Celebrity divorce rates - Marriage Foundation

Celebrity divorce rates

Harry Benson & Rehna Azim January 2016

? The huge publicity that surrounds celebrity weddings has done much to drive spiralling public expectations of what weddings should be like for the rest of us mortals. Marriage Foundation chairman and former high court judge Sir Paul Coleridge calls them Hello magazine weddings.

? But even if celebrities set the trend for extravagant weddings, their marriages are poor role models to follow.

? In our updated analysis of celebrity marriages, we look at 488 A-list couples who married between 2001 and 2010.

? We find that the celebrity divorce rate over the first fourteen years of marriage is 50%, double the current UK divorce rate over the same period of 25%.

Higher income cushions couples from the risk of family breakdown. Quite simply, more money makes life more comfortable and allows couples to look to the future rather than being stuck in the daily grind. For example, over the first five years of parenthood, stability increases linearly with income (Benson, 2006).

Celebrities, almost by definition, are individuals with the highest incomes. So it would be reasonable to expect celebs to have the lowest rates of divorce.

Yet the reverse is true. Our earlier analysis revealed that celebrities, as a group, divorce at roughly double the rate of us ordinary mortals (Azim & Benson, 2012).

In our new analysis ? two years on ? of 488 couples whose weddings feature in glossy magazines between

2001 and 2010, we have delved more deeply, looking at the duration of each individual celebrity marriage that ended in divorce ? and therefore calculating a more accurate overall divorce rate for celebrities.

Our most striking observation is that celebrity divorces are especially prevalent in the earliest years: 4% end within the first year or so compared to 0.8% for ordinary UK couples; and 6% end in the third year alone, whereas the worst year for ordinary couples is 2.4% during the sixth year.

Those who aspire to fame and fortune should be careful what they wish for. Our current predicted divorce rate for ordinary couples over a lifetime is 38%. Celebrity couples exceed that in only ten years.

Celeb & Non-Celeb Divorce: ANNUAL

(488 couples at 0-5 yrs, falling to 67 couples at 14 yrs) 6%

5%

4%

celebs -

smoothed

3%

after 5

years

2%

latest UK

divorce

rates

1%

0% M 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Celeb & Non-Celeb Divorce: CUMULATIVE

(488 couples at 0-5 yrs, falling to 67 couples at 14 yrs) 50%

40%

30%

celebs

20% latest UK

divorce

10%

rates

0% M 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Harry Benson & Rehna Azim, January 2016

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SELECTED LIST OF CELEBRITIES WHO HAVE DIVORCED, BY YEAR & DURATION OF MARRIAGE

Divorced Drew Barrymore and Tom Green Lisa Marie Presley and Nicolas Cage Jason Alexander and Britney Spears Eminem and Kim Mathers Kid Rock and Pamela Anderson

Anna Kournikova and Sergei Fedorov Bradley Cooper and Jennifer Esposito Ivana Trump and Rossano Rubicon

Cris Judd and Jennifer Lopez Sheena Easton and John Minoli Ben Kingsley and Alexandra Christmann Gillian Anderson and Julian Ozanne Jodie Kidd and Aidan Butler Sean Bean and Georgina Sutcliffe Katy Perry and Russell Brand

Andie MacDowell and Rhett DeCamp Hartzog Keeley Hawes and Spencer McCallum Sinead O'Connor and Nicholas Sommerlad Steve Coogan and Caroline Hickman Britney Spears and Kevin Federline Charlie Sheen and Brooke Mueller Gemma Arterton and Stefano Catelli

Charlie Sheen and Denise Richards Emilia Fox and Jared Harris Katie Price and Peter Andre Cheryl Cole and Ashley Cole Arun Nayar and Elizabeth Hurley Denise van Outen and Lee Mead

Cat Deeley and Mark Whelan David Walliams and Lara Stone

Chris Evans and Billie Piper Heather Mills and Paul McCartney Tiger Woods and Elin Nordegren Katie Holmes and Tom Cruise Mariah Carey and Nick Cannon Khloe Kardashian and Lamar Odom

Ross Kemp and Rebekah Wade Kate Winslet and Sam Mendes Ashton Kutcher and Demi Moore Jennifer Lopez and Marc Anthony Danielle Spencer and Russell Crowe (Separated) Ben Affleck and Jennifer Garner

Stevie Wonder and Karen Millard-Morris Carey Lowell and Richard Gere Chris Martin and Gwyneth Paltrow Nigella Lawson and Charles Saatchi Ralf Schumacher and Cora Brinkmann

Married 2001 2002 2004 2006 2006 2002 2006 2008 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2008 2010 2001 2001 2001 2002 2004 2008 2010 2002 2005 2005 2006 2007 2009 2001 2010 2001 2002 2004 2006 2008 2009 2002 2003 2005 2004 2003 2005 2001 2002 2003 2003 2001

Divorced 2001 2002 2004 2006 2006 2003 2007 2009 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2010 2012 2004 2004 2004 2005 2007 2011 2013 2006 2009 2009 2010 2011 2013 2006 2015 2007 2008 2010 2012 2014 2015 2009 2010 2012 2012 2012 2015 2012 2013 2014 2014 2015

Years 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 11 11 11 11 14

Harry Benson & Rehna Azim, January 2016

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SELECTED LIST OF CELEBRITIES WHO ARE STILL MARRIED, BY YEAR & DURATION OF MARRIAGE

Still Married Aled Jones and Claire Fossett Gabby Logan and Kenny Logan J.K. Rowling and Neil Murray Keely Shaye Smith and Pierce Brosnan Nick Faldo and Valerie Bercher

Bjorn Borg and Patricia ostfeldt Christina Kiki Tholstrup and Roger Moore Kate Garraway and Ian Rumsey Richard Hammond and Mindy Etheridge The Edge and Morleigh Steinberg

Emma Thompson and Greg Wise Mary J. Blige and Kendu Isaacs Michael McIntyre and Kitty Ward Stella McCartney and Alasdhair Willis

Alice Kim Cage and Nicolas Cage Dennis Quaid and Kimberly Buffington Jermaine Jackson and Halima Rashid Kate Beckinsale and Len Wiseman Matthew MacFadyen and Keeley Hawes

Camilla Parker Bowles and Prince Charles Donald Trump and Melania Knauss Jools Holland and Christabel McEwan Michael Owen and Louise Bonsall Robert Downey, Jr. and Susan Levin

Ant McPartlin and Lisa Armstrong Denise Lewis and Steve Finan O'Connor Jack Black and Tanya Haden Keith Urban and Nicole Kidman Rob Brydon and Claire Holland

Damian Lewis and Helen McCrory Holly Willoughby and Dan Baldwin Rod Stewart and Penny Lancaster Rupert Penry-Jones and Dervla Kirwan Steven Gerrard and Alex Curran

Beyonce Knowles and Jay-Z Eddie Murphy and Tracey E. Edmonds Nelly Furtado and Demo Castellon Ulrika Jonsson and Brian Monet Wayne Rooney and Colleen McCoughlin

Bruce Willis and Emma Heming Gisele Bundchen and Tom Brady Maggie Gyllenhaal and Peter Sarsgaard Rick Wakeman and Rachel Kaufman Roger Federer and Miroslava Vavrinec

Dominic West and Catherine Fitzgerald Eamonn Holmes and Ruth Langsford Penelope Cruz and Javier Bardem Sophie Dahl and Jamie Cullum

Married 2001 2001 2001 2001 2001 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002 2003 2003 2003 2003 2004 2004 2004 2004 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010

Years 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5

Harry Benson & Rehna Azim, January 2016

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DATA

Celebrity divorce rates

Years married Celebrities

n= Annual Smoothed Cumulative UK population Annual Cumulative

Years married Celebrities

n= Annual Smoothed Cumulative UK population Annual Cumulative

0

488 1.2% 1.2%

1%

0.0% 0%

8

364 3.6% 3.3% 34%

2.1% 16%

1

488 2.7% 2.7%

4%

0.7% 1%

9

303 3.3% 3.0% 37%

2.0% 18%

2

488 3.5% 3.5%

7%

1.5% 2%

10

251 2.0% 3.0% 39%

1.8% 20%

3

488 5.9% 5.9% 13%

2.1% 4%

11

212 3.8% 2.8% 43%

1.7% 21%

4

488 5.1% 5.1% 18%

2.3% 7%

12

182 2.7% 3.3% 45%

1.5% 23%

5

488 3.1% 4.3% 22%

2.4% 9%

13

122 3.3% 2.5% 49%

1.4% 24%

6

437 5.5% 3.8% 27%

2.4% 11%

14

67 1.5%

50%

1.3% 25%

7

403 3.0% 4.0% 30%

2.2% 14%

References

Azim, R., & Benson, H. (2012) Hello? Goodbye! Marriage and divorce amongst celebrities. Marriage Foundation Benson, H. (2006) The conflation of marriage and cohabitation in government statistics - a denial of difference

rendered untenable by an analysis of outcomes. Bristol Community Family Trust.

Harry Benson & Rehna Azim, January 2016

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