaction with public schools was associated with its convenient location, consequence of the longstanding policy one-barangay, one public school. The rating of public schools was low in class sizes, textbooks and facilities. Class sizes are larger not because of a simple shortage of teacher but also because of a poor policy of teacher deployment caused by the restrictive regulation on deployment of teacher in Philippines. In addition real students to teacher ratios in public schools are higher than the number shown by aggregate statistics due to many teachers doing clerical or administrative functions. Real ratios are close to 45. In private schools the highest degree of satisfaction corresponds to teachers attendance to schools, and availability of books. The lowest satisfaction is associated with the tuition charged by private schools. The Filipino Record Card study provides also estimates for the cost of public and private schools. Table 2.12 shows these findings. Table 2.12. Annual per student cost for elementary education (in PhP) FeesTextbooksUniformsTransportMeanPublic445385221,0172,023 Urban666696121,4102,767 Rural23094386511,329 Bottom 30%2047341419917 Middle 30%325174057941,200 Top 30%757847851,7062,065Private20,658Source: Filipino report card on pro-poor services (2001) Summarizing we can say that household would prefer to send their children to private schools if they did not have any financial constrain. A simple indication of this is that between 14% and 27% of households currently sending their children to a public school rated public schools better than private school. However from 63% to 93% of households sending their children to private schools rate them better than public schools. Higher education. The higher education sector of Philippines is one of the most interesting cases of higher education in the world. With 1,479 institutions of higher education Philippines ranks second in the absolute number of HEIs. Opposite to primary and secondary education in the higher education sector the large majority of the centers are private institutions. By 1965 private HEI were 94% of the total number of HEIs. The proportion decreased until the end of the 80s were it reached around 72% and increased again during the 90s. The proportion of private institutions in the course 2002-03 was 88,2%. Figure 2.5 shows that most of the recovery of the private HEIs during the 90s comes from the contribution of the non-sectarian institutions. Figure 2.5. Number of institutions by type.  EMBED Excel.Chart.8 \s Source: CHED. Usually HEIs are divided in public, private sectarian and private non-sectarian. The sectarian institutions are mostly religious and non-profit. They represent the high end of quality in the private sector. However most of the private HEI are non-sectarian (75,1%), for profit schools with large classes, scarcely selective admission processes and low tuition. The public institutions can be divided in SUCs (state and university colleges), CHIs (CHED supervised institutions) and LUCs (local universities/colleges). Public institutions charge low tuition fees , selective process of admission and very high unit costs. Table 2.13 presents the recent evolution of the number of HEI classified by groups. Table 2.13. Higher education institutions in Philippines. Sector/Institutional Type1998-991999-002000-012001-022002-03PHILIPPINES (without satellite campuses)1,3821,4041,3801,4281,479PHILIPPINES (with satellite campuses)1,4951,5631,6031,665PUBLIC (without satellite campuses)264232166170174PUBLIC (with satellite campuses)377391389407State Universities/Colleges (SUCs)Main106107107111111Satellite Campus113159223237CHED Supervised Institutions (CSIs)2Main1027131Satellite CampusLocal Universities/Colleges (LUCs)3937404244Other Government Schools1212111212Special Higher Education Institutions55545PRIVATE1,1181,1721,2141,2581,305Non-Sectarian818866902938980Sectarian300306312320325Source: CHED. The total enrolment is 3007 student per 100.000 population. This locates Philippines close to the 20th position in the world in terms of higher education student over population. This high number is the result of an extraordinary high transition rate from secondary to higher education. Close to 90% of the high school graduates continue into higher education. Table 2.14 presents the distribution of students by disciplines. The largest proportion corresponds to business administration and related disciplines (25.9%) followed by education and teaching (17.8%) and engineering and technology (15.3%). Mathematics and computer sciences is the choice for 10.6% of the students. The trends are also interesting. In recent years teachers training has reduced its proportion in the number of students while business administration has stabilized and technology, mathematics and computer science are growing. Table 2.14. Distribution of students by discipline. Discipline Group1998-19991999-20002000-20012001-2002% 01-02Agricultural, Forestry, Fisheries, Vet Med. 75,475  85,266  87,492  94,900  3.85 Architectural and Town Planning 23,346  22,394  23,459  25,205  1.02 Business Admin. and Related 635,398  632,760  645,970  640,315  25.97 Education and Teacher Training 407,966  447,183  469,019  439,549  17.82 Engineering and Technology 344,039  359,313  369,175  377,409  15.30 Fine and Applied Arts 9,778  9,809  10,138  8,967  0.36 General 55,630  55,890  68,223  43,627  1.77 Home Economics 7,167  7,513  10,060  6,460  0.26 Humanities 21,617  21,343  21,671  29,665  1.20 Law and Jurisprudence 18,629  20,099  20,097  19,646  0.80 Mass Communication and Documentation 24,206  45,421  21,622  30,638  1.24 Mathematics and Computer Science 221,660  220,860  239,931  262,134  10.63 Medical and Allied 155,868  150,634  141,771  164,000  6.65 Natural Science 25,932  28,856  29,215  30,451  1.23 Religion and Theology 10,538  10,856  9,507  7,828  0.32 Service Trades 12,532  13,369  14,486  15,421  0.63 Social and Behavioral Science 63,184  62,113  62,860  80,077  3.25 Trade, Craft and Industrial 982  640  988  4,651  0.19 Other Disciplines 165,367  179,167  185,158  185,113  7.51 Grand Total 2,279,314  2,373,486  2,430,842  2,466,056 Source: CHED. Table 2.15 presents the recent evolution of graduates from each discipline. Half of the graduates have majored in business administration or education. Table 2.15. Graduates by discipline. Discipline Group1999-20002000-20012001-2002*2002-2003*Agricultural, Forestry, Fisheries, Vet Med. 12,203  13,172  13,209  13,356 Architectural and Town Planning 2,235  2,541  2,542  2,570 Business Admin. and Related 104,555  106,559  106,924  108,117 Education and Teacher Training 60,415  71,349  71,480  72,277  Engineering and Technology 44,558  45,041  45,263  45,768 Fine and Applied Arts 1,560  1,323  1,326  1,340 General 5,970  5,238  5,494  5,556 Home Economics 820  957  960  970 Humanities 3,953  4,236  4,243  4,290 Law and Jurisprudence 2,134  2,214  2,204  2,229 Mass Communication and Documentation 4,747  5,140  5,152  5,210 Mathematics and Computer Science 34,015  33,059  32,953  33,320 Medical and Allied 30,053  27,296  27,380  27,686 Natural Science 4,283  4,770  4,824  4,878 Religion and Theology 1,435  1,052  1,056  1,068 Service Trades 2,369  2,342  2,366  2,392 Social and Behavioral Science 12,266  13,395  13,428  13,578 Trade, Craft and Industrial 391  712  714  722 Other Disciplines 22,845  23,244  23,043  23,300 TOTAL 350,818  363,651  364,563  368,628 Source: CHED. As in many other countries there has been an important debate in Philippines over the need to forecast the demand for higher education graduates by fields and favour those discipline from the public sector. However the international experience on manpower needs forecasting has been very disappointing. In addition is seems that in Philippines the signal from the market are understood by potential students (see the recent surge in technology and computer science students) even thought the speed of this transformation maybe too slow. Table 2.16 present several indicators of the intensity of graduation over number of students by disciplines. The highest proportion of graduates over students is found in business administration, mass communication, medical disciplines and social and behavioural sciences. Architecture and law have the lowest ratios. Table 2.16. Basic proportions and ratios by disciplines (2001-2002). Discipline Group% students% graduatesratio grad/studAgricultural, Forestry, Fisheries, Vet Med.3.853.620.14Architectural and Town Planning1.020.700.10Business Admin. and Related25.9729.330.17Education and Teacher Training17.8219.610.16Engineering and Technology15.3012.420.12Fine and Applied Arts0.360.360.15General1.771.510.13Home Economics0.260.260.15Humanities1.201.160.14Law and Jurisprudence0.800.600.11Mass Communication and Documentation1.241.410.17Mathematics and Computer Science10.639.040.13Medical and Allied6.657.510.17Natural Science1.231.320.16Religion and Theology0.320.290.13Service Trades0.630.650.15Social and Behavioral Science3.253.680.17Trade, Craft and Industrial0.190.200.15Other Disciplines7.516.320.12Source: Authors calculations using CHED data. The ratios in the previous table are affected by the differential growth in the number of student in each discipline and, therefore, it is difficult to interpret outside a steady state. Table 2.17 presents aggregated indicators not subject to this problem. Table 2.17. Output indicators of the higher education sector. Academic YearIndicatorGross Enrollment Ratio /Participation RateGross Survival RateGraduation Rate1995-199619.95%66.18%45.70%1996-199719.53%70.15%45.90%1997-199818.64%71.68%45.98%1998-199920.79%71.67%46.41%1999-200021.22%63.79%46.69%2000-200121.63%67.72%46.48%2001-200221.94%65.18%N/ASource: CHED. Gross Enrolment Ratio/Participation Rate - % of pre-baccalaureate and baccalaureate students over the schooling age population of 16-21 years old. Gross Survival Rate - % of 1st year baccalaureate students who were able to reach 4th year, 5th year and 6th year level, 3-, 4- and 5-years ago, respectively. Graduation Rate - % of 1st year baccalaureate students who were able to graduate. As we shown before the gross enrolment in higher education has continue to grow during recent years reaching 22% of the relevant group age. However the survival rates and, specially, the graduation rates are very disappointing. Only 46.5% of the student graduate. This problem is compounded by the fact that only around 45% of those that graduate are able to pass the Professional Board Examinations. This is a national test which covers most of the fields of study. Among the large discipline the only exception is business and commerce. We should also notice that not all graduates take the exam (the weakest graduates do not take the exam) which means that the effectiveness of the higher education system of Philippines is even worse than what nominal rates of failure in the exam would suggest. Figure 2.6 shows the recent evolution of the percentage of graduates passing the exam. Even thought in recent years the proportion of graduates failing the exam has been slowly decreasing there is a suspicion that the difficulty of the exam is going down. Figure 2.6. Evolution of the passing percentage of licensure examination.  EMBED Excel.Chart.8 \s Source: Professional Regulation Commission and CHED Task Force 1995 Another interesting source of information is the passing percentage by disciplines. Table 2.18 presents the average of these percentages by periods. It is disturbing to see the low passing rate in accountancy (18%) or law (27.5%). Table 2.18. Passing rates by disciplines. DisciplineAver. 85-89Aver. 92-97Aver. 98-01Accountancy21.50%15.91%18.61%Aeronautical Engineering-22.52%26.28%Agricultural Engineering-42.90%52.76%Architecture-30.49%35.71%Chemical Engineering-38.84%40.45%Chemistry27.30%37.58%41.22%Civil Engineering31.60%30.75%30.62%Criminology-43.90%46.87%Customs Administration-11.26%9.10%Dentistry45.30%25.07%33.84%Electrical Engineering52.60%35.85%40.50%Electronics & Comms Eng'g43.80%45.09%47.43%Environmental Planning-77.78%68.23%Forestry-35.44%43.75%Geodetic Engineering-45.74%41.05%Geology-53.43%72.73%Interior Design-37.45%50.75%Landscape Architecture-67.06%59.60%Library Science-50.12%52.39%Law-24.89%27.49%Marine Transportation-23.62%44.59%Marine Engineering-34.91%50.28%Mechanical Engineering55.90%30.45%44.41%Medical Technology-44.16%51.53%Medicine69.00%77.80%65.04%Metallurgical Engineering-56.93%60.96%Midwifery-51.65%49.61%Mining Engineering-38.21%76.50%Naval Archi. & Marine Eng'g.-40.11%51.67%Nursing59.40%57.99%52.20%Nutrition and Dietetics-41.66%53.46%Optometry-49.51%26.25%Pharmacy57.90%65.41%65.98%Occupational Therapy--39.43%Physical Therapy--24.59%Physical and Occup. Therapy67.00%39.12%23.30%Elementary/Secondary Educ.-27.06%31.56%Teacher-Elementary--34.33%Teacher-Secondary--35.40%Radiologic/X-Ray Technology-42.77%39.87%Radiologic Technology--32.69%Sanitary Engineering-52.08%50.87%Social Work-49.99%55.64%Veterinary Medicine-44.81%48.90% Source: CHED and Professional Regulation Commission 2.2.3. Inputs, outputs and efficiency: the regional dimension. The previous sections present a unifying view of inputs, outputs and efficiency in the educational system of Philippines. However there are large regional differences in inputs and outputs. In this section we only scratch the surface of this problem. Table 2.19 presents the basic data on inputs by regions. As expected net enrolment is negatively correlated with the level of development of each region. This effect is more evident in secondary education than in primary education. The relationship between inputs ratios (pupil/teacher ratio, pupil/seats ratio, etc) and poverty is more complex. In the less developed regions those ratios are high but they are also quite high in the most developed areas of the country (like NCR), at least in elementary school. In high school the correlation between average poverty and inputs ratios is again quite clear. Figure 2.19 present a map with the ratio students/teacher in secondary education by region. We should again emphasize that these are nominal ratios in the sense that the denominator included all the teachers. Since many of them are doing clerical jobs the real ratios are suspected to be higher than those in the map. Table 2.20 contains the outcomes of the primary and secondary education system by regions. As expected dropout rates, survival rates and scores are positively correlated with the level of development of the regions. Table 2.19: Basic indicators by regions. Elementary and secondary. SY 2002-2003. NationallyNetPupilPupilPupilREGIONEnrolmentFundedEnrolment.TeacherInstructionalSeatsTeachersRatioRatioRoom RatioRatio2000ELEMENTARYRegion I 613,611  20,836 97.52 29.45  28.01  1.00 Region II 442,765  14,087 96.53 31.43  29.78  1.03 Region III 1,193,556  32,401 99.88 36.84  35.69  1.07 Region IV-A 1,355,802  32,644 99.88 41.53  43.75  1.14 Region IV-B 429,349  11,919 98.90 36.02  35.84  1.31 Region V 879,636  26,076 95.78 33.73  34.62  1.35 Region VI 1,010,647  31,874 96.48 31.71  32.06  1.13 Region VII 918,766  24,244 99.96 37.90  37.81  1.08 Region VIII 656,356  20,710 95.62 31.69  31.78  1.07 Region IX 527,988  15,731 92.08 33.56  36.47  1.17 Region X 616,844  16,974 95.84 36.34  36.57  1.17 Region XI 603,772  16,017 92.44 37.70  39.07  1.26 Region XII 540,682  13,776 93.13 39.25  40.57  1.30 CARAGA 369,596  11,006 92.65 33.58  34.10  0.98 ARMM 543,623  13,490 93.57 40.30  47.54  1.91 CAR 217,313  7,509 94.09 28.94  27.15  0.98 NCR 1,141,369  28,303 99.08 40.33  78.16  1.77 Total 12,061,675  337,597 96.95 35.73  37.68  1.19 SECONDARYRegion I 305,338  8,302 77.72 36.78  49.72  1.34 Region II 195,404  4,759 68.20 41.06  48.33  1.50 Region III 500,602  11,228 69.47 44.59  62.17  1.41 Region IV-A 584,907  11,976 74.87 48.84  72.43  1.60 Region IV-B 170,693  4,266 70.20 40.01  57.38  1.85 Region V 339,176  8,811 65.82 38.49  56.46  1.77 Region VI 470,632  12,620 74.20 37.29  52.30  1.47 Region VII 379,215  7,289 65.13 52.03  65.35  1.62 Region VIII 240,574  5,891 55.41 40.84  51.87  1.39 Region IX 193,549  4,827 54.19 40.10  58.94  1.67 Region X 220,829  5,097 42.92 43.33  62.40  1.78 Region XI 246,719  5,853 56.96 42.15  66.99  1.74 Region XII 224,133  4,972 60.17 45.08  63.71  1.62 CARAGA 149,513  3,379 50.77 44.25  59.57  1.68 ARMM 121,994  2,291 28.92 53.25  60.42  1.43 CAR 92,165  2,637 71.11 34.95  47.88  1.32 NCR 591,806  16,492 75.15 35.88  81.56  1.73  Total  5,027,249  120,690 65.43 41.65  60.96  1.57 Source: Basic Education Information System (BEIS). Department of Education. Figure 2.7. Ratio pupil/teacher by regions. Secondary education.   Table 2.20. Basic output indicators by regions. Drop out rateSurvival rateScoresScoresScoresREGIONin in in teststeststestsranking NEAT  NEAT  NEAT ELEMENTARY199519991999Region I 3.84  76.84  48.10  44.91 13 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR02.xls" Region II 6.07  70.26  45.50  47.43 8 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR03.xls" Region III 4.90  75.48  44.80  45.43 12 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR04-A.xls" Region IV 6.29  68.78  49.20  48.06 7 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR05.xls" Region V 6.87  66.09  42.30  50.77 3 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR06.xls" Region VI 8.09  65.40  44.80  44.26 14 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR07.xls" Region VII 5.32  73.12  45.80  40.24 16 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR08.xls" Region VIII 9.51  57.79  52.90  62.78 1 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR09.xls" Region IX 12.03  49.37  42.70  49.39 4 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR10.xls" Region X 8.51  60.59  45.50  48.63 5 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR11.xls" Region XI 9.85  55.36  43.80  46.51 11 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR12.xls" Region XII 10.67  55.04  42.00  42.54 15 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR14%20CARAGA.xls" CARAGA 9.47  56.57  47.36 10 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR15%20ARMM.xls" ARMM 20.34  26.05  48.80  47.38 9 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR16%20CAR.xls" CAR 9.31  56.90  49.40  48.23 6 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR17%20NCR.xls" NCR 6.79  66.66  52.80  55.64 2SECONDARY NSAT  NSAT  NSAT 199519991999 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR01.xls" Region I 6.40  78.47  47.10  54.59 8 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR02.xls" Region II 7.77  74.76  44.70  53.51 9 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR03.xls" Region III 9.61  69.50  46.60  54.92 5 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR04-A.xls" Region IV 8.47  71.61  46.40  55.83 3 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR05.xls" Region V 9.26  70.80  40.70  52.54 11 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR06.xls" Region VI 10.31  69.71  41.40  50.25 14 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR07.xls" Region VII 9.16  70.61  43.00  50.10 15 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR08.xls" Region VIII 12.52  61.04  45.60  62.65 1 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR09.xls" Region IX 10.38  65.25  43.90  54.84 6 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR10.xls" Region X 10.43  66.38  45.00  53.12 10 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR11.xls" Region XI 11.96  62.26  40.70  51.25 12 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR12.xls" Region XII 12.34  65.05  42.20  48.63 16 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR14%20CARAGA.xls" CARAGA 12.44  62.18  41.00  54.77 7 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR15%20ARMM.xls" ARMM 13.61  69.98  47.30  58.69 2 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR16%20CAR.xls" CAR 7.52  76.31  47.50  55.28 4 HYPERLINK "http://www.deped.gov.ph/BEIS/Data/SY%202003/BEIS-QC-TOTR17%20NCR.xls" NCR 8.71  69.98  49.30  51.22 13Source: BEIS and authors calculations. 3. EDUCATION AND LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES. From an individual point of view the accumulation of human capital in form of education provides two basic benefits in the labor market: it reduces the likelihood of unemployment and it increases the expected salaries. In most of the countries the relationship between education and unemployment rates is negative: the higher is the level of education the lower is the probability of being unemployed. In Philippines labor market this simple relationship breaks down. In fact there are a series of mismatches, specially among college graduates and undergraduates. Figure 3.1 shows the recent evolution of the unemployment rate by level of education. It shows that college graduates have an unemployment rate as high as high school graduates and higher than elementary graduates. In figure 3.2 we see that not only the unemployment rate is higher but it is also more volatile in high levels of education. Obviously the most volatile level of unemployment is observed among the group of undergraduates for each level of education. What could be the reason for this high level of unemployment among university graduates and undergraduates? One possibility is that the reservation wages for university graduates and undergraduates is high and, therefore, they can afford to search for long periods of time. Esguerra et al (2000) have argued that this is the case because workers with university education come from families with high income, in many cases supported by foreign remittances. Perhaps since productivity is low and the reservation wage of educated youth is high then they will look for a job for longer than graduates from other educational levels. On the other hand low education workers cannot afford not to work for a long period of time and, therefore, they have to accept a situation of underemployment when there is a negative shock. However if this is the case then we should observe that the unemployment of educated workers is concentrated in the young and it decreases when productivity increases. In addition, and even more importantly, we should observe a very low mismatch between high education workers and jobs and a very low incidence of underemployment in university graduates. As we will see what we observe is just the opposite. Figure 3.1. Unemployment rate by level of education.  Figure 3.2. Unemployment rate by quarter and level of education.  Using the Tracer Study of the CHED (1999) we can understand a little better the reasons for the unemployment of the college educated active population. Table 3.1. Reasons for unemployment of college educated population. %No job opening in my field of specialization10.9%No job opening for anyone9.6%No connection to get a job9.6%Lack of professional eligibility (e.g. board exams)10.7%No job opening in the area of residency9.1%Lack of experience9.1%Family situation prevents me from working9.8%Starting salary is too low10.5%No interest in having a job10.6%The college where I studies is not prestigious10.2%Source: Tracer Study. Some interpretations of this table point out that as much as 40% of the unemployment of the college educated population is due to voluntary unemployment. Nevertheless we have to be careful in accepting such an interpretation since the items of this question are not properly constructed to extract precise conclusions about the voluntary or involuntary nature of college unemployment. It is clear, for instance, that the 10.5% of college educated individuals that are unemployed because the starting salary is too low can be considered as voluntary unemployed. However the individuals who recognize they are not interested in having a job or that family situation prevent them from working are not part of the unemployed since they do not participate in the labor force. The alternative explanation for the high unemployment of university graduates is that the supply of university graduates increases much faster than its demand and, in addition, the quality of education is low which does not help in spurring demand for university graduates. The answers of the investment climate questionnaire (see report on investment climate) seems to favour this second interpretation. In terms of the quarterly volatility of the indicators we can see in figure 3.4 that again the undergraduates of high school and college are the ones with the highest degree of between-quarter volatility. The rest of the levels of education present a very narrow difference across quarters. Therefore the first type of mismatch is the high level of unemployment of college and higher education workers in comparison with lower levels of education. The second type of mismatch is the increasing lack of relationship between the field of study and the field of work. The Tracker Survey confirms that the percentage of graduates working in jobs requiring the field studies they have has decreased over time. A third type of mismatch is the question of overqualification. There has been an artificial demand for higher education since there is an increasing nominal demand for college graduates by employers. This effect would correspond to the credentialist view of education: since there is imperfect information about the ability of workers employer use credentials as proxy for productivity. However, this does not guarantees that workers will work in jobs for which their level of education is required. Table 3.2 shows the distribution of the primary occupation of college educated workers in the October round of the 2002 LFS. We can see that the proportion of clerks, sales workers, pan operators and elementary occupation is very high. In fact the level of overqualification reaches the 55.9% (assuming that the technicians and associated professionals need to be college educated). Table 3.2. Primary occupation of college educated workers. 2002. PercentLegislator, senior officials and manager18.37Professionals18.20Technicians and associated professional6.92Clerks13.26Service workers and market sales worker12.18Skilled agricultural and fishery worker6.36Craft and related trade workers6.58Plant and machine operators6.43Elementary occupations11.09Others0.61Source: Authors calculations using the LFS 2002. We can compare the distribution of occupations by college educated workers in 2002 with the same distribution in 1996. One problem with this comparison is the fact that the Philippines LFS changed the classification of occupations between 1996 and 2002. It went from the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO-68) to the new ISCO-88. This change makes the comparison more challenging since the classifications are not exactly the same. We have included as administrative and managerial workers the managers of the different sectors (service, trade, etc) which appear in the ISCO-68 as part of those sectors. It would not be reasonable to include a manager of services among the service workers (group 5) when in the ISCO-88 would appear as a manager (group 1). With all this precautions taken and reclassifying the 1996 occupations according to the ISCO-88 we show in table 3.3 the result of the distribution of college educated workers by occupations. It is also noticeable, like in 2002, the high proportion of college educated workers in clerical occupations, sales and services as well as elementary occupations. The fact the proportion of overqualified college educated workers in 1996 was 57.84%, very similar to the proportion found in 2002. This means that the Philippines labor marker is not able to create quality jobs at the same rate at which the higher education sector produce graduates. However this fact could also be interpreted as the effect of low quality college educated workers not being able to get a job with appropriate characteristics for their nominal level of education. Table 3.3. Primary occupation of college educated workers. 1996. %Professional, technical and related workers23.89Administrative and managerial workers18.27Clerical and related workers13.03Sales workers10.20Service workers7.21Agricultural, animal husbandry, forestry11.05Production workers2.57Craft and related workers4.97Elementary occupations8.82Source: Authors calculations using the LFS 1996. Finally another form of mismatch is the existence of many college educated who do not participate in the labor force. This has been an argument in several recent report. However looking at the participation rates of college educated people we can see that college graduates, as expected, have a higher labor force participation rate than any other educational level. Nevertheless if we aggregate graduates and undergraduates the picture is quite different since college undergraduates have very low rates of labor force participation rates and, as in the case of high school undergraduates, very volatile (figures 2.3 and 2.4). Figure 2.3. Labor force participation rates by level of education.  Figure 2.4. Participation rates by grade and quarter.  4. REGIONAL SHOCKS AND WORKERS EDUCATION. This section investigates differences in responses to regional shocks in labor market between groups with different levels of education. The methodology is based on Mauro (1999), which in turn takes as reference framework the model developed by Blanchard and Katz (1992). The main result from this exercise is that workers with high school education take more time to adapt to a negative shock to employment then college educated workers and their response is stronger. The surprising result is the behaviour in the group of workers with primary education, who recover from the shock faster than college educated workers and their response magnitudes are much lower. The analysis is based on quarterly data from the Labour Force Survey, between 1992 and 2002. 4.1. Persistence of Geographic Differences in Unemployment Rates by Skill Level The analysis splits the population of workers into three groups: workers with education up to primary graduates; workers with high school education and finally the third group are workers with college education. There is evidence that the pattern of unemployment across groups has persisted for many years. Scatter plots of the unemployment rates in first quarter of 1993 and last quarter of 2002 for the 14 regions in Philippines reveal a remarkable correlation between the provinces that have higher unemployment rates in the 2002 and those that had higher unemployment rates in the 1993 (Figure 3.1 Figure 3.4). The degree of persistence of geographical differences in unemployment varies depending on the labor force participants' skill levels. Workers with primary and high school education display higher unemployment persistence then college educated workers, as can be seen in the scatter plots of the unemployment rate in 1993 and 2002. What is a bit surprising is that the primary education workers display lower persistence of unemployment then those high school educated, although the difference is small. Table 3.1 reports, for each educational group, the coefficient of correlation between unemployment in 1993 and unemployment in 2002. Table 4.1. Unemployment Persistence by Educational Group, 1993-02 EducationCoefficient of CorrelationPopulation Share 1993Population Share 2002All groups0.83100%100%Primary Education0.8140%32%High school0.8937%39%College0.5123%29%Sources: estimates by author. Figure 4.1. Persistence of relative unemployment across regions.  Figure 4.2. Persistence of unemployment rates by education: primary.  Figure 4.3. Persistence of unemployment rates by education: secondary.  Figure 4.3. Persistence of unemployment rates by education: university.  Usual picture is that the higher educated group the lower persistence in unemployment. Thus the results reported in the Table 4.1 are the first indicator that things look a bit different in Philippines. The next section analyzes how workers with different skill levels adjust to shocks. 4.2. How Do Workers with Different Skill Levels Adjust to Shocks? When labor market experiences a negative employment shock, workers in a given region can basically react in three ways: they can remain unemployed, drop out of the labor force (become discouraged workers), or migrate. There are several reasons to expect different responses within groups with different level of education. In the follow up we investigate those differences estimating a VAR system and confront them with those that usually exist in developed countries. The relative speed and strength of the adjustment mechanisms described above is estimated using a panel vector autoregression (VAR) system of employment growth, the employment rate, and labor force participation, for the 14 regions in Philippines 1993-2002. The framework adopted is identical to that developed by Blanchard and Katz (1992). The system is the following:   EMBED Equation.3  where all variables are differences between province i and the national average, in order to focus on developments at the provincial level that are not due to nationwide developments.  EMBED Equation.3  is the first difference of the logarithm of employment;  EMBED Equation.3  is the logarithm of the ratio of employment to the labor force; and  EMBED Equation.3  is the logarithm of the ratio of the labor force to the working-age population. There is one lag for each right-hand side variable, to allow for feedback effects from labor force participation and the employment rate to employment growth. The system is estimated by pooling all observations, though allowing for different province-specific constant terms in each equation, using the data for each educational group. As we can see in the impulse response graphs (Figures 4.5-4.7) based upon the estimated parameters of the system above, in general a negative shock to labor demand produces the following effects: immediately after the shock the participation rate decreases, unemployment increases and the level of employment drops. Figure 4.5. Dynamic response to a negative shock: primary studies.  7 Figure 4.6. Dynamic response to a negative shock: high school.  Figure 4.7. Dynamic response to a negative shock: university educated workers.  There are differences in the immediate responses among the various groups, particularly with respect to the participation rate and migration. In response to a 0.05 percentage point fall in employment, the unemployment rate practically does not react. Notice also that in case of all three education groups the effect on employment is permanent: the employment level does not return to its preshock level even after 12 quarters. It stabilizes however on a different level for each of the education groups with the biggest negative permanent effect in the case of college educated workers. The participation rate drops by 0.005-percentage point in the case of high school and college graduates or about half of that number in the case of primary educated workers. Participation rate returns to its preshock level after four quarters in the case of high school educated workers and slightly above three quarters in the case of college educated workers. This part of the results is consistent with the view that the less educated are more likely to become "discouraged workers." However the behaviour in the group of primary educated workers is not consistent with what would usually be observed in developed country. Mauro reports for Spain, that the responses within the least educated group would be much stronger and the process of returning to the preshock levels would take far more time in this case (compared to higher educated groups). What we observe in the case of Philippines least educated group of workers is, that reaction in terms of unemployment increase or participation rate decrease is much milder; at the same time the pace at which systems returns to its preshock level is much quicker then both: high school and college educated workers. This result could be interpreted as greater mobility of the least skilled working force in Philippines or a higher probability of accepting underemployment. On the other hand the reduction on the employment of college educated workers caused by the shock is larger than the observed in the other educational levels. Table 4.2. Impulse response functions by level of education. Impulse Responses to an Exogenous Employment ShockVariableEmploymentParticipation RateUnemployment RateGradeStepResponseS.E.ResponseS.E.ResponseS.E.Primary1-.03759641 .00122888-.00272622 .00032555-.00076468 .000428672-.0281974 .00188728-.00100089 .00031673-.00074914 .000379453-.02751956 .00147095.00002428 .00014694.00047267 .000144794-.02785659 .00143446-.00015785 .00004919.00006 .000047755-.02759576 .00147376-.00007851 .00002917.00002856 .000024246-.02752055 .00147146-.0000345 .00001775.00002867.000012947-.02748968 .00147379-.00002142 .00001035.0000127 7.287e-068-.02746618 .00147627-.000011596.287e-066.890e-06| 4.321e-069-.02745435 .00147711-6.211e-06 3.823e-063.960e-062.597e-0610-.02744803 .00147764-3.434e-06 2.298e-062.121e-06 1.542e-0611-.02744448 .00147796-1.876e-06 1.374e-061.159e-06 9.146e-0712-.02744255 .00147813-1.024e-068.179e-076.364e-075.406e-07High School1-.04303643.00140669-.00457589 .00039299-.00057241.000352342-.02323804.00195127-.00066901 .00037108.00085541.000317263-.02692029.00142254-.00054994 .00019413.00057528.000195484-.02462101.00157799-.00028273 .00009308.00021737.000072955-.02461047.00154653-.00014946 .00005765.00014959.000045456-.0242621 .00158672-.00008146 .0000345.00007003.000026857-.02417051.00159455-.00004321 .00002196.0000405.000017328-.02409508.00160488-.00002331 .0000134.00002088.000010729-.0240619 .0016091-.00001246 8.164e-06.000011436.615e-0610-.02404211.00161208-6.691e-06 4.884e-066.063e-063.998e-0611-.02403205.00161359-3.585e-06 2.898e-063.269e-062.395e-0612-.0240265 .00161449-1.923e-06 1.703e-061.748e-061.418e-06College1-.0495395 .00161925-.0036318 .00034405.00018445 .00056272-.03083024.00231638-.00122586.00035835-.00148605.000507673-.03411391 .0015885-.00046003 .0001685.00008061.000205434-.03256294.00176937-.00020381.00007602-.0001232.000050885-.03268886 .0017001-.00008768.00004327-7.521e-06 .000026196-.03252865.00172939-.00003925.00002282-.00001535 9.672e-067-.03251549.00172434-.00001726.00001214-3.528e-06 4.134e-068-.03249422.00172811-7.682e-06 6.264e 06-2.431e-06 1.895e-069-.03248891.00172799-3.396e-063.189e-06-8.450e-07 8.241e-0710-.03248546 .0017285-1.508e-061.597e-06-4.366e-07 4.013e-0711-.03248423.00172856-6.675e-077.907e-07-1.769e-07 1.841e-0712-.0324836.00172864-2.961e-073.874e-07-8.285e-08 8.968e-08 5. EQUITY IN THE ACCESS TO EDUCATION. In this section we review the available information on the total expenditure in education (including private contributions) and the equity in the access to education with special reference to the educational attainment and enrolment rates by deciles of income and rural/urban location. 5.1. Basic expenditure indicators. In section 2 we provided some indicator of the importance of the expenditure in education in the public budget. A summary of the recent distribution of public expenditure by agencies is presented in table 5.1. Table 5.1. Proportion of education and training budget by agency. Agency200020012002DepEd82.481.182.8CHED1.81.690.5SUCs13.715.2914.2TESDA2.11.92.5Source: GAA. The recent completion of the National Education Expenditure Accounts (NEXA) of Philippines helps the researchers to have a better understanding of the financing and use of education expenditure including public and private sources. Only a few countries have such a exhaustive accounting of education expenditures. The NEXA of Philippines covers the period 1991-98. It includes expenditure for all kinds of education that satisfy the definition of the UNESCO (organized and sustained communication process design to bring about learning) and the revised ISCED classification. Table 5.1.a present the recent evolution of education expenditures following the NEXA accounting. Table 5.1a. Education expenditure (1995-98) Total (current prices)Growth rateTotal (1985 prices)Growth rate (1985 prices)1995139,29019.160,33210.21996162,94017.064,7047.21997209,54328.678,60621.51998243,19016.183,1595.8Source: National Statistical Coordination Board (2003). Millions of pesos The NEXA describes the sources of funds for education as well as the uses of the funds. With respect to the sources of funds NEXA uses the typology of economic transactions in the 1993 UN System of National Accounts, adopted by the Philippines System of National Accounts. The institutional units distinguish five resident institutional sectors: general government, households, financial corporations, non-financial corporations and non-profit institutions serving households (NPISH). Table 5.2. Sources of funds for education expenditure. YearAll SourcesGeneral Govern-mentHouse-holdsFinancial Corpora-tionsNon-financial Corpora-tionsNon-profit Institutions Serving House-holdsRest of the World1995139,29063,45467,4012,0135,3351129751996162,94073,11878,6293,8186,5871576311997209,543101,09794,2965,3457,9051097921998243,190116,997111,3815,9008,306118487Average annual growth rate (91-98)17.117.317.728.810.2127.616.2Source: National Statistical Coordination Board (2003). Millions of pesos. Table 5.2 shows that an important proportion of the funds for expenditure in education come from the households. In addition NEXA contains a classification of education expenditure by use of the funds. This is presented in table 5.3. From this table is clear that most of the expenditure is expend in basic education. Table 5.3. Disaggregation of education expenditure by use of funds. YearBasicMiddle levelHigherJob-relatedAncillaryOther usesTotal*199546,3141,6653,9501,5029,1731,92064,524199647,3562,4647,4741,47912,8102,31073,893199770,6202,3979,9471,61415,2302,181101,988199883,3633,1169,0241,13019,1361,818117,586Source: National Statistical Coordination Board (2003). Millions of pesos. * Only includes expenditure with disaggregation by use of funds. Table 5.4 shows the aggregate expenditure in education by items calculated from the Family Income and Expenditure Survey. The first thing to notice in table 1.8 is the large discrepancy between total expenditure in 1997 calculated from the FIES97 (58,2 billions of Pesos) and the value of the household expenditure in education that appears in the NEXA education accounting (94,2 billions). However we should notice that the accounting of NEXA includes many levels of education and items of expenditure that are not considered in the Family Income and Expenditure Survey. Table 5.4. Family expenditure in education (millions of pesos). 20001997GrowthCurrent Pesos1997 pricesEducation56,07862,35952,83618.02 Fees53,42943,79334,76125.98 Allowance13,99011,46710,7916.26 Book3,5502,9092,60511.67 Other supplies4,3143,5363,822-7.48 Other educ. supplies793650854-23.89 Source: Authors calculations from FIES 1997 and 2000. The growth rate from 1997 up to 2000 was 18% in constant prices. Fees are the fastest growing item of education expenditures. This is important since fees represent 95.3% of the total education expenditure by families. Notice that since GDP grew 14% in constant prices during the same period it looks as if families have increase their education expenditure faster than the growth rate of the economy. Table 5.5. Average family expenditure in education. 20001997GrowthCurrent Pesos1997 pricesEducation6,8945,6515,2976.68 Fees5,1134,1913,80910.03 Allowance5,8534,7984,7720.54 Book1,3921,1411,0944.30 Other supplies399327395-17.22 Other educ. supplies540443499-11.22Source: Authors calculations from FIES 1997 and 2000. However the figures in table 5.4 refer to the total expenditure. Table 5.5 presents the average family expenditure in education. The average family expenditure in education has growth only 5.6% during the period 1997-2000, well below the growth rate of the economy. As before the fees are the item that grew faster. Table 5.6 present the average household expenditure in education and the average proportion over total expenditure for families that expend any positive amount on education. Households are classified in function of their decile in income per capita. Since education is a normal good we see that the average proportion of expenditure on education increases with income per capita. Table 5.6. Expenditure by decile DecileMeanProportionFirst Decile7261.97%Second Decile1,0292.16%Third Decile1,4302.72%Fourth Decile1,8102.96%Fifth Decile2,3113.34%Sixth Decile3,0923.67%Seventh Decile4,5474.51%Eight Decile6,5485.28%Ninth Decile10,1776.37%Tenth Decile18,8707.64%Source: Authors calculations from FIES 2000. 5.2. Educational attainment and enrolment. One way of looking at access to education by income and characteristics of the family is to analyze the educational attainment and enrolment. For this purposes we are going to use the latest information available to calculate these rates which is the APIS 2002. Figure 5.1 shows the educational attainment of population aged 15 to 19 years old. From the graph we see that primary education is almost universal in Philippines, something that we had already observed using aggregated data. However the rate decreases quickly as we move forward in secondary education. Figure 5.1. Educational attainment. Age 15.19.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002. Figure 5.2 shows the educational attainment of the same age group by income per capita of the family. We can see that the educational attainment of the individuals coming from the poorest 40% families is much lower than the attainment of the richest 20%. Figure 5.2. Educational attainment by decile of income per capita. Ages: 15-19  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002. In figure 5.2 it is noticeable the high negative slope of educational attainment for the poorest families in secondary education. Figure 5.3 shows educational attainment by gender. As with many other education indicators women perform much better than men having higher educational attainment at all the levels. Figure 5.3. Educational attainment by gender.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002. Another interesting source of differences in the attainment of young Filipino is set by the urban/rural dichotomy. Figure 5.4 shows that the educational attainment of urban young Filipino is clearly higher than for rural youngsters. In fact the difference is similar to the one observed in the educational attainment by gender. Only 30% of rural youngsters have reached the 4th grade of secondary while among urban youngsters this rate is close to 46%. Figures 5.5 and 5.6 analyze educational attainment by group age and income per capita decile. The higher level of educational attainment by older groups in secondary may be due to a late enrolment in those courses. Figure 5.5. Educational attainment by age group.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002. Figure 5.6. Educational attainment by age group and income per capita decile.  Figure 5.6 shows that the gap in educational attainment between the richest and the poorest decile in per capita income has been reduced in the latest generation (15-19 year old) with respect to the previous one (20-29 year old), even though it continues to be quite important. The reduction on this gap is also very significant in the difference between educational attainment of urban versus rural youngsters as shown in figure 5.7. Figure 5.7. Educational attainment by age and rural/urban distinction.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002. However this effect of reduction in the difference of educational attainment between recent generations is less evident if we analyze educational attainment by gender as it is shown in figure 5.8. The 10 points difference for the last year of secondary education observed among the 20-29 age group is similar to the 9 points difference observed in the 15-19 age group. Figure 5.9. Educational attainment by gender and age group.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002. Figure 5.10. Educational attainment by year.  Source: Filmer and Pritchett (1993, 1998) and authors calculations using APIS 2002 Figure 5.10 considers the evolution over time of the educational attainment of the 15-19 age group. The calculations for 1993 and 1998 are taken from the educational attainment project of the World Bank. The improvement between 1998 and 2002 is small but noticeable. Figure 5.11 shows the same evolution over time of educational attainment but dividing by decile in income per capita. The change between 1993 and 1998 was very small in the gap between the educational attainment of the children of the poorest and the riches families. In 2002 the gap has gone down very much despite the fact that the children from poor families have still a much lower level of educational attainment than their richest counterparts. Figure 5.11. Educational attainment: evolution by income per capita decile.  Source: Filmer and Pritchett (1993, 1998) and authors calculations using APIS 2002 Another interesting set of exercises to understand the access to education in Philippines is to analyze enrolment rates. Figure 5.12 present the enrolment rate of children 6 to 14 years old. The proportion of enrolment is very high. However, if we distinguish the children by the income per capita of their family then we can observe significant differences (figure 5.13). Figure 5.12. Enrolment rate of children of 6 to 14 years old.  Figure 5.13. Enrolment rate by income per capita.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002 We can also observe significant differences in the enrolment rate of children 6 to 14 years old if we divide them by gender or urban/rural location as shown in figures 5.14 and 5.15. In both cases the effect corresponds with results already observed in the educational attainment. Girls present higher levels of enrolment than boys, specially in the latest grades of secondary education. The difference, as we will see, is kept in higher education enrolment. Figure 5.14. Enrolment by gender.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002 Figure 5.15 shows that rural children have a much lower enrolment rate than urban children. This is observed not only for the final courses of secondary education but it can be traced even to the first year of elementary education. Figure 5.15. Enrolment by urban/rural location.  Source: Authors calculations using APIS 2002 Figure 5.16. Enrolment by year.  Source: Filmer and Pritchett (1993, 1998) and authors calculations using APIS 2002 Figure 5.16 shows an amazing improvement in the enrolment rate of 6 and 7 years old from 1993 to 2002. In only 10 years the enrolment rate of 6 years old have grown from 5% to 76%. The improvement is less noticeable, although also visible, for higher age groups. Figure 5.17. Enrolment rate by year and income per capita.  Source: Filmer and Pritchett (1993, 1998) and authors calculations using APIS 2002 Figure 5.17 shows the enrolment rate by year and income per capita. The improvement in the general rate of enrolment by age covered clear differences in the rates by income per capita. For instance if in 1993 6 years old children of both, rich and poor people, had a very lows levels of enrolment the improvement over the last decade has been much more pronounced for children in rich families than for children in poor families. At the other end, the highest grades of secondary education, we can observe the same effect. The general improvement on enrolment has benefit much more children from rich families. If we look at the difference of rate between children of rich and poor families in 1993 we observe a smaller gap than in 2002. 5.3. Equity in the access to education. We can look at this problem from at least from two more alternative perspectives: the expenditure on education of the households and school attendance by income group. 5.3.1. Education expenditure and access. The evolution of expenditure by the level of income of the households shows that inequality in the average expenditure by decile has increased. For instance the lowest decile spend in 2000 about 4 times more than in 1988. However the highest decile has increase its expenditure in education by a factor of 5.8. This is particularly important if we take into account the reduction in social expenditure during the 90s. Table 5.7. Household education expenditure by income decile. 198819942000decile% totalAverage% totalAverage% totalAverage11.41811.43471.871321.32161.8533294731.528127212.3131641.93982.18472.61707524662.712572.9228462.46423.217803.1289772.78563.422513.8435883.312663.730504.4605493.517334.649005.29692103.93412593265.619855Orbeta (2002). FIES 1988, 1994 and 2000. Tan (2002) has pointed out that even in State Colleges and Universities (SCU) less than 30% of the students come from the low deciles of the distribution. Some theories argue that what matter is not only the average level of education but also its distribution. The unequal distribution of education tend to have a negative impact on income per capita. Table 5.8 shows the Gini index of education achievement. Although the index of Philippines is lower than the other countries, with the exception of Korea, the reduction during the decade of the 90s has been very slow. Table 5.8. Gini index of education. 197019751980198519901995China0.450.4520.4470.4420.4110.379Korea0.4390.3820.3510.2960.2420.189Malaysia0.4450.4390.4260.4130.3980.383Philippines0.3680.320.3140.3130.3090.305Thailand0.3780.3690.2680.3270.3480.37Source: Lopez, Thomas and Wang (1998) The coefficient of variability shows very similar trends in education inequality (see table 1.10). Table 5.9. Coefficient of variability of education. Population older than 15. 197019751980198519901995China0.450.4520.4470.4420.4110.379Korea0.4390.3820.3510.2960.2420.189Malaysia0.4450.4390.4260.4130.3980.383Philippines0.3680.320.3140.3130.3090.305Thailand0.3780.3690.2680.3270.3480.37Source: Lopez, Thomas and Wang (1998) 5.3.2. Reason for not being enrolled in education. In this section we analyze the questions in the APIS on the reasons why a child is not attending school. The APIS of 1998 and 2002 include a question on the reasons why a child in a particular household is not attending school. The answer to this question can help to understand the problems for access to education of important groups of population. Table 5.10 presents the proportion for each reason for all the individuals in the surveys. The comparison of 1998 and 2002 shows that the percentage that grows the most is the inability to pay the high cost of education. On the contrary the reasons that fall the most are housekeeping and the lack of personal interest. Table 5.10. Reasons for not being enrolled. 19982002ChangeSchools are far/No school w/n brgy1.091.260.17No regular transportation0.330.29-0.04High cost of education19.2522.73.45Illness/Disability2.802.75-0.05Housekeeping10.277.56-2.71Employment/Looking for work26.8726.77-0.10Lack of personal interest21.5519.17-2.38Cannot cope with school work2.502.23-0.27Finished schooling6.9110.053.14Others8.437.22-1.21Source: authors calculation using APIS 1998 and APIS2002 We can also analyze the effect of these reason by the theoretical level of education that the child would be attending. For this purpose table divides the proportions by age of the child. It is interesting to notice how the percentage of importance of high cost of education increases up to high school and decreases a little bit for higher education. Table 5.11 shows also that the fact of not having an educational institution close is important for pre-primary and elementary education but it is not considered as a problem for high school and university. Table 5.11. Reasons for not being enrolled. 0-67-1213-1718-22Schools are far/No school w/n brgy8.898.281.670.46No regular transportation1.081.080.210.25High cost of education11.2121.0632.4624.29Illness/Disability2.4311.434.332.14Housekeeping0.322.43.958.05Employment/Looking for work0.22.4418.530.15Lack of personal interest24.8934.2631.6817.15Cannot cope with school work13.359.632.481.37Finished schooling0.310.060.3710.61Others37.349.374.355.54Source: authors calculation using APIS 2002. The proportions observed in 2002 are similar to the ones observed in 1998 as table shows. Perhaps it is noticeable the increase in the importance of the cost of education as a deterrence for school attendance from 1998 to 2002. We should point also out that for pre-primary and elementary the difficulty of studies has increased its importance for children not to attend school. Table 5.12. Reasons for not being enrolled. 0-67-1213-1718-22Schools are far/No school w/n brgy6.977.691.350.05No regular transportation0.500.450.36High cost of education4.4818.5531.6319.98Illness/Disability1.999.53.92.34Housekeeping2.993.174.0511.26Employment/Looking for work1.491.3614.3932.75Lack of personal interest22.3939.3736.4318.63Cannot cope with school work7.965.883.751.61Finished schooling000.157.27Others51.2414.483.95.76Source: authors calculation using APIS 1998. Finally table 5.13 presents the reason for not attending school divided by the income of the family. As expected the problems associated with the high cost of education are basically concentrated among the poorest 40%. In this group close to 30% of the children do not attend school because of the cost of education. This means that the targeting of subsidies to education for the poor are not working properly. The fact that the proportion of the motive associated with the lack of personal interest is so high among the children of the poorest families implies that there are also cultural factors that should be overcome to increase the enrolment of children from poor families. Table 5.13. Reasons for not being enrolled by income. Rich 20%Mid 40%Poor 40%Schools are far/No school w/n brgy0.120.352.31No regular transportation0.040.40.32High cost of education10.8222.0728.18Illness/Disability1.82.573.27Housekeeping7.038.956.92Employment/Looking for work36.3632.2719.25Lack of personal interest9.1116.1925.32Cannot cope with school work0.961.663.12Finished schooling28.58.992.83Others5.276.548.48Source: authors calculation using APIS 2002 5.3.3. Benefit incidence analysis of public expenditure in education. Another way of looking at the relationship between poverty and education is to look at the benefit incidence of public expenditure in education. From the previous indications it seems clear that expenditure in elementary and secondary schooling at least is not regressive. The previous PPA showed that overall public expenditure in education was mildly progressive. However it was noticed that while expenditure in elementary education was pro-poor, expenditure in secondary education was neutral and expenditure in higher education was quite regressive. The data in the APIS 2002 do no allow to make these calculations since it has eliminated the question on the type of school from the individual questionnaire. The calculation using the APIS 1999 lead to the same conclusions as the previous PPA: tertiary education is highly regressive. Figure 5.18 shows the cumulative number of beneficiaries of public expenditure by income per capita decile. Figure 5.18. Incidence of public expenditure in higher education.  EMBED Excel.Chart.8 \s Source: Authors calculation using APIS 1999. 6. THE RETURN TO EDUCATION IN PHILIPPINES. 6.1. Previous studies on the return to education in Philippines. The return of education is one of the basic indicators of any analysis that deals with the economics of education. The previous Philippines Poverty Assessment calculates, using the 1998 APIS, an average rate of return ranging from 11.4% up to 13.3%, being the return of women higher than the returns of men. The estimation that separates the return of education by levels shows that the lowest return (7.2%) is associated with primary education, higher is secondary education (10.4%) and the highest is for college education (19.3%). These results are similar but not totally consistent with the results using also the 1998 APIS in Quimbo (2002) and Schady (2000). Table 6.1. Rate of return estimates I. ElementarySecondaryTertiaryQuimbo (2002)16.021.228.0Shady (2000)12.112.927.6 Gerochi (2002) has also analysed the issue of the return to education. Gerochi (2002) describes the difference between successive levels of education over time using the LFS as the source of data. Table 6.2. Rate of return estimates II. Elementary grade versus no gradeSecondary grade versus elementary gradeCollege graduate versus secondary graduateMincerian coeff.Private198821.615.314.613.819902714.315.514.219952414.315.814Social198813.314.9199015.113.5199515.513.5Source: Gerochi (2002) Recently Krafts (2003) has calculated the private and social rate of return of education in Philippines using the 1998 APIS for the subset of wage and salaried workers. Table 6.3 presents the results, were there is a distinction between complete and incomplete cycles. Table 6.3. Rates of return III. PrivateSocialComplete cycle- High school10.447.26- College13.5310.55Incomplete cycle- Elementary graduate11.106.44- Some high school6.253.69- High school graduate10.166.33- Some college8.936.21Source: Kraft (2003). The rates of return on table 6.3 are lower than the ones presented above. Perhaps more surprisingly the difference between the private rate of return of college education (13.53) and elementary education (11.10) is low. If we were to factor in the different probability of unemployment of both levels of education then the relative advantage of tertiary education would be under question. Nevertheless we have to take the estimates in table 6.3 with caution. The previous tables show how different studies find very different estimates of the return to education. We will consider this issue in following sections in order to clarify the differences and provide our own estimates. 6.2. The returns of education in Philippines using the APIS 2002. One of the most important indicator of the relevance of education as an investment is the return to education. In this section we present different estimates of the return to education using the latest source of information available, the APIS 2002. At the same time we compare these results with the ones obtained previously using the same methodology.  The literature has proposed many different estimators and corrections to calculate the return to educations. However in this section we are not going to present an academic discussion on the advantage and disadvantages of different methods of estimations. In fact, and in order to establish reasonable comparison with previous results, we plan to use the simple Mincerian equation for alternative samples of the individuals in the APIS 2002. We interpret the results are descriptive statistics instead of given an structural interpretation of the coefficients. We restrict the sample to individuals between 25 years old and 65 years old. In addition we consider only wage earners since the inclusion of self-employed is problematic for this kind of studies. The variables included in the regression are the number of years of education (neduc), the potential number of years of experience (calculated as age minus number of years of education minus 6) and the square of the number of years of experience. Table 6.4. Return to education (wage earners between 25 and 64 years old) AllMaleFemaleCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statneduc0.157697.490.142372.990.206973.08exper0.036417.050.040015.410.02457.02exper2-0.0005-13.02-0.0005-11.49-0.0003-4.38Adj R20.330.280.48N 21,37714,3117,066Fuentes: Authors calculations based on APIS2002. The number of years of education have been assigned using the variable that contains the highest level of education. Since this variable distinguishes between graduates and non graduates there are several categories that have the same number of years of education. For instance graduates of high school and individuals that have done only until the 4th grade of high education are assigned 10 years of education. The endogenous variable is the logarithm of the salary per hour. This variable is problematic since the APIS 2002 do not contains any indicator of hours worked. For this reason it was necessary to merge the APIS 2002 with the October round of the Labor Force Survey. We use the variable normal working hours from the LFS as the denominator for the salaries in order to obtain the salary per hour. Table 6.4 shows that the average rate of return for a year of education is 15.7%. This is quite high for international standards. Separating males and females we find something what many other studies have found in the past: males have a lower rate of return to education (14.2%) than females (20.6%). Additionally the fit of the regression for females is almost double (0.48) the fit of the regression for males. This implies that education and experience explain a much higher degree of salaries variability in the case of females than in the case of males. Table 6.5 shows the same regression but restricting the sample to the household head, if he/she is a wage earner between 25 and 64 years old. The results show a smaller return to education (13.6%). This pattern was already present in the analysis of the return to education in the previous Philippines Poverty Assessment. As before women (18.1%) enjoy a better rate of return than men (13.3%). Table 6.5. Rate of return. Sample of household heads. Household headsMaleFemaleCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statneduc0.136668.080.133863.650.181526.01exper0.02908.990.02477.240.02142.21exper2-0.0005-8.91-0.0004-6.44-0.0004-2.65Adj R20.320.30.52N 12,08010,9861,094Fuentes: Authors calculations based on APIS2002. Since the regressions are identical to the ones run in the previous Poverty Assessment and the survey (APIS) is the same but referred to a different year we can analyze the evolution of the rate of return over time, specially since the Asian crisis could have affected it. In fact the rate of return has increase from 13.3% (APIS98) to 15.7% (APIS02). In the case of men the rate of return has grown from 12.3% to 14.2% and for women it has gone up from 16.6% to 20.6%. Therefore the increase has been much larger for women than for men. If we consider only the head of the household the results are similar. In general the return to education has increased from 12.4% to 13.6%. The same indicator for men household head increased from 12.3% to 13.3% and for women from 15.3% to 18.5%. Therefore we can conclude that, no matter what sample we use, the rate of return of education has increased from 1998 to 2002. We can also break the sample in function of education levels. The results of those regression are presented in table 6.6. If we assume that one year of education has the same return depending on the higher level of education then table shows that elementary education reaches 10% while secondary goes up to 16% and higher education is up to 23.2%. As before these rates are clearly higher than the ones obtained using the APIS98 (elementary 7.2%; secondary 10.4%; and higher education 19.3%). Table 6.6. Rate of return by level of education. ElementarySecondaryUniversityCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statneduc0.100813.520.159914.740.232239.71exper0.03094.680.03105.780.039411.49exper2-0.0005-5.14-0.0004-4.37-0.0005-6.61Adj R20.040.040.2N 6,1347,0597,741Fuentes: Authors calculations based on APIS2002. Finally we should consider the effect of having graduated versus not having graduated. For this purpose we have taken workers that have taken the same number of years of education in each level and use a dummy variable that takes 1 if the worker graduated from that level. The results are very interesting (table 6.7). Graduation from elementary or high school do not imply any significant improvement in salaries. However for higher education graduation has a very large payoff: it implies a 29% higher salary that workers who had 4 years of university but did not graduate. These results make a lot of sense since many jobs require a university title although, as we show before, at the end graduates may end up in a job where they are overqualified. Table 6.7. Return to graduation. ElementarySecondaryUniversityCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statCoeff.t-statgraduate-0.0546-0.950.05530.740.29005.03exper0.02022.20.02764.180.038010.23exper2-0.0003-2.36-0.0004-2.92-0.0004-5.53Fuentes: Authors calculations based on APIS2002 If instead of using regression we just calculate a simple test of differences between the group of graduates a non graduates from high school the result is the same. The difference is not significantly different from 0 (diff= 8.9%; t=1.49). However these results do not correspond to the ones obtained using the APIS98. The APIS 1998 sample reveals a 9.9% of advantage, in terms of wages, of elementary graduates versus non graduates; a 13.4% in the case of higher education graduates and a 19.3% for higher education graduates. 7. CONCLUSIONS. During the last 10 years there have been many comprehensive analysis of the situation of education in Philippines. Five of them are particularly relevant: the Congressional Commission on Education (1992); the Oversight Committee of the Congressional Oversight Committee on Education (1995); the Task Force on Higher Education of the CHED (1995); the ADB-World Bank report on Philippines Education for the 21st Century (1999); and the Presidential Commission on Education Reform (2000). Most of these studies present a similar diagnostic of the problems of education in Philippines, and in particular, higher education. The even proposed similar ideas to try to solve those problems. However, as we will show in this section, most of the proposal have not been developed and, in fact, many of the problems identified by these studies have worsen in recent years. There are basically two reasons for the failure of these proposals: The political economy of the education sector in Philippines is particularly difficult. This implies that institutional inertia has a very important weight (Tan 2001). There are too many proposals. Although finding a silver bullet for the problems of education in Philippines seems an overwhelming endeavour there is need for simple and applicable proposals that can generate political consensus, since the institutional constrains and the effect of inertia are very important. In the following sections we present, under separate epigraphs, a summary of the diagnostic and recommendations derived from previous sections. General trends: inputs and outputs Diagnostic: ( The Philippines population has a high level of nominal education in comparison with the countries in the region. However the recent trends (reduction of government expenditure on education over GDP, increasing pupil to teacher ratio in elementary and secondary, etc) endanger todays privileged position of Philippines in term of the education of its population. ( In fact during 1999, 2001 and 2003 public enrolment grew by 2,6%, 2,5% and 4,1% respectively, but the total budget in real terms of the Department of Education, in charge of primary and secondary education, contracted by 2,8%, 1,1% and 3,3% respectively. In per capita terms in 2003 the decline of per capita allocation in real terms was 9%. Official sources claim that the reasons for the worsening of the budget of basic education is the continuation of high population growth and the transfer of students from private schools to public schools as a consequence of the Asian crisis. ( Even worse, the operations budget has fallen to 6.64% (2003) from 10% (1998). The education system in Philippines has always being criticized for spending a very high proportion of the budget in personal services while the operations budget was very small. The reduction in the proportion of expenditure in books, desks and classes has been going on for quite a long time. In 1998 the WB-ADB (1998) study on the educational system in Philippines argue that it was necessary to increase the proportion of operational budge at least to 15%. The reality is that, instead of improving, the proportion of operational budget for basic inputs has been declining even further. Figure 7.1. Proportion of operational budget on total DepEd budget  EMBED Excel.Chart.8 \s Source: Congressional Planning and Budget Department, House of Representatives. ( It has been recognized for a long time that there is quite an important level of corruption in the purchase of textbooks and the cost of constructions of classrooms. In fact the Filipino Chambers of Commerce and Industry has shown that it is possible to construct a classroom for PhP400,000 instead of the PhP800,000 that cost a classroom procured through the government. ( All the indicators (new TIMSS data, recent licensiture examination passing rates, etc) show that there is not improvement in the traditional low quality of education in Philippines, specially in secondary and higher education. Recommendations: ( Reverse the recent trends in public expenditure on basic education. ( As we show previously, the private enrolment in secondary education has decrease 8,6% from 1997-98 to 2002-03, although the number of private high schools has increase from 2,734 up to 3,261. Therefore the growth rate of private high schools in this period (19,3%) has been higher than the growth rate of public high schools (17%) even though the enrolment in the second type of institutions has increase 32,5%. If students have been transfer from private high schools to public high schools for economic reasons (Asian crisis) the voucher system should be used with more intensity to avoid create private capacity underutilization. During the school year 2001-02 1,427 high schools participated in the voucher system. This is still only 46% of the total private high school. ( Increase the payment for the vouchers. Under the voucher system the government pays per student PhP2,500 with a cost of around PhP700 millions. This is less than 0,7% the total budget of the DepEd. There is no doubt that vouchers are more efficient than the construction of new classrooms and the underutilization of private high schools. The CPBD (2003) calculates that with PhP700 millions used for vouchers it was possible to construct 851 classrooms (cost per classroom=PhP800,000) for 42,550 students (at the actual rate of pupils per class). This is only 16% of the 275,000 beneficiaries of the Education Service Contracting. ( Impose a rule that force to increase operational budget in proportion to personal budget with a target of 15% in 5 years. Equity considerations. Diagnostic: ( Incidence analysis shows that primary and secondary education are pro-poor. However higher education is clearly regressive. ( The regressive nature of higher education hinges in two factors: students from wealthy families can attend good high schools and get access to the best public and private schools; and the cost of public university is twice as high as the cost of private higher education institutions. ( The low quality of secondary schools for the poor implies that their level of knowledge is low at the end of high school and, therefore, cannot access to the good public universities. This means they have to go to low quality-low fee private universities if they wan to continue their education. ( Due to budget limitations the number of grants for higher education has decreased (more than 10% from 2001 to 2002). Recommendations. Increase the number of grants for poor people to study higher education. Implement pro-poor systems to admission to the good public universities (where rejections rate range between 70 and 90%). However, avoid using income as basis for admission (income should only be used for concession of grants, conditional on admission). It is more efficient to grant automatic admission to their preferred higher education institution to students in the top 10% of their high school class (ranked by the high schools themselves or in function of a national exam but ranked by schools). Revert the trend in the reduction of scholarships. Regional issues ( In this report we have emphasize the issue of regional differences in education inputs, outputs and outcomes. Poor regions, in particular Mindanao, have very low levels of participation in education and high drop-out rates. In addition regional cohort survival is highly negatively correlated with poverty incidence. The regional dimension of poverty is very important in educational issues. Higher education. ( The performance of higher education graduates in the job market is, in general, disappointing. They show high unemployment rates (higher than lower levels of education) and, even thought their underemployment rate is low, they work in jobs not adequate for their level of education (overqualified). ( There are at least to reason for the high rate of unemployment rate among higher education graduates: it could be voluntary unemployment (higher education graduates from wealthy families can afford to wait a long time until they find a job they want to accept) or it could be due to low demand for university graduates because of the low average quality of their education. The ICS of Philippines shows that firms believe tertiary graduates do not have the necessary skills for the jobs they demand. ( It is by now a common place to argue that the low level of skills and knowledge of the average graduate from higher education has to do with the number of years of education prior to reach that last level. In many countries students accumulate 12 years of education before gaining access to the university. In Philippines they only need to study for 10 years (6 years of elementary school and 4 years of high school). For this reason some reports argue that the first two years of the university are used to rise the knowledge of students to the level they should have had prior to enter in the university. ( The number of higher education institutions continues to grow. ( The proportion of graduates by disciplines is not adequate for the new era of globalization. ( Given the low enrolment rate of the poor in tertiary education there should be an increasing amount of scholarships. However, the number of beneficiaries of the CHED student financial assistance program went down 10,2% from 2001 (44,876) to 2002 (40,294). This trend is obviously quite regressive. Recommendations. ( Establish a moratorium in the number of new higher education institutions. The new regulation should impose pre-accreditation to any institution that wants to become a university. If the institutions do not get at least the minimum level of accreditation it should not be allowed to operate. ( Establish a minimum level of quality of any institution in the higher education sector. For private institutions there should be regulation and periodical accreditation. For public institutions the financing should change from the automatic increase to a selective financing system in function of outputs and outcomes. ( Financing formulas for allocation of public funds among public HEI should consider not only enrolment but also outcomes. The formula should consider unit costs of the provision of higher education but should also weight heavily outcomes (performance of graduates in the labor market, etc.). For this formulation to work a complete and well organized information system is needed. The TRACER system in place at the CHED to find out about the job history of graduates is not an effective source of information since it is subject to many types of biases (self-selection, etc.) Rate of return of education ( Since graduation from each level of education (except elementary) has a high return the high rate of drop-outs in secondary and university education has a large social cost. ( The large number of university graduates unemployed or underemployed imply an important waste or public resources. ( The poor have a lower chance to get the large return to higher education, conditional on finding an adequate job. Recommendations ( When the unemployment rate is factor in the rate of return of higher education graduates and high school graduates is not so different. Given the low level of knowledge showed in international test, the expensive public higher education system and the return of education of high school graduates the allocation of funds should grow faster in secondary education than in higher education. REFERENCES Acebo, C. (2000), Technical background paper no 1 for the PESS, Statistical Annex. ADB (2003), Key Indicators 2003: education for global participation. Asian Development Bank and The World Bank (1998), Philippines education for the 21st century: the 1998 Philippines education sector study. Blanchard, Olivier, and Lawrence F. Katz, 1992, "Regional Evolutions," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: 1, Brookings Institution, pp. 1-61. Chapman, D. and D. Adams, Education in Developing Asia. The quality of education: dimensions and strategies, ADB and University of Hong Kong. Congressional Planning and Budget Committee (CPBC), House of Representatives of Philippines (2003), Sectoral Budget Analysis (supplement to the Analysis of the Presidents Budget for FY2003). Cororatan, (2002), Research and development and technology in the Philippines, PIDS working paper 2002-23. Demery, L. (2000), Benefit incidence: a practitioners guide, Poverty and social Development Group, Africa Region, The World Bank. Esguerra, J., Balisican, A. and N. Confesor (2000), The Asian Crisis and te labor market: Philippines case study, mimeo. Government of Philippines (2000), Education for all: Philippines Assessment Report. Gulosino, C. (2002), Evaluating private higher education in the Philippines: the case for choice, equity and efficiency, Occasional Paper n. 68, National Center for the Study of Privatization in Education, Columbia University. Hanushek, E. and J. Luque (2001), Efficiency and equity in schools around the world, mimeo, Stanford University. Kraft, a. (2003), Determining the social rates of return to investment in basic social services, mimeo. Lpez, R., Thomas, V. and Y. Wang (1998), Addressing the education puzzle: the distribution of education and economic reform, Policy Research Working Paper 2031, The World Bank. Mauro, Paolo, and Spilimbergo Antonio, 1999, How Do the Skilled and Unskilled Respond to Regional Shocks? The Case of Spain, IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 46, No. 1. Morada, H. and T. Manzala (2001), Mismatches in the Philippines labor market, mimeo, BLES. Orbeta, A. (2002), Education, labor market and development: a review of the trends and issues in the Philippines for the past 25 years, PIDS discussion paper 2002-19. Presidential Commission on Education Reform (2000), Philippine Agenda for Educational Reform: the PCER report. Tan, E. (2001), The political economy of education reform, mimeo. Tan, E. (2002), Studies in the access of poor to higher education, Background paper for the Asian Development Bank. Tan, E. (2003), School fee structure and inflation in Philippines higher education, PIDS 2003-03. UNESCO (2002), The EFA assessment country report: Philippines. The World Bank (2001), Filipino report cards on pro-poor services. The World Bank (2004), Implementing recent policy recommendations in education: a review of progress, mimeo. Technical note I. Matching the APIS 2002 and the October LSF 2002 The matching is done on the basis of five basic variables: the household code (notice you cannot use only this code since it is repeated in each region; for instance there is one hcn=1021 in each region), region, province, barangany and line number (identifies the individual line number, which is the number assign to the individual in the family. The variables in the LFS are called hcn region prov bgy ln0. Notice however that the number of observations is not exactly the same: the LFS has 196,482 observations while the APIS 2002 has 190,497. There are also some inconsistencies related with the family size. For instance the first observations of the LFS 2002 sorted by the variables above are (in bold missing in the APIS 2002): . list hcn region prov bgy ln0 in 1/100 +----------------------------------+ | hcn region prov bgy ln0 | |----------------------------------| 1. | 1 1 28 0381 1 | 2. | 1 1 28 0381 2 | 3. | 1 2 9 0011 1 | 4. | 1 3 8 0252 1 | 5. | 1 3 8 0252 2 | |----------------------------------| 6. | 1 3 8 0252 3 | 7. | 1 3 8 0252 4 | 8. | 1 3 8 0252 5 | 9. | 1 3 8 0252 6 | 10. | 1 4 10 0041 1 | |----------------------------------| 11. | 1 4 10 0041 2 | 12. | 1 4 10 0041 3 | 13. | 1 5 5 0061 1 | 14. | 1 5 5 0061 2 | 15. | 1 5 5 0061 3 | |----------------------------------| 16. | 1 5 5 0061 4 | 17. | 1 5 5 0061 5 | 18. | 1 6 4 0111 1 | 19. | 1 6 4 0111 2 | 20. | 1 7 12 0451 1 | |----------------------------------| 21. | 1 7 12 0451 2 | 22. | 1 7 12 0451 3 | 23. | 1 7 12 0451 4 | 24. | 1 7 12 0451 5 | 25. | 1 7 12 0451 6 | |----------------------------------| 26. | 1 8 26 0221 1 | 27. | 1 8 26 0221 2 | 28. | 1 8 26 0221 3 | 29. | 1 8 26 0221 4 | 30. | 1 8 26 0221 5 | |----------------------------------| 31. | 1 8 26 0221 6 | 32. | 1 9 7 0051 1 | 33. | 1 9 7 0051 2 | 34. | 1 9 7 0051 3 | 35. | 1 9 7 0051 4 | |----------------------------------| 36. | 1 9 7 0051 5 | 37. | 1 10 13 0231 1 | 38. | 1 10 13 0231 2 | 39. | 1 10 13 0231 3 | 40. | 1 10 13 0231 4 | |----------------------------------| 41. | 1 11 23 0114 1 | 42. | 1 11 23 0114 2 | 43. | 1 11 23 0114 3 | 44. | 1 11 23 0114 4 | 45. | 1 11 23 0114 5 | |----------------------------------| 46. | 1 11 23 0114 6 | 47. | 1 12 35 0154 1 | 48. | 1 12 35 0154 2 | 49. | 1 12 35 0154 3 | 50. | 1 12 35 0154 4 | |----------------------------------| 51. | 1 12 35 0154 5 | 52. | 1 12 35 0154 6 | 53. | 1 12 35 0154 7 | 54. | 1 12 35 0154 8 | 55. | 1 13 39 0293 1 | |----------------------------------| 56. | 1 13 39 0293 2 | 57. | 1 14 1 0251 1 | 58. | 1 15 36 0691 1 | 59. | 1 15 36 0691 2 | 60. | 1 15 36 0691 3 | |----------------------------------| 61. | 1 15 36 0691 4 | 62. | 1 15 36 0691 5 | 63. | 1 16 2 0151 1 | 64. | 1 16 2 0151 2 | 65. | 1 16 2 0151 3 | |----------------------------------| 66. | 1 16 2 0151 4 | 67. | 1 16 2 0151 5 | 68. | 1 16 2 0151 6 | 69. | 1 16 2 0151 7 | 70. | 1 16 2 0151 8 | |----------------------------------| 71. | 1 16 2 0151 9 | 72. | 2 1 28 0381 1 | 73. | 2 1 28 0381 2 | 74. | 2 1 28 0381 3 | 75. | 2 1 28 0381 4 | |----------------------------------| 76. | 2 1 28 0381 5 | 77. | 2 1 28 0381 6 | 78. | 2 2 9 0011 1 | 79. | 2 2 9 0011 2 | 80. | 2 2 9 0011 3 | |----------------------------------| 81. | 2 2 9 0011 4 | 82. | 2 3 8 0252 1 | 83. | 2 3 8 0252 2 | 84. | 2 3 8 0252 3 | 85. | 2 3 8 0252 4 | |----------------------------------| 86. | 2 4 10 0041 1 | 87. | 2 4 10 0041 2 | 88. | 2 4 10 0041 3 | 89. | 2 4 10 0041 4 | 90. | 2 4 10 0041 5 | |----------------------------------| 91. | 2 4 10 0041 6 | 92. | 2 6 4 0111 1 | 93. | 2 6 4 0111 2 | 94. | 2 6 4 0111 3 | 95. | 2 7 12 0451 1 | |----------------------------------| 96. | 2 7 12 0451 2 | 97. | 2 7 12 0451 3 | 98. | 2 8 26 0221 1 | 99. | 2 8 26 0221 2 | 100. | 2 8 26 0221 3 | +----------------------------------+ . end of do-file The same 100 observations for the APIS 2002 are (in bold missing in LFS 2002) . list hcn reg prov bgy lno in 1/100 +---------------------------------------------------------+ | hcn reg prov bgy lno | |---------------------------------------------------------| 1. | 1 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 1 | 2. | 1 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 2 | 3. | 1 Cagayan Valley Batanes 0011 1 | 4. | 1 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 1 | 5. | 1 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 2 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 6. | 1 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 3 | 7. | 1 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 4 | 8. | 1 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 5 | 9. | 1 Southern Tagalog Batangas 0041 1 | 10. | 1 Southern Tagalog Batangas 0041 2 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 11. | 1 Southern Tagalog Batangas 0041 3 | 12. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 1 | 13. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 2 | 14. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 3 | 15. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 4 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 16. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 5 | 17. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 6 | 18. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 7 | 19. | 1 Bicol Region Albay 0061 8 | 20. | 1 Western Visayas Aklan 0111 1 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 21. | 1 Western Visayas Aklan 0111 2 | 22. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 1 | 23. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 2 | 24. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 3 | 25. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 4 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 26. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 5 | 27. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 6 | 28. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 7 | 29. | 1 Central Visayas Bohol 0451 8 | 30. | 1 Eastern Visayas Eastern Samar 0221 1 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 31. | 1 Eastern Visayas Eastern Samar 0221 2 | 32. | 1 Eastern Visayas Eastern Samar 0221 3 | 33. | 1 Eastern Visayas Eastern Samar 0221 4 | 34. | 1 Eastern Visayas Eastern Samar 0221 5 | 35. | 1 Western Mindanao Basilan 0051 1 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 36. | 1 Western Mindanao Basilan 0051 2 | 37. | 1 Western Mindanao Basilan 0051 3 | 38. | 1 Western Mindanao Basilan 0051 4 | 39. | 1 Western Mindanao Basilan 0051 5 | 40. | 1 Northern Mindanao Bukidnon 0231 1 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 41. | 1 Northern Mindanao Bukidnon 0231 2 | 42. | 1 Northern Mindanao Bukidnon 0231 3 | 43. | 1 Northern Mindanao Bukidnon 0231 4 | 44. | 1 Southern Mindanao Davao 0114 1 | 45. | 1 Southern Mindanao Davao 0114 2 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 46. | 1 Southern Mindanao Davao 0114 3 | 47. | 1 Southern Mindanao Davao 0114 4 | 48. | 1 Southern Mindanao Davao 0114 5 | 49. | 1 Southern Mindanao Davao 0114 6 | 50. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 1 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 51. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 2 | 52. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 3 | 53. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 4 | 54. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 5 | 55. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 6 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 56. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 7 | 57. | 1 Central Mindanao Lanao del Norte 0154 8 | 58. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 1 | 59. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 2 | 60. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 3 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 61. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 4 | 62. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 5 | 63. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 6 | 64. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 7 | 65. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 8 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 66. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 9 | 67. | 1 N C R Manila 0293 10 | 68. | 1 C A R Abra 0251 1 | 69. | 1 A R M M Lanao del Sur 0691 1 | 70. | 1 A R M M Lanao del Sur 0691 2 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 71. | 1 A R M M Lanao del Sur 0691 3 | 72. | 1 A R M M Lanao del Sur 0691 4 | 73. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 1 | 74. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 2 | 75. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 3 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 76. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 4 | 77. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 5 | 78. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 6 | 79. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 7 | 80. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 8 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 81. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 9 | 82. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 10 | 83. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 11 | 84. | 1 CARAGA Agusan del Norte 0151 12 | 85. | 2 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 1 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 86. | 2 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 2 | 87. | 2 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 3 | 88. | 2 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 4 | 89. | 2 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 5 | 90. | 2 Ilocos Region Ilocos Norte 0381 6 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 91. | 2 Cagayan Valley Batanes 0011 1 | 92. | 2 Cagayan Valley Batanes 0011 2 | 93. | 2 Cagayan Valley Batanes 0011 3 | 94. | 2 Cagayan Valley Batanes 0011 4 | 95. | 2 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 1 | |---------------------------------------------------------| 96. | 2 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 2 | 97. | 2 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 3 | 98. | 2 Central Luzon Bataan 0252 4 | 99. | 2 Southern Tagalog Batangas 0041 1 | 100. | 2 Southern Tagalog Batangas 0041 2 | +---------------------------------------------------------+ . end of do-file PROPOSALS FOR ADDITIONAL ANALYSIS Education and TFP growth. Precise formulas for a practical proposal of financing higher education based on objective indicators. Detail incidence analysis on the pro-poor (or regressive) nature of public expenditure in education. The effect of the Asian crisis on thius. Regional dimension of educational differences.  In terms of statistical information the previous Poverty Assessment stops in 1997-98.  In the Philippines, TIMSS 2003 is jointly implemented by the Department of Science and Technology (DOST), through the Science Education Institute (SEI), and the Department of Education (DepEd).  A positive sign implies that girls have a higher score than boys. A negative sign implies the opposite.  For instance in 2000 the passing rate was 37.5%.  The particular version presented in the table is from UNESCOSs EFA (Education For All) program.  With those punctuations the percentage of passers is around 75% among the elementary students and 94% in secondary.  Latter we will show that the return to education is also much higher for women than for men.  However we should notice that there is a very high variability across regions.  World Bank (2001), Filipino report card on pro-poor services.  Ratings are calculated as the average of a 5-points Lickert scale: 2 Very satisfied; 1 somewhat satisfied; 0 undecided; -1 somewhat dissatisfied; -2 very dissatisfied.  The annual unemployment rate is calculated as a simple average of the quarterly unemployment rates. The definition for unemployed is the one used by the NSO. Using the ILO definition provides very similar conclusions.  The Trace study is a continuous survey on the situation of graduates from higher education institutions. Although the representativeness of the sample is not clear (students can fill the questionnaires using Internet with all the sampling problems that this strategy generates). Notice also that this study refers basically to recent college graduates and undergraduates.  Most advertisement for vacancies (as much as 68% following a recent study) require a minimum of college education.  Compare Mauro (1999)  For example opportunity cost of not working is higher for the highly skilled; more discussion in Mauro (1999)  Given that we dont have the level of unemployment we obtained this variable in the following way:  EMBED Equation.3 , where  EMBED Equation.3  and  EMBED Equation.3 are the working-age population and the number of employee in state i, in time t, respectively and the variable without the subscript i represent the corresponding national aggregation.  Notice that the proportions by level of education do not coincide with the ones presented in table 1.2 because of differences in definitions.  This includes the sum of educational expenditure in cash and in kind.  We will analyze the per capita expenditure in education in the section on the incidence of public subsidies in education.  Notice that the source of information for those years is the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) and not APIS. However there are not good reasons to believe that the difference in the source of data should produce any effect on the comparison. Notice that Filmer and Pritchett only consider educational attainment up to the third grade of secondary.  See Demery (2000).  Krafts (2003) argues that the rate of return for elementary graduates and some elementary education is too small for obtaining reasonable estimates.  In particular with the results in the previous Philippines Poverty Assessment (2001).  Wage earners are defined by the variables col20_cworker. We include as such the workers for private households, for private establishment, for government and government corporations and workers with pay on own family operated business.  We should notice that in most of the regressions the product of education by experience is significantly different from 0. In order to be able to compare with previous results we keep exactly the same specification.  We discuss the return of degrees latter in this section.  The results are unchanged if we do not control for the years of experience. Box 3 Data limitations on wages. The study of the return of education requires, as a basic input, information about wages and hours of work. It is well known that usually the LFS do not include questions on salaries while Family Income and Expenditure Surveys do not consider hours of work as relevant information. In the case of the statistical information of Philippines the situation is more complex because of two factors: The excessive change in the questionnaires of otherwise identical statistical operations. The special nature of some variables in surveys that, for most of the variables, are publicly available. We should notice the following points: By complementary information it is clear that there is information on wages (basic pay) in the October wage of the LFS of Philippines. The files that we have do not provide that information. In addition, from January 2001 onwards there should be information on wages for all the waves. The files we have for 2001-2002 do not contain such information. The other recent sources of information on wages and salaries are: FIES 1997 APIS 1998 APIS 1999 FIES 2000 APIS 2002 - Unfortunately the APIS 2002 do not contain information on hours worked. There are some cases in which a panel data can be constructed. This is the case of the APIS 2002 and the October 2002 LFS. However the matching is less than perfect (see appendix for details on the matching of these two surveys). Legend - 24.99 25.00 - 29.99 30.00 - 34.99 35.00 - 39.99 40.00 - 44.99 45.00 - 49.99 50.00 + No Teachers No Data Legend - 45.99 46.00 - 50.99 51.00 - 55.99 56.00 + No Classrooms No Data Legend - 0.49 0.50 - 0.69 0.70 - 0.89 0.90 - 1.00 1.01 - 1.99 2.00 - 2.99 3.00 + No Furniture No Data ARMM STR = 53.25 CAR STR = 34.95 NCR STR = 35.88 Region I STR = 36.78 Region II STR = 41.06 Region III STR = 44.59 Region IV-A STR = 48.84 Region V STR = 38.49 Region VI STR = 37.29 Region VII STR = 52.03 Region VIII STR = 40.84 Region IX STR = 40.1 Region X STR = 43.33 Region XI STR = 42.15 Region XII STR = 45.08 CARAGA STR = 44.25 Region IV-B STR = 40.01 Box 1 Structure of the education system in Philippines Compulsory education. Age of entry: 6 Age of exit: 12 Primary Length of the program in years: 4 Age: from 6 to 10. Intermediate Length of the program: 2 Age: from 10 to 12. Secondary education Length of the program in years: 4 Age: from 12 o 16. Secondary education usually lasts for four years. Compulsory subjects include English, Filipino, Science, Social Studies, Mathematics, Practical Arts, Youth Development Training and Citizens Army Training. The cycle culminates in the examinations for the High School Diploma. The National Secondary Aptitude Test is taken at this time. It is a prerequisite for university admission Higher education. Post-secondary studies (technical/vocational) Technical or vocational courses which last between three months and three years lead to skills proficiency which are mostly terminal in nature. They are Certificate, Diploma and Associate programs. University studies. Bachelors degree A Bachelor's Degree is generally conferred after four years' study. The minimum number of credits required for four-year Bachelor's Degrees ranges from 120 to 190. In some fields, such as Business, Teacher Education, Engineering and Agriculture, one semester's work experience is required. University second stage: Certificate, diploma and master degree. Certificates and Diplomas are conferred on completion of one or two years of study beyond the Bachelor's Degree. To be admitted to the Master's Degree, students must have a general average of at least 85 or B or 2 in the undergraduate course. University third stage: Ph. D. To be admitted to a Doctorate program, students must have an average of at least 1.75 in the Master's Degree. The PhD requires a further two to three years' study (minimum) following upon the Master's degree and a dissertation. Teachers education: pre-primary, primary and secondary (bachelor). Tertiary: master degree. Non-formal higher education. Two- to three-year programs are offered to train highly-skilled technicians, office staff, health personnel. Candidates are awarded Diplomas, Certificates or Certificates of Proficiency. Box 2 Legal set-up and organization of the education sector Basic laws. Education Act of 1982. Republic Act 7722 of 1994. Creation of the Commission of Higher Education (CHE). Republic Act 7796 of 1994. Creation of the Technical Education and Skills Development Authority (TESDA). Republic Act 8292 of 1997. Higher education modernization act. Republic Act 9155 of 2001. Governance of Basic education act. It provides the overall framework for (i) school head empowerment by strengthening their leadership roles and (ii) school-based management within the context of transparency and local accountability. The goal of basic education is to provide the school age population and young adults with skills, knowledge, and values to become caring, self-reliant, productive and patriotic citizens. Legal bodies governing education Department of Education (DepEd). Pre-primary, primary, secondary and non-formal education. Commission of Higher Education (CHE). Higher education. Technical Education and Skills Development Authority (TESDA). In charge of post-secondary, middle level manpower training and vocational education. Structure of the Department of Education. The Department operates with four Undersecretaries in the areas of: (1) Programs and Projects; (2) Regional Operations; (3) Finance and Administration; and (4) Legal Affairs; four Assistant Secretaries in the areas of: (1) Programs and Projects; (2) Planning and Development; (3) Budget and Financial Affairs; and (4) Legal Affairs. Three staff bureaus provide assistance to formulate policy and standards: Bureau of Elementary Education (BEE), cont.      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D.MastersBachelorotherGTable 5. Distribution of CHED Scholars/Grantees and Funding Allocation By Region, AY 2001-2002RegionNo. of GranteesFundsIVTotal"Source: Office of Student ServicesJIn 2000-01 number of beneficiaries were 44876. Therefore decrease in 10,2% As of February 2001 DisciplineCOEsCOD-1COD-2Agriculture EducationBusiness Education(Engineering, Technology and ArchitectureHealth Profession:Nursing EducationMedicineHUSOCOMInformation TechnologyDistance Education (Open Univ)Science and MathematicsTeacher EducationOList of Centers of Excellence/Development by Region, Institution and DisciplineAs of February 2001 INSTITUTION DISCIPLINE Lorma College Information Technology EducationMariano Marcos State University.Agricultural Engineering, Ceramics Engineering$Pangasinan State University-Binmaley FisheriesCagayan State University'Civil Engineering, Computer Engineering1Electrical Engineering, Fisheries, Marine Science Isabela State University-CabaganForestry!Saint Louis College of Tuguegarao.Architecture, Civil Engineering, Geodetic EnggSaint Mary's University$Civil Engineering, Teacher EducationSaint Paul University*Business, Civil Engineering, Geodetic EnggNursing, Teacher EducationUniversity of La Sallette,Information Technology Education, Civil EnggAngeles University FoundationBulacan State University'Electrical Engineering, Mechanical EnggCentral Luzon State University*Agriculture, Biology, Chemistry, FisheriesHoly Angel University.Electrical Engineering, Industrial EngineeringPamantasan ng AraulloGeodetic EngineeringTarlac State UniversityElectrical EngineeringWesleyan University Philippines*Electronics and Communications EngineeringCavite State University%Agricultural Engineering, Agriculture De La Salle Aguinaldo-Dasmarias$Pablo Borbon Memorial Inst. Of Tech.Mechanical EngineeringPalawan State University$State Polytechnic College of Palawan UP-Los Baos.Agricultural Engineering, Agriculture, Biology'Chemistry, Communication Arts, Forestry"Information Technology Education, (Mathematics,Physics, Veterinary MedicineUP- Open UniversityAquinas University'Computer Engineering, Teacher EducationAteneo de Naga+Business, Information Technololgy EducationBicol UniversityBicol University-TabacoCentral Philippine University'Chemical Engineering, Civil Engineering(Electrical Engineering, Mechanical EnggSt. Paul's IloiloNursing$Univ. of Negros Occidental-RecoletosUniversity of St. La Salle&Business, Chemical Engg, Computer Engg%University of the Philippines-Visayas"Biology, Fisheries, Marine ScienceWest Visayas State UniversityWestern Institute of TechnologyCebu Institute of MedicineCebu Institute of TechnologySilliman University-Biology, Business, Marine Science, Mechanical,Engineering, Nursing, Physics, Teacher Educ.University of San Carlos+Biology, Business, Chemical Engg, Chemistry+Civil Engineering, Electrical Engineering, $Marine Science, Mathematics, PhysicsUniversity of San Carlos University of San Jose-RecoletosBusiness, Teacher Education$Asian Development Foundation CollegeLeyte Institute of TechnologyCivil EngineeringLeyte Normal UniversitySamar State Polytechnic College$Visayas State College of Agriculture/Agricultural Engineering, Agriculture, ForestryAteneo de ZamboangaSt. Columban College!Western Mindanao State UniversityArchitecture, Teacher Education!Zamboanga State College of Marine Science and TechnologyMarine ScienceCagayan Capitol CollegesCentral Mindanao UniversityAgriculture, Biology, ForestryLiceo de Cagayan"Mindanao Polytechnic State College Mathematics Mindanao State University-NaawanMisamis UniversityXavier University.Business, Chemical Engg, Chemistry, Civil Engg+Electrical Engg, Information Technology Ed.+Mechanical Engineering, Medicine, SociologyAteneo de Davao University)Biology, Business, Chemistry, Mathematics+Information Technology Educ., Teacher Educ.Notre Dame of Marbel UniversitySan Pedro CollegeUniversity of Mindanao&University of Southeastern Philippines#Electronics and Communications Engg"Mindanao State University (Marawi)Chemistry, Teacher Education Mindanao State University-Iligan(Biology, Ceramics Engineering, Chemistry Instituteof Technology+Civil Engineering, Electrical Engg, Physics)Information Technology Educ., Mathematics*Mechanical Engineering, Metallurgical EnggUniversity of Southern Mindanao AgricultureAdamson University,Computer Engineering, Electrical Engineering)Geology, Industrial Engg, Mechanical EnggAteneo de Manila University,Biology, Business, Chemistry, English, Math.(Information Technology Educ., Literature*Philosophy, Physics, Psychology, SociologyDe La Salle University.Civil Engg, English, Filipino, Industrial Engg,Information Technology Education, Literature%Mathematics, Mechanical Engg, PhysicsEast Asia CollegeMapua Institute of TechnologyChemical Engineering, Geology&Metallurgical Engineering, Mining EnggPhilippine Normal UniversityFilipino, Teacher Education$Polytechnic Univ. of the Philippines&Technological Univ. of the Philippines)Civil Engineering, Electrical EngineeringUniversity of Santo Tomas+Architecture, Biology, Business, Chem. Engg&Chemistry, Civil Engg, Electrical Engg,Industrial Engg, Literature, Mechanical Engg$Medicine, Music, Nursing, Philosophy%University of the Philippines-Diliman-Anthropology, Architecture, Biology, Business+Chemical Engineering, Chemistry, Civil Engg(Communication Arts, Computer Engineering!Economics, Electrical Engineering$English, Filipino, Foreign Languages0Geology, History, Industrial Engg, Geodetic Engg,Information Technology Education, Journalism'Literature, Marine Science, Mathematics"Mining Engineering, Music, Physics(Political Science, Psychology, Sociology$University of the Philippines-ManilaBiology, Med< icine, NursingBaguio Colleges Foundation+Information Technology Educ., Sanitary EnggBenguet State UniversitySaint Louis University)Architecture, Business, Civil Engineering'Mechanical Engg, Nursing, Teacher Educ.University of BaguioSanitary Engineering$University of the Philippines-BaguioBiology, Mathematics, PhysicsNotre Dame of JoloSan Nicolas College1998-992000-01bachelormasterph dRTable 8. Distribution of Accredited Programs by Region and Level of AccreditationLEVEL OF ACCREDITATION/Source:1998-1999 and 2000-2001 FAAP Directories AccountancyAeronautical EngineeringAgricultural Engineering ArchitectureChemical Engineering Chemistry CriminologyCustoms AdministrationEnvironmental PlanningGeologyInterior DesignMetallurgical Engineering MidwiferyMining EngineeringOccupational Therapy OptometryPharmacyPhysical TherapyRadiologic Technology Social WorkVeterinary MedicinePTable 24. National Percentage of Passing in the Licensure Examinations (Actual) DentistryElectronics & Comms Eng'gNELandscape ArchitectureLibrary ScienceLawMarine TransportationMarine EngineeringMedical Technologycontinued Table 24& Naval Archi. & Marine Eng'g.Nutrition and Dietetics-Physical and Occup. TherapyElementary/Secondary Educ.Teacher-ElementaryTeacher-SecondaryRadiologic/X-Ray TechnologyNational AverageNote: NE = No examineesiThe examination for the 1996 Environmental Planning was waived and all applicants were considered passed.iThe statistics for Occupational and Physical Therapy, Teacher-Elem and Secondary and Radiologic and X-ray8 Technology were combined from 1991 to 1998.2Master Plumbing and X-Ray Technology are excluded.cTable 15. The Most Popular Programs in Terms of Enrollment (5 top programs) by Region AY 2001-2002ProgramRankB/BS in Elementary EducationB/BS in Secondary EducationBS in CommerceBS AgricultureBS in Computer ScienceBS in Marine TransportationBS in CriminologyBachelor of ArtsBS AccountancyBS in Business Administration0BS in Electronics and Communications EngineeringBS in Industrial EducationCARAGABS in Industrial Technology2002-03Note: 1994-1995 to 1997-1998 General Discipline Group in all levels regardless of major were lumped. 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D.MastersBachelorotherGTable 5. Distribution of CHED Scholars/Grantees and Funding Allocation By Region, AY 2001-2002RegionNo. of GranteesFundsIVTotal"Source: Office of Student ServicesJIn 2000-01 number of beneficiaries were 44876. Therefore decrease in 10,2% As of February 2001 DisciplineCOEsCOD-1COD-2Agriculture EducationBusiness Education(Engineering, Technology and ArchitectureHealth Profession:Nursing EducationMedicineHUSOCOMInformation TechnologyDistance Education (Open Univ)Science and MathematicsTeacher EducationOList of Centers of Excellence/Development by Region, Institution and DisciplineAs of February 2001 INSTITUTION DISCIPLINE Lorma College Information Technology EducationMariano Marcos State University.Agricultural Engineering, Ceramics Engineering$Pangasinan State University-Binmaley FisheriesCagayan State University'Civil Engineering, Computer Engineering1Electrical Engineering, Fisheries, Marine Science Isabela State University-CabaganForestry!Saint Louis College of Tuguegarao.Architecture, Civil Engineering, Geodetic EnggSaint Mary's University$Civil Engineering, Teacher EducationSaint Paul University*Business, Civil Engineering, Geodetic EnggNursing, Teacher EducationUniversity of La Sallette,Information Technology Education, Civil EnggAngeles University FoundationBulacan State University'Electrical Engineering, Mechanical EnggCentral Luzon State University*Agriculture, Biology, Chemistry, FisheriesHoly Angel University.Electrical Engineering, Industrial EngineeringPamantasan ng AraulloGeodetic EngineeringTarlac State UniversityElectrical EngineeringWesleyan University Philippines*Electronics and Communications EngineeringCavite State University%Agricultural Engineering, Agriculture De La Salle Aguinaldo-Dasmarias$Pablo Borbon Memorial Inst. Of Tech.Mechanical EngineeringPalawan State University$State Polytechnic College of Palawan UP-Los Baos.Agricultural Engineering, Agriculture, Biology'Chemistry, Communication Arts, Forestry"Information Technology Education, (Mathematics,Physics, Veterinary MedicineUP- Open UniversityAquinas University'Computer Engineering, Teacher EducationAteneo de Naga+Business, Information Technololgy EducationBicol UniversityBicol University-TabacoCentral Philippine University'Chemical Engineering, Civil Engineering(Electrical Engineering, Mechanical EnggSt. Paul's IloiloNursing$Univ. of Negros Occidental-RecoletosUniversity of St. La Salle&Business, Chemical Engg, Computer Engg%University of the Philippines-Visayas"Biology, Fisheries, Marine ScienceWest Visayas State UniversityWestern Institute of TechnologyCebu Institute of MedicineCebu Institute of TechnologySilliman University-Biology, Business, Marine Science, Mechanical,Engineering, Nursing, Physics, Teacher Educ.University of San Carlos+Biology, Business, Chemical Engg, Chemistry+Civil Engineering, Electrical Engineering, $Marine Science, Mathematics, PhysicsUniversity of San Carlos University of San Jose-RecoletosBusiness, Teacher Education$Asian Development Foundation CollegeLeyte Institute of TechnologyCivil EngineeringLeyte Normal UniversitySamar State Polytechnic College$Visayas State College of Agriculture/Agricultural Engineering, Agriculture, ForestryAteneo de ZamboangaSt. Columban College!Western Mindanao State UniversityArchitecture, Teacher Education!Zamboanga State College of Marine Science and TechnologyMarine ScienceCagayan Capitol CollegesCentral Mindanao UniversityAgriculture, Biology, ForestryLiceo de Cagayan"Mindanao Polytechnic State College Mathematics Mindanao State University-NaawanMisamis UniversityXavier University.Business, Chemical Engg, Chemistry, Civil Engg+Electrical Engg, Information Technology Ed.+Mechanical Engineering, Medicine, SociologyAteneo de Davao University)Biology, Business, Chemistry, Mathematics+Information Technology Educ., Teacher Educ.Notre Dame of Marbel UniversitySan Pedro CollegeUniversity of Mindanao&University of Southeastern Philippines#Electronics and Communications Engg"Mindanao State University (Marawi)Chemistry, Teacher Education Mindanao State University-Iligan(Biology, Ceramics Engineering, Chemistry Instituteof Technology+Civil Engineering, Electrical Engg, Physics)Information Technology Educ., Mathematics*Mechanical Engineering, Metallurgical EnggUniversity of Southern Mindanao AgricultureAdamson University,Computer Engineering, Electrical Engineering)Geology, Industrial Engg, Mechanical EnggAteneo de Manila University,Biology, Business, Chemistry, English, Math.(Information Technology Educ., Literature*Philosophy, Physics, Psychology, SociologyDe La Salle University.Civil Engg, English, Filipino, Industrial Engg,Information Technology Education, Literature%Mathematics, Mechanical Engg, PhysicsEast Asia CollegeMapua Institute of TechnologyChemical Engineering, Geology&Metallurgical Engineering, Mining EnggPhilippine Normal UniversityFilipino, Teacher Education$Polytechnic Univ. of the Philippines&Technological Univ. of the Philippines)Civil Engineering, Electrical EngineeringUniversity of Santo Tomas+Architecture, Biology, Business, Chem. Engg&Chemistry, Civil Engg, Electrical Engg,Industrial Engg, Literature, Mechanical Engg$Medicine, Music, Nursing, Philosophy%University of the Philippines-Diliman-Anthropology, Architecture, Biology, Business+Chemical Engineering, Chemistry, Civil Engg(Communication Arts, Computer Engineering!Economics, Electrical Engineering$English, Filipino, Foreign Languages0Geology, History, Industrial Engg, Geodetic Engg,Information Technology Education, Journalism'Literature, Marine Science, Mathematics"Mining Engineering, Music, Physics(Political Science, Psychology, Sociology$University of the Philippines-ManilaBiology, Med<B icine, NursingBaguio Colleges Foundation+Information Technology Educ., Sanitary EnggBenguet State UniversitySaint Louis University)Architecture, Business, Civil Engineering'Mechanical Engg, Nursing, Teacher Educ.University of BaguioSanitary Engineering$University of the Philippines-BaguioBiology, Mathematics, PhysicsNotre Dame of JoloSan Nicolas College1998-992000-01bachelormasterph dRTable 8. Distribution of Accredited Programs by Region and Level of AccreditationLEVEL OF ACCREDITATION/Source:1998-1999 and 2000-2001 FAAP Directories AccountancyAeronautical EngineeringAgricultural Engineering ArchitectureChemical Engineering Chemistry CriminologyCustoms AdministrationEnvironmental PlanningGeologyInterior DesignMetallurgical Engineering MidwiferyMining EngineeringOccupational Therapy OptometryPharmacyPhysical TherapyRadiologic Technology Social WorkVeterinary MedicinePTable 24. National Percentage of Passing in the Licensure Examinations (Actual) DentistryElectronics & Comms Eng'gNELandscape ArchitectureLibrary ScienceLawMarine TransportationMarine EngineeringMedical TechnologyNaval Archi. & Marine Eng'g.Nutrition and Dietetics-Physical and Occup. TherapyElementary/Secondary Educ.Teacher-ElementaryTeacher-SecondaryRadiologic/X-Ray TechnologyNational AverageNote: NE = No examineesiThe examination for the 1996 Environmental Planning was waived and all applicants were considered passed.iThe statistics for Occupational and Physical Therapy, Teacher-Elem and Secondary and Radiologic and X-ray8 Technology were combined from 1991 to 1998.2Master Plumbing and X-Ray Technology are excluded.cTable 15. The Most Popular Programs in Terms of Enrollment (5 top programs) by Region AY 2001-2002ProgramRankB/BS in Elementary EducationB/BS in Secondary EducationBS in CommerceBS AgricultureBS in Computer ScienceBS in Marine TransportationBS in CriminologyBachelor of ArtsBS AccountancyBS in Business Administration0BS in Electronics and Communications EngineeringBS in Industrial EducationCARAGABS in Industrial Technology2002-03% 01-02 % students % graduatesratio grad/stud Aver. 85-89 Aver. 92-97Note: 1994-1995 to 1997-1998 General Discipline Group in all levels regardless of major were lumped. From AY 1998-1999 to 2001-2002 with majors were distributed to corresponding fields of study such as Humanities, Mass Communication, Math and Computer Sz" #Q$g?%U%%&;T&j&J(`)2)r**+H,^ - - / 0 1521(3>64L53.6D]7s\8rY9o1:Gk;y<=>?(A>BCDeEWFFlG^HHJMK? L @  dMbP?_*+%"U } } '} &} 7"" "0"Y0"0"0 " " " " """""""""""" "0" "0""""  "0!"""#"H!         n6 !  B?  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" # $ % & ' ( ) * + , - . / 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 : ; < = > ? @ A B C D E F G H I J K L N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z [ \ ] ^ _ ` a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z { | } ~  @\p Ba=P=x!E9X@"1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1 Arial1$Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1Arial1PArial1PArial1PArial"$"#,##0_);\("$"#,##0\)!"$"#,##0_);[Red]\("$"#,##0\)""$"#,##0.00_);\("$"#,##0.00\)'""$"#,##0.00_);[Red]\("$"#,##0.00\)7*2_("$"* #,##0_);_("$"* \(#,##0\);_("$"* "-"_);_(@_).))_(* #,##0_);_(* \(#,##0\);_(* "-"_);_(@_)?,:_("$"* #,##0.00_);_("$"* \(#,##0.00\);_("$"* "-"??_);_(@_)6+1_(* #,##0.00_);_(* \(#,##0.00\);_(* "-"??_);_(@_)0.0"S";"S";"No"$"Verdadero";"Verdadero";"Falso"(#"Activado";"Activado";"Desactivado" #,##0.0                  + ) , *     # &  " "          *8  *8  #        ` g1 2g2Koperational budgetM indicators ugnexa"0nperformance indicator evolCwtables_not_attendinğwhy_not_attending"`if PHI secondarytertiaryGNICAM7Education enrollment and economic development (2001) WBKORINDOCHIMALMONLAOTHAVIETPublic expenditure on educationMalaysiaThailand PhilippinesKoreaChina-Cambodia Indonesia Pub. Educ/GDPPub. Educ/pub. Exp. Indonesia*%Public education expenditure over GDPGDPPub. Exp. EducRatio2Distribution across educational levels (1998-2000)Primary Secondary TertiaryOthersSCHOOLSPublicPrivate ENROLMENTTEACHERS Elementary Secondary1997-982002-03Crec.Higher education enrolmentTotal (current prices) Growth rateTotal (1985 prices)Growth rate (1985 prices)Year All SourcesGeneral Govern-ment House-holdsFinancial Corpora-tionsNon-financial Corpora-tions,Non-profit Institu-tions Serving House-holdsRest of the Worldaverage annual growth rateTotal education expenditureBasic Middle levelHigher Job-related Ancillary Other usesTotal*Pupil teacher ratiosMongoliaMyanmarVietnam1998-991999-002000-012001-02"Cohort survival rate (EFA formula)Completion rate Drop out rate Elementary Secondary" Secondary (based on First year)Achivement rate Elementary: NEAT Secondary: NSAT40*28.5*Pupil-teacher ratio*NEAT and NSAT were not administrated in 2001-02. 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DlN2jVrjjTF~~ppppppp~@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRS@ @"@@0{@Y@ AqA As At Ac AcB BmB^eY@B C] C^ C_ C`C Da Db Dc DcD D{ D| DD EdE?@@E FeF@B@E@F Fr F^ F_ F` GfGx@8@ܟ@G Gs Gt Gc Gc HgHF@@m@¡@H HuH@L@G@G@ IhI k@@@I IeI@?Q@ JiJ@`@@@J JvJ4A@9@ KjKpv@@@K KwKP@j@4@ LkL?@ d@@L LhLA(@~@ MlMa@@h@M MiMVc@@ N"N[@@Y@N NxN8̚@@ Oa Ob Oc OcO OyO!@ a@`@ PmP@Y@ P PzP!A@s@Q Q"QZAP@Y@R Rs Rt Rc RcS SmS^KY@S,f|>XBLv>ll^^^^^^^l\>L>@& &/ 7 @@t@§@( ( High cost of education( f5A@@ $)Employment/Looking for work)@a@v@))Illness/Disability)@ܑ@Y@) ) Illness/Disability) Apt@@ "*Lack of personal Interest*U@®@@** Housekeeping*[@n@H@* *  Housekeeping* A@D@ %+Cannot cope with scholl work+*@`@@+$+Employment/Looking for work+@n@<@+ $+ Employment/Looking for work+ =-A@3@ N@ ,Others,@@@Y@,",Lack of personal interest,(JAĪ@@, ", Lack of personal interest, Lȣ@@ 0-'---------------------------------------- ------------ ------------- -------------%-Cannot cope with school work-p@@@- %- Cannot cope with school work- As@R@ .Total.k@Y@ ..Finished schooling.@o@@@. . Finished schooling. `0Aq@@ //Others/@H@Y@/ / Others/ A@Y@ *0!. tab c18_ynot_attend if age13_170+0"----------------------------------0 ----------0 ------------0 ------------0  11Total1|;AY@ 1 1 Total1 f/Y@ (2Reason why not attending school2Freq.2Percent 2Cum.2 03'---------------------------------------3 -----------3 ------------3 ------------3+3". tab col14_ynot_attnd [fweight=in3 eight)] if3age13_173 /4&Schools are very far/no scchool within4"@`@`@4 "5No regular transportation5@F@f@5(5Why is he not attending school?5Freq.5Percent 5Cum.5  06'High cost of education/parents cannot a6`j@@@6+6"----------------------------------6 ----------6 ------------6 ------------6  7Illness/disability7:@`x@*@7+7"Schools are far/No school w/n brgy7T@d@d@7  8 Housekeeping8;@Py@*@8"8No regular transportation8L@5@g@8  $9Employment/Looking for work9X@|@ɵ@99High cost of education9 A\@Ԫ@9  ":Lack of personal Interest:`n@v@@::Illness/Disability:P@{@8@:  %;Cannot cope with scholl work;9@@@;; Housekeeping; @x@@;  <Finished Schooling<?.@@<$<Employment/Looking for work<dA2@@<  =Others=:@`x@Y@="=Lack of personal interest=P @ @=  0>'---------------------------------------> -----------> ------------> ------------>%>Cannot cope with school work>`3@o@@>  ?Total?؄@Y@ ??Finished schooling?_@B@@?  DlRQX|rk@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRS@@Others@@0{@Y@*A!. tab c18_ynot_attend if age18_22A+A"----------------------------------A ----------A ------------A ------------BBTotalB^eY@B(CReason why not attending schoolCFreq.CPercent CCum.C0D'---------------------------------------D -----------D ------------D ------------D+D". tab col14_ynot_attnd [fweight=inD eight)] ifDage18_22D/E&Schools are very far/no scchool withinE?@@E"FNo regular transportationF@B@E@F(FWhy is he not attending school?FFreq.FPercent FCum.0G'High cost of education/parents cannot aGx@8@ܟ@G+G"----------------------------------G ----------G ------------G ------------HIllness/disabilityHF@@m@¡@H+H"Schools are far/No school w/n brgyH@L@G@G@I HousekeepingI k@@@I"INo regular transportationI@?Q@$JEmployment/Looking for workJ@`@@@JJHigh cost of educationJ4A@9@"KLack of personal InterestKpv@@@KKIllness/DisabilityKP@j@4@%LCannot cope with scholl workL?@ d@@LL HousekeepingLA(@~@MFinished SchoolingMa@@h@M$MEmployment/Looking for workMVc@@NOthersN[@@Y@N"NLack of personal interestN8̚@@0O'---------------------------------------O -----------O ------------O ------------O%OCannot cope with school workO!@ a@`@PTotalP@Y@ PPFinished schoolingP!A@s@QQOthersQZAP@Y@R+R"----------------------------------R ----------R ------------R ------------SSTotalS^KY@S, |CFwc{qC>@& &/ 7 HT` x  s sMicrosoft Excel@W@Z՜.+,0d PXd lt| c operational budget indicatorsnexaperformance indicator evoltables_not_attendingwhy_not_attendingg1g2 Hojas de clculo Grficos FMicrosoft Equation 3.0 DS Equation Equation.39q e i =lnE it W it Ole CompObjDFfObjInfoGEquation Native "lnE t W t +lnW it W t ()"lnE i,t"1 W i,t"1 "lnE t"1 W t"1 +lnW i,t"1 W t"1 ()_1146245060C!JF0E0EOle CompObjIKfObjInfoL FMicrosoft Equation 3.0 DS Equation Equation.39q W it FMicrosoft Equation 3.0 DS Equation Equation.39qEquation Native :_1146245159OFpEpEOle CompObjNPfObjInfoQEquation Native :_1149063775TFpOEpOEOle ,e E it F#Microsoft Editor de ecuaciones 3.0 DS Equation Equation.39qHKl e it = i10 + i11 (L)e i,t"1 + i2 22 22 22 22 22 22 24a'$$If  ֞O {''d'd'd'd'd'd  t 0  62 22 22 22 22 22 22 24a'$$If  ֞O {''d'd'd'd'd'd  t 0  62 22 22 22 22 22 22 24a$$If  rr :' 'd'd'o'o      t20  '62 22 22 22 22 24a$$If  rr :' 'd'd'o'o      t20  '62 22 22 22 22 24aDd9!J  C A? 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