Crop Production 07/11/2019 ...

Crop Production

ISSN: 1936-3737

Released July 11, 2019, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA).

Winter Wheat Production Up 1 Percent from June Durum Wheat Production Down 25 Percent from 2018 Other Spring Wheat Production Down 8 Percent from 2018 Orange Production Up 1 Percent from June

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.29 billion bushels, up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast and up 9 percent from 2018. As of July 1, the United States yield is forecast at 51.8 bushels per acre, up 1.3 bushels from last month and up 3.9 bushels from last year's average yield of 47.9 bushels per acre. The area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 24.9 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but up 1 percent from last year.

Hard Red Winter production, at 804 million bushels, is up 1 percent from last month. Soft Red Winter, at 259 million bushels, is up less than 1 percent from the June forecast. White Winter, at 227 million bushels, is up 2 percent from last month. Of the White Winter production, 23.2 million bushels are Hard White and 204 million bushels are Soft White.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 58.1 million bushels, down 25 percent from 2018. The United States yield is forecast at 42.9 bushels per acre, up 3.6 bushels from last year. Area expected to be harvested for grain or seed totals 1.36 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but 31 percent below 2018.

Other spring wheat production is forecast at 572 million bushels, down 8 percent from last year. Area harvested for grain or seed is expected to total 12.1 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 28, 2019, but 6 percent below 2018. The United States yield is forecast at a 47.2 bushels per acre, down 1.1 bushels from last year. Of the total production, 542 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, down 8 percent from last year.

The United States all orange forecast for the 2018-2019 season is 5.33 million tons, up 1 percent from last month and up 36 percent from the 2017-2018 final utilization. The Florida all orange forecast, at 71.6 million boxes (3.22 million tons), is up slightly from last month and up 59 percent from last season's final utilization. Early, midseason, and Navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 30.4 million boxes (1.37 million tons), unchanged from last month but up 60 percent from last season's final utilization. The Florida Valencia orange forecast, at 41.2 million boxes (1.85 million tons), is up slightly from last month and up 58 percent from last season's final utilization.

The California all orange forecast is 50.0 million boxes (2.00 million tons), up 2 percent from the previous forecast and up 10 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Navel orange forecast, at 40.0 million boxes (1.60 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but up 11 percent from last season's final utilization. The California Valencia orange forecast is 10.0 million boxes (400,000 tons), up 11 percent from last month and up 5 percent from last season's final utilization. The Texas all orange forecast, at 2.49 million boxes (106,000 tons), is up 33 percent from the previous forecast and up 32 percent from last season's final utilization.

This report was approved on July 11, 2019.

Secretary of Agriculture Designate

Bill Northey

Agricultural Statistics Board Chairperson

Joseph L. Parsons

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Crop Production (July 2019)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Contents Oat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 ......................... 4 Barley Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019..................... 4 Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 5 Durum Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Other Spring Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 6 Wheat Production by Class ? United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 .................................................................... 6 Utilized Production of Citrus Fruits by Crop ? States and United States: 2017-2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................................................................................................................................. 7 Tobacco Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class and Type ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019........................................................................................................................................................... 8 Apricots Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019 .............................................................. 9 Almond Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019............................................................... 9 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Domestic Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019................... 10 Crop Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production in Metric Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................... 12 Fruits and Nuts Production in Domestic Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 .................................................................. 14 Fruits and Nuts Production in Metric Units ? United States: 2018 and 2019 ....................................................................... 15 Winter Wheat Objective Yield Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab ? United States: 2015-2019 ............................... 16 Winter Wheat Heads per Square Foot ? Selected States: 2015-2019 ................................................................................... 17 Percent of Normal Precipitation Map ................................................................................................................................... 18 Departure from Normal Temperature Map ........................................................................................................................... 18 June Weather Summary ........................................................................................................................................................ 19 June Agricultural Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 19 Crop Comments .................................................................................................................................................................... 21 Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 24 Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 26

Crop Production (July 2019)

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USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Oat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

State

Area harvested

2018

2019

Yield per acre

2018

2019

Production

2018

2019

(1,000 acres)

(1,000 acres)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

California .............................

6

Idaho ....................................

10

Illinois ...................................

25

Iowa .....................................

33

Kansas .................................

18

Maine ...................................

19

Michigan ..............................

50

Minnesota ............................

105

Montana ...............................

23

Nebraska .............................

22

9

70.0

100.0

420

900

10

84.0

85.0

840

850

20

83.0

66.0

2,075

1,320

80

63.0

63.0

2,079

5,040

25

49.0

57.0

882

1,425

20

67.0

68.0

1,273

1,360

35

63.0

67.0

3,150

2,345

110

59.0

75.0

6,195

8,250

30

43.0

40.0

989

1,200

19

69.0

82.0

1,518

1,558

New York .............................

43

North Dakota ........................

105

Ohio .....................................

30

Oregon .................................

5

Pennsylvania .......................

35

South Dakota .......................

95

Texas ...................................

50

Wisconsin ............................

90

35

54.0

59.0

2,322

2,065

110

82.0

78.0

8,610

8,580

35

65.0

63.0

1,950

2,205

8

99.0

75.0

495

600

50

46.0

58.0

1,610

2,900

85

82.0

93.0

7,790

7,905

40

50.0

40.0

2,500

1,600

130

61.0

62.0

5,490

8,060

Other States 1 ......................

101

58

58.8

59.7

5,942

3,465

United States .......................

865

909

64.9

67.8

56,130

61,628

1 For 2018, Other States include: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Washington, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include: Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, and Oklahoma. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.

Barley Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

State

Area harvested

2018

2019

Yield per acre

2018

2019

Production

2018

2019

(1,000 acres)

(1,000 acres)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Arizona ..............................

9

15

100.0

130.0

900

1,950

California ...........................

26

48

69.0

60.0

1,794

2,880

Colorado ............................

52

77

145.0

130.0

7,540

10,010

Idaho ..................................

530

485

101.0

98.0

53,530

47,530

Minnesota ..........................

67

77

76.0

72.0

5,092

5,544

Montana .............................

600

705

56.0

47.0

33,600

33,135

North Dakota ......................

385

535

74.0

78.0

28,490

41,730

Virginia ...............................

9

9

70.0

73.0

630

657

Washington ........................

67

93

73.0

68.0

4,891

6,324

Wyoming ............................

50

76

100.0

100.0

5,000

7,600

Other States 1 ....................

183

211

63.5

64.0

11,615

13,497

United States .....................

1,978

2,331

77.4

73.3

153,082

170,857

1 Other States include: Alaska, Delaware, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Utah, and Wisconsin. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.

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Crop Production (July 2019)

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

Winter Wheat Area Harvested, Yield, and Production ? States and United States: 2018 and Forecasted July 1, 2019

Area harvested

Yield per acre

Production

State

2018

2019

2018

2019

June 1

July 1

2018

2019

(1,000 acres) (1,000 acres) (bushels)

(bushels)

(bushels)

(1,000 bushels) (1,000 bushels)

Arkansas ........................

95

60

55.0

60.0

60.0

5,225

3,600

California ........................

110

135

77.0

65.0

65.0

8,470

8,775

Colorado .........................

1,950

2,150

36.0

41.0

44.0

70,200

94,600

Idaho ..............................

680

680

90.0

83.0

87.0

61,200

59,160

Illinois .............................

560

590

66.0

65.0

63.0

36,960

37,170

Indiana ...........................

260

260

71.0

69.0

67.0

18,460

17,420

Kansas ...........................

7,300

6,600

38.0

50.0

50.0

277,400

330,000

Kentucky .........................

300

320

66.0

77.0

77.0

19,800

24,640

Maryland .........................

200

165

63.0

67.0

75.0

12,600

12,375

Michigan .........................

470

490

76.0

74.0

75.0

35,720

36,750

Mississippi ......................

30

20

49.0

52.0

52.0

Missouri ..........................

520

470

59.0

56.0

60.0

Montana .........................

1,570

1,850

50.0

45.0

46.0

Nebraska ........................

1,010

970

49.0

50.0

53.0

North Carolina ................

370

225

57.0

56.0

53.0

North Dakota ..................

70

75

43.0

50.0

45.0

Ohio ................................

450

420

75.0

63.0

64.0

Oklahoma .......................

2,500

2,750

28.0

37.0

38.0

Oregon ...........................

695

730

67.0

57.0

58.0

South Dakota ..................

660

730

48.0

52.0

54.0

1,470 30,680 78,500 49,490 21,090

3,010 33,750 70,000 46,565 31,680

1,040 28,200 85,100 51,410 11,925

3,375 26,880 104,500 42,340 39,420

Tennessee ......................

285

225

65.0

67.0

66.0

18,525

14,850

Texas .............................

1,750

2,200

32.0

33.0

35.0

56,000

77,000

Virginia ...........................

155

115

60.0

67.0

66.0

9,300

7,590

Washington ....................

1,650

1,660

76.0

69.0

70.0

125,400

116,200

Wisconsin .......................

200

170

71.0

65.0

66.0

14,200

11,220

Other States 1 .................

902

864

53.5

52.4

52.2

48,244

45,086

United States ..................

24,742

24,924

47.9

50.5

51.8

1,183,939

1,290,626

1 For 2018, Other States include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia, and Wyoming. For 2019, Other States include Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Utah, and Wyoming. Individual State level estimates will be published in the Small Grains 2019 Summary.

Crop Production (July 2019)

5

USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service

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