Staying the Course in Banking - Boston Consulting Group
Global Risk 2017
Staying the Course in Banking
The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world's leading advisor on business strategy. We partner with clients from the private, public, and not-forprofit sectors in all regions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform their enterprises. Our customized approach combines deep insight into the dynamics of companies and markets with close collaboration at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our clients achieve sustainable competitive advantage, build more capable organizations, and secure lasting results. Founded in 1963, BCG is a private company with 85 offices in 48 countries. For more information, please visit .
Global risk 2017
Staying the CourSe in Banking
GerOld GrasshOFF ZuBin MOGul ThOMas PFuhler nOrBerT GiTTFried CarsTen WieGand andreas BOhn VOlker VOnhOFF
March 2017 | The Boston Consulting Group
ContentS
3 Overview 6 The ecOnOmic PrOfiTabiliTy Of GlObal bankinG
inches hiGher Regional Divergence in Economic Profit Outlook: Focusing on Resources 1 0 reGulaTiOn: an era Of cOnsTanT evOluTiOn Financial Stability Prudent Operations Resolution 1 8 an aGenda fOr sTayinG The cOurse in GlObal bankinG 1 9 fOr furTher readinG 2 0 nOTe TO The reader
2 | Staying the Course in Banking
oVerVieW
The banking industry continues on the road to recovery, staying the course of recent years. The globally averaged performance of banks, measured by economic profit (EP), inched higher in 2015 for the fifth year in a row, according to BCG's seventh annual study of the industry's health. Our study assessed the EP of more than 300 retail, commercial, and investment banks in 2015. Banks' performance comes against a backdrop of intensifying regulation. As we forecast in 2016, the seas of regulatory change have continued to surge worldwide, producing a strong impact on banks' strategic and operational planning efforts. Coping with regulation, therefore, must remain a priority. The increasing costs of doing so will pressure all banks to create more effective and efficient processes. Top performers will use the opportunity to incorporate technical innovation even as they optimize the allocation of scarce financial resources.
economic Profitability
Despite the steady, if slow, global improvement, banks' performance diverged considerably by region. At the same time, the gap between high-performing banks and those performing below par continued to widen in some regions. In Europe, banks' balance sheets continued to contract, and their negative ePs remained at the level of the previous year. income rose, but so did operating costs, and the slight reduction in risk costs wasn't sufficient to regain positive EP. Moreover, the divergence between top and bottom performers in Europe continued to grow, unlike in North America, where the range of EP was stable. banks in north america continued on a positive path. Their balance sheets grew, and they reduced both operating and risk costs. Changes in income did not significantly affect eP.
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