A GROWING EARNINGS STREAM IS THE MAIN CATALYST OF …
A GROWING EARNINGS STREAM IS THE MAIN CATALYST OF LONG TERM EQUITY MARKET GROWTH
FROM 2014 TO 2016 S&P 500 EARNINGS FAILED TO PRODUCE MUCH GROWTH ABOVE THE $117 LEVEL REACHED IN 2014. DURING THE PERIOD THE S&P 500 STRUGGLED TO MAKE GAINS
IN Q3 OF 2016 EARNINGS FINALLY BEGAN TO ADVANCE. GROWTH CONTINUED IN Q4 AND Q1 OF 2017. AS A MATTER OF FACT GROWTH REACHED 14% IN Q1. IT IS NO COINCIDENCE THAT EQUITY PRICES EMERGED FROM THE 2014-2016 SIDEWAYS TRADING PATTERN AND NOW HAVE MOVED 15% ABOVE THAT PREVIOUS PEAK PERIOD
THE FAVORABLE EARNINGS TREND IS SET TO CONTINUE AS EARNINGS SHOULD GROW IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGIT AREA IN 2017 AND 2018. SHOULD THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION HAVE SUCCESS WITH ITS REFORM PLATFORM 2018 EARNINGS GROWTH COULD BE BETTER.
THE RECOVERY IN EARNINGS IS ONE REASON WE REMAIN POSITIVE ON THE US EQUITY MARKET
SECOND QUARTER EARNINGS ARE BEING REPORTED CURRENTLY. THE QUARTER IS EXPECTED TO BE STRONG WITH UPPPER SINGLE DIGIT GROWTH LIKELY.
EARNINGS TRENDS INFLUENCE OUR OPINION REGARDING CERTAIN SECTOR WITH IN THE ECONONY.
SOME OF OUR FAVORED SECTORS SUCH AS TECHNOLOGY, INDUSTRIALS, FINANCIALS AND HEALTH CARE ARE EITHER EXPECTED TO POST STRONG EARNINGS GROWTH OR HAVE SEEN EARNINGS TRENDS IMPROVE IN RECENT MONTHS.
? 2017 Raymond James & Associates, Inc., member New York Stock Exchange/SIPC. All rights reserved.
International Headquarters: The Raymond James Financial Center | 880 Carillon Parkway | St. Petersburg, Florida 33716 | 800-248-8863
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S&P 500 Earnings and Price
Earnings Per share
2014: $118 2015: $117 2016: $119
2017: ~$130 Estimated
FactSet; Raymond James Portfolio & Technical Strategy
? 2017 Raymond James & Associates, Inc., member New York Stock Exchange/SIPC. All rights reserved.
International Headquarters: The Raymond James Financial Center | 880 Carillon Parkway | St. Petersburg, Florida 33716 | 800-248-8863
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Fact Set: 6.6% Q2 EPS growth expected
'10: 39% EPS growth '11: 15% EPS growth
'15 and '16 flat EPS growth
FactSet; Raymond James Portfolio & Technical Strategy
? 2017 Raymond James & Associates, Inc., member New York Stock Exchange/SIPC. All rights reserved.
International Headquarters: The Raymond James Financial Center | 880 Carillon Parkway | St. Petersburg, Florida 33716 | 800-248-8863
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Technology and Industrial Sectors Both sectors have seen a nice uptrend in estimated 2017 earnings
Technology sector
Industrial sector
Raymond James Portfolio & Technical Strategy; Fact Set
? 2017 Raymond James & Associates, Inc., member New York Stock Exchange/SIPC. All rights reserved.
International Headquarters: The Raymond James Financial Center | 880 Carillon Parkway | St. Petersburg, Florida 33716 | 800-248-8863
4
Health Care: Improving Estimate Trends and Inexpensive Relative Valuation
Healthcare sector
? 2017 Raymond James & Associates, Inc., member New York Stock Exchange/SIPC. All rights reserved.
International Headquarters: The Raymond James Financial Center | 880 Carillon Parkway | St. Petersburg, Florida 33716 | 800-248-8863
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